法国监管机构威胁禁止综合市场

据报道，法国博彩监管机构国家博彩管理局 (NGA) 正在考虑禁止进入预测市场 Polymarket。

France's gambling regulator is considering banning access to the predictions market Polymarket, despite the platform not specifically targeting French users.

法国赌博监管机构正在考虑禁止进入预测市场 Polymarket，尽管该平台并非专门针对法国用户。

An anonymous source within the National Gaming Authority (NGA) told Big Whale that the regulator can block access to Polymarket even if it does not directly target French users.

国家博彩管理局 (NGA) 的一位匿名消息人士告诉 Big Whale，即使 Polymarket 不直接针对法国用户，监管机构也可以阻止其访问。

The regulator reportedly became interested in Polymarket following claims that an anonymous French trader pocketed $19 million after correctly predicting Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election.

据报道，一名匿名法国交易员在正确预测唐纳德·特朗普在美国总统大选中获胜后将 1900 万美元收入囊中，据报道，该监管机构对 Polymarket 产生了兴趣。

While mainstream media initially shied away from reporting on the predictions market, Polymarket consistently showed Trump leading Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, sometimes by double-digit figures.

虽然主流媒体最初回避报道预测市场，但 Polymarket 始终显示特朗普领先民主党候选人卡马拉·哈里斯，有时甚至以两位数的数字领先。

However, many U.S. officials, including Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Rostin Behnam, have warned that predictions markets could face enforcement actions if they offer unregistered derivative contracts to U.S. residents.

然而，包括商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）主席罗斯汀·贝纳姆在内的许多美国官员警告称，预测市场如果向美国居民提供未经注册的衍生品合约，可能会面临执法行动。

Behnam has also stated that the CFTC is keeping a close eye on offshore prediction markets, including Polymarket.

Behnam 还表示，CFTC 正在密切关注离岸预测市场，包括 Polymarket。

French regulator: Polymarket activities are illegal in France

法国监管机构：综合市场活动在法国是非法的

The French regulator, seemingly taking a cue from the CFTC, has said that Polymarket's activities amount to gambling and are therefore illegal in France.

法国监管机构似乎受到美国商品期货交易委员会 (CFTC) 的启发，表示 Polymarket 的活动相当于赌博，因此在法国是非法的。

“Even if Polymarket uses cryptocurrencies in its operations, it remains a betting activity and this is not legal in France,” said a source within the NGA.

NGA 的一位消息人士表示：“即使 Polymarket 在运营中使用加密货币，它仍然是一种博彩活动，这在法国是不合法的。”

France's gambling regulator is reportedly examining Polymarket's operations and its compliance with French gambling laws, according to the report.

据报道，法国博彩监管机构正在审查 Polymarket 的运营及其对法国博彩法的遵守情况。

Meanwhile, William O’Rorke, a partner at ORWL Avocats, outlined potential enforcement actions the regulator could take against Polymarket and its affiliates.

与此同时，ORWL Avocats 合伙人 William O'Rorke 概述了监管机构可能对 Polymarket 及其附属公司采取的潜在执法行动。

“The National Gambling Authority can block the domain name in France and even pressure entities that give the platform access to the French market, such as media outlets that have distributed Polymarket links or gaming directories,” said O’Rorke.

“国家博彩管理局可以在法国屏蔽该域名，甚至向允许该平台进入法国市场的实体施加压力，例如分发 Polymarket 链接或游戏目录的媒体机构，”O'Rorke 表示。

However, the Big Whale report noted that users could easily circumvent a block, as Polymarket doesn't require users to provide personal information to create an account — only a cryptocurrency wallet. Even with geo-blocking, users could easily use a virtual private network (VPN), the report added.

然而，Big Whale 的报告指出，用户可以轻松绕过封锁，因为 Polymarket 不要求用户提供个人信息来创建帐户，只需要提供加密货币钱包。报告补充说，即使有地理封锁，用户也可以轻松使用虚拟专用网络（VPN）。