加密货币市场可能在接下来的两个月中看到本地底部

由于持续的进口关税谈判的全球不确定性，加密货币市场可能会在未来两个月内看到本地底部

The cryptocurrency market may see a local bottom in the next two months amid global uncertainty over ongoing import tariff negotiations, which have been limiting investor sentiment in both traditional and digital markets.

由于对正在进行的进口关税谈判的全球不确定性，加密货币市场可能会在接下来的两个月中看到本地底部，这一直限制了传统和数字市场的投资者情绪。

US President Donald Trump is set to detail on April 2 his reciprocal import tariffs, measures aimed at reducing the country’s estimated trade deficit of $1.2 trillion in goods and boosting domestic manufacturing.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）将于4月2日详细介绍他的互惠进口关税，旨在减少该国估计的贸易赤字为1.2万亿美元的商品并提高国内制造业的措施。

While global markets took a hit from the first tariff announcement, there is a 70% chance for cryptocurrency valuations to find their bottom by June, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the Nansen crypto intelligence platform.

Nansen Crypto Intelligence Platform的首席研究分析师Aurelie Barthere表示，尽管全球市场从首次关税公告开始受到关税，但加密货币估值有70％的机会在6月之前找到其最低点。

The research analyst told Cointelegraph:

研究分析师告诉Cointelegraph：

“Once the toughest part of the negotiation is behind us, we see a cleaner opportunity for crypto and risk assets to finally mark a bottom,” she added.

她补充说：“一旦谈判中最艰难的部分就在我们身后，我们会看到加密和风险资产最终标记底部的更干净的机会。”

Both traditional and cryptocurrency markets continue to lack upside momentum ahead of the US tariff announcement.

在美国关税宣布之前，传统和加密货币市场都继续缺乏上升势头。

BTC/USD, 1-day chart. Source: Nansen“For the main US equity indexes and for BTC, the respective price charts failed to resurface above their 200-day moving averages significantly, while lower-lookback price moving averages are falling,” wrote Nansen in an April 1 research report.

BTC/USD，1天图表。资料来源：Nansen“对于美国主要的股票指数和BTC，相应的价格表未能大幅超过其200天的移动平均值，而较低的前景价格移动平均值则下降，” Nansen在4月1日的研究报告中写道。

“Fragile market psychology highlights the necessity of ‘good news,’ mainly on US growth and on tariffs,” added the report.

该报告补充说：“脆弱的市场心理学强调了'好消息'的必要性，主要是关于美国增长和关税的必要性。”

Investors are currently in “wait and see mode” and are hesitant to take on large positions as markets lack direction.

投资者目前处于“等待和看到模式”，并且由于市场缺乏方向而犹豫不决。

However, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remained above the “extreme fear” mark for a third consecutive session, which suggests a marginal improvement despite continued caution, Stella Zlatareva, dispatch editor at digital asset investment platform Nexo, told Cointelegraph.

然而，加密恐惧和贪婪指数连续第三届会议的“极端恐惧”标记上方，这表明尽管继续谨慎，这表明有边缘的改善。

“This reinforces the view that markets are in a wait-and-see mood,” Zlatareva told Cointelegraph, adding:

Zlatareva告诉Cointelegraph：“这加强了市场处于待观察情绪的观点。

The crypto market is still meandering amid a sea of uncertainty. Despite a slight improvement, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in 'extreme fear' for the third day in a row at 24/70, suggesting a stifling level of caution among investors.

在不确定性的海洋中，加密货币市场仍然在蜿蜒。尽管有略有改善，但加密恐惧和贪婪指数连续第三天在24/70中仍然处于“极端恐惧”状态，这表明投资者的谨慎程度令人窒息。

This tale of two coins plays out in an interesting way. Though traders are still awaiting an indicator for more bullish momentum,suggesting a 70% chance that cryptocurrencies could hit bottom by June.

这个两个硬币的故事以一种有趣的方式播放。尽管贸易商仍在等待一个更看涨的势头的指标，但表明加密货币有70％的机会在6月之前有可能达到最低水平。

Other traders are awaiting a Bitcoin breakout above $84,500 as a signal for more upside momentum amid the ongoing tariff uncertainty.

其他交易者正在等待比特币突破超过84,500美元，作为在持续的关税不确定性和持续的关税不确定性中的更多上行势头的信号。