比特币 (BTC) 市场突破历史新高，最终以低于 12 月峰值的高点结束

2025年新年伊始，加密货币市场很难称得上繁荣。首先，比特币（BTC）的价格给我们带来了新的惊喜

The beginning of the new year 2025 can hardly be called prosperous for the cryptocurrency market. First, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) teased us with a new all-time high breakout, which eventually ended with a lower high compared to the December peak, forming what many see as a head and shoulders pattern.

2025年新年伊始，加密货币市场很难称得上繁荣。首先，比特币 (BTC) 的价格突破了历史新高，最终以低于 12 月峰值的高点结束，形成了许多人认为的头肩形态。

One of the most popular technical analysis formations, the head and shoulders pattern, presents itself as three waves of growth, with the head being the middle and largest wave.

头肩形态是最流行的技术分析形态之一，它表现为三个增长波浪，其中头部是中间和最大的波浪。

However, it is the shoulders that fail to reach the middle peak, signaling the current weakness of buyers. The pattern is ominous in that, after the second shoulder is formed, the price of the asset is in danger of breaking below the neckline and drawing down by as much as the head was worth.

然而，肩部未能达到中峰，表明当前买家疲软。该模式是不祥的，因为在第二个肩部形成后，资产价格有跌破颈线并下跌至头部价值的危险。

Three scenarios for Bitcoin (BTC) by Peter Brandt

Peter Brandt 提出的比特币 (BTC) 的三种场景

According to the latest Bitcoin outlook by Peter Brandt, a popular trader with 50 years of experience, the leading cryptocurrency is currently drawing a classic head-and-shitty-pattern. If validated, the price of BTC might see three outcomes from the current position. The first, according to the trader, is to complete the formation and trend to target around $76,000, which is over 18% below the current price.

根据拥有 50 年经验的热门交易员彼得·勃兰特 (Peter Brandt) 最新的比特币展望，领先的加密货币目前正在绘制一个经典的“头与屎”模式。如果得到验证，比特币的价格可能会从当前位置看到三种结果。据该交易员称，第一个目标是完成形成和趋势，目标价约为 76,000 美元，比当前价格低 18% 以上。

The second scenario, according to Brandt the most optimistic one, is that the price of Bitcoin forms a "bear trap," which is a figure of market manipulation, when the price dips, but only to prompt everyone to turn bearish and after that short squeeze upward. Brandt previously highlighted this option as the most likely.

布兰特认为，第二种情况是最乐观的一种情况，即比特币的价格形成“熊市陷阱”，这是一种市场操纵的现象，当价格下跌时，但只会促使所有人转为看跌，在那之后向上挤压。布兰特此前曾强调这一选项是最有可能的。

This is a classic H&S top pattern. $BTC H&S patterns can do one of 3 things:

这是经典的 H&S 上衣图案。 $BTC H&S 模式可以做以下三件事之一：

-Complete and trend to target

-完成目标和趋势

-Fail with bear trap

- 熊陷阱失败

-Morph into larger pattern

- 变形为更大的图案

What do you think?

你怎么认为？

I am only allowing Verified to reply. If you cannot pay a few bucks to X you don't deserve to be heard. pic.twitter.com/9dGquEXaUs

我只允许经过验证的人回复。如果你不能向 X 支付几块钱，你就不值得被倾听。 pic.twitter.com/9dGquEXaUs

The third scenario is that the head and shoulders will turn into a larger pattern, which does not necessarily mean that it will be more bullish or more bearish.

第三种情况是头肩顶会变成一个更大的形态，这并不一定意味着会更加看涨或者更加看跌。

As for Brandt himself, patterns are not set in stone. As the trader notes, sometimes they work, but they often change or fail.

对于勃兰特本人来说，模式并不是一成不变的。正如交易员指出的那样，有时它们会起作用，但它们经常会发生变化或失败。

It remains to be seen where the market will take the price of Bitcoin, but the fact that even experienced traders like Brandt are struggling to offer a concrete outlook on the current state of the market speaks for itself.

市场将如何看待比特币的价格还有待观察，但即使是像布兰特这样经验丰富的交易员也很难对当前市场状况提供具体的前景，这一事实不言而喻。