加密貨幣市場可能在接下來的兩個月中看到本地底部

由於持續的進口關稅談判的全球不確定性，加密貨幣市場可能會在未來兩個月內看到本地底部

The cryptocurrency market may see a local bottom in the next two months amid global uncertainty over ongoing import tariff negotiations, which have been limiting investor sentiment in both traditional and digital markets.

由於對正在進行的進口關稅談判的全球不確定性，加密貨幣市場可能會在接下來的兩個月中看到本地底部，這一直限制了傳統和數字市場的投資者情緒。

US President Donald Trump is set to detail on April 2 his reciprocal import tariffs, measures aimed at reducing the country’s estimated trade deficit of $1.2 trillion in goods and boosting domestic manufacturing.

美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）將於4月2日詳細介紹他的互惠進口關稅，旨在減少該國估計的貿易赤字為1.2萬億美元的商品並提高國內製造業的措施。

While global markets took a hit from the first tariff announcement, there is a 70% chance for cryptocurrency valuations to find their bottom by June, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the Nansen crypto intelligence platform.

Nansen Crypto Intelligence Platform的首席研究分析師Aurelie Barthere表示，儘管全球市場從首次關稅公告開始受到關稅，但加密貨幣估值有70％的機會在6月之前找到其最低點。

The research analyst told Cointelegraph:

研究分析師告訴Cointelegraph：

“Once the toughest part of the negotiation is behind us, we see a cleaner opportunity for crypto and risk assets to finally mark a bottom,” she added.

她補充說：“一旦談判中最艱難的部分就在我們身後，我們會看到加密和風險資產最終標記底部的更乾淨的機會。”

Both traditional and cryptocurrency markets continue to lack upside momentum ahead of the US tariff announcement.

在美國關稅宣布之前，傳統和加密貨幣市場都繼續缺乏上升勢頭。

BTC/USD, 1-day chart. Source: Nansen“For the main US equity indexes and for BTC, the respective price charts failed to resurface above their 200-day moving averages significantly, while lower-lookback price moving averages are falling,” wrote Nansen in an April 1 research report.

BTC/USD，1天圖表。資料來源：Nansen“對於美國主要的股票指數和BTC，相應的價格表未能大幅超過其200天的移動平均值，而較低的前景價格移動平均值則下降，” Nansen在4月1日的研究報告中寫道。

“Fragile market psychology highlights the necessity of ‘good news,’ mainly on US growth and on tariffs,” added the report.

該報告補充說：“脆弱的市場心理學強調了'好消息'的必要性，主要是關於美國增長和關稅的必要性。”

Investors are currently in “wait and see mode” and are hesitant to take on large positions as markets lack direction.

投資者目前處於“等待和看到模式”，並且由於市場缺乏方向而猶豫不決。

However, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remained above the “extreme fear” mark for a third consecutive session, which suggests a marginal improvement despite continued caution, Stella Zlatareva, dispatch editor at digital asset investment platform Nexo, told Cointelegraph.

然而，加密恐懼和貪婪指數連續第三屆會議的“極端恐懼”標記上方，這表明儘管繼續謹慎，這表明有邊緣的改善。

“This reinforces the view that markets are in a wait-and-see mood,” Zlatareva told Cointelegraph, adding:

Zlatareva告訴Cointelegraph：“這加強了市場處於待觀察情緒的觀點。

The crypto market is still meandering amid a sea of uncertainty. Despite a slight improvement, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in 'extreme fear' for the third day in a row at 24/70, suggesting a stifling level of caution among investors.

在不確定性的海洋中，加密貨幣市場仍然在蜿蜒。儘管有略有改善，但加密恐懼和貪婪指數連續第三天在24/70中仍然處於“極端恐懼”狀態，這表明投資者的謹慎程度令人窒息。

This tale of two coins plays out in an interesting way. Though traders are still awaiting an indicator for more bullish momentum,suggesting a 70% chance that cryptocurrencies could hit bottom by June.

這個兩個硬幣的故事以一種有趣的方式播放。儘管貿易商仍在等待一個更看漲的勢頭的指標，但表明加密貨幣有70％的機會在6月之前有可能達到最低水平。

Other traders are awaiting a Bitcoin breakout above $84,500 as a signal for more upside momentum amid the ongoing tariff uncertainty.

其他交易者正在等待比特幣突破超過84,500美元，作為在持續的關稅不確定性和持續的關稅不確定性中的更多上行勢頭的信號。