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2025年新年伊始,加密貨幣市場很難稱得上繁榮。首先,比特幣(BTC)的價格為我們帶來了新的驚喜
The beginning of the new year 2025 can hardly be called prosperous for the cryptocurrency market. First, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) teased us with a new all-time high breakout, which eventually ended with a lower high compared to the December peak, forming what many see as a head and shoulders pattern.
2025年新年伊始,加密貨幣市場很難稱得上繁榮。首先,比特幣 (BTC) 的價格突破了歷史新高,最終以低於 12 月高峰的高點結束,形成了許多人認為的頭肩形態。
One of the most popular technical analysis formations, the head and shoulders pattern, presents itself as three waves of growth, with the head being the middle and largest wave.
頭肩形態是最受歡迎的技術分析形態之一,它表現為三個增長波浪,其中頭部是中間和最大的波浪。
However, it is the shoulders that fail to reach the middle peak, signaling the current weakness of buyers. The pattern is ominous in that, after the second shoulder is formed, the price of the asset is in danger of breaking below the neckline and drawing down by as much as the head was worth.
然而,肩部未能達到中峰,顯示當前買家疲軟。該模式是不祥的,因為在第二個肩部形成後,資產價格有跌破頸線並下跌至頭部價值的危險。
Three scenarios for Bitcoin (BTC) by Peter Brandt
Peter Brandt 提出的比特幣 (BTC) 的三個場景
According to the latest Bitcoin outlook by Peter Brandt, a popular trader with 50 years of experience, the leading cryptocurrency is currently drawing a classic head-and-shitty-pattern. If validated, the price of BTC might see three outcomes from the current position. The first, according to the trader, is to complete the formation and trend to target around $76,000, which is over 18% below the current price.
根據擁有 50 年經驗的熱門交易員彼得·布蘭特 (Peter Brandt) 最新的比特幣展望,領先的加密貨幣目前正在繪製一個經典的「頭與屎」模式。如果得到驗證,比特幣的價格可能會從當前位置看到三種結果。據該交易員稱,第一個目標是完成形成和趨勢,目標價約為 76,000 美元,比當前價格低 18% 以上。
The second scenario, according to Brandt the most optimistic one, is that the price of Bitcoin forms a "bear trap," which is a figure of market manipulation, when the price dips, but only to prompt everyone to turn bearish and after that short squeeze upward. Brandt previously highlighted this option as the most likely.
布蘭特認為,第二種情況是最樂觀的一種情況,即比特幣的價格形成“熊市陷阱”,這是一種市場操縱的現象,當價格下跌時,但只會促使所有人轉為看跌,在那之後向上擠壓。布蘭特此前曾強調這項選項是最有可能的。
This is a classic H&S top pattern. $BTC H&S patterns can do one of 3 things:
這是經典的 H&S 上衣圖案。 $BTC H&S 模式可以做以下三件事之一:
-Complete and trend to target
-完成目標和趨勢
-Fail with bear trap
- 熊陷阱失敗
-Morph into larger pattern
- 變形為更大的圖案
What do you think?
你怎麼認為?
I am only allowing Verified to reply. If you cannot pay a few bucks to X you don't deserve to be heard. pic.twitter.com/9dGquEXaUs
我只允許經過驗證的人回覆。如果你不能向 X 支付幾塊錢,你就不值得被傾聽。 pic.twitter.com/9dGquEXaUs
The third scenario is that the head and shoulders will turn into a larger pattern, which does not necessarily mean that it will be more bullish or more bearish.
第三種情況是頭肩頂會變成一個更大的形態,這並不一定意味著會更加看漲或更加看跌。
As for Brandt himself, patterns are not set in stone. As the trader notes, sometimes they work, but they often change or fail.
對布蘭特本人來說,模式並不是一成不變的。正如交易員指出的那樣,有時它們會起作用,但它們經常會發生變化或失敗。
It remains to be seen where the market will take the price of Bitcoin, but the fact that even experienced traders like Brandt are struggling to offer a concrete outlook on the current state of the market speaks for itself.
市場將如何看待比特幣的價格還有待觀察,但即使是像布蘭特這樣經驗豐富的交易員也很難對當前市場狀況提供具體的前景,這一事實不言而喻。
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