法國監管機構威脅禁止綜合市場

據報導，法國博彩監管機構國家博彩管理局 (NGA) 正在考慮禁止進入預測市場 Polymarket。

France's gambling regulator is considering banning access to the predictions market Polymarket, despite the platform not specifically targeting French users.

法國賭博監管機構正在考慮禁止進入預測市場 Polymarket，儘管該平台並非專門針對法國用戶。

An anonymous source within the National Gaming Authority (NGA) told Big Whale that the regulator can block access to Polymarket even if it does not directly target French users.

國家博彩管理局 (NGA) 的一位匿名消息人士告訴 Big Whale，即使 Polymarket 不直接針對法國用戶，監管機構也可以阻止其訪問。

The regulator reportedly became interested in Polymarket following claims that an anonymous French trader pocketed $19 million after correctly predicting Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election.

據報道，一名匿名法國交易員在正確預測唐納德·特朗普在美國總統大選中獲勝後將 1900 萬美元收入囊中，據報道，該監管機構對 Polymarket 產生了興趣。

While mainstream media initially shied away from reporting on the predictions market, Polymarket consistently showed Trump leading Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, sometimes by double-digit figures.

雖然主流媒體最初迴避報導預測市場，但 Polymarket 始終顯示川普領先民主黨候選人卡馬拉·哈里斯，有時甚至以兩位數的數字領先。

However, many U.S. officials, including Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Rostin Behnam, have warned that predictions markets could face enforcement actions if they offer unregistered derivative contracts to U.S. residents.

然而，包括商品期貨交易委員會（CFTC）主席羅斯汀貝納姆在內的許多美國官員警告稱，預測市場如果向美國居民提供未經註冊的衍生性合約，可能會面臨執法行動。

Behnam has also stated that the CFTC is keeping a close eye on offshore prediction markets, including Polymarket.

Behnam 也表示，CFTC 正在密切關注離岸預測市場，包括 Polymarket。

French regulator: Polymarket activities are illegal in France

法國監管機構：綜合市場活動在法國是非法的

The French regulator, seemingly taking a cue from the CFTC, has said that Polymarket's activities amount to gambling and are therefore illegal in France.

法國監管機構似乎受到美國商品期貨交易委員會 (CFTC) 的啟發，表示 Polymarket 的活動相當於賭博，因此在法國是非法的。

“Even if Polymarket uses cryptocurrencies in its operations, it remains a betting activity and this is not legal in France,” said a source within the NGA.

NGA 的一位消息人士表示：“即使 Polymarket 在運營中使用加密貨幣，它仍然是一種博彩活動，這在法國是不合法的。”

France's gambling regulator is reportedly examining Polymarket's operations and its compliance with French gambling laws, according to the report.

據報道，法國博彩監管機構正在審查 Polymarket 的營運及其對法國博彩法的遵守情況。

Meanwhile, William O’Rorke, a partner at ORWL Avocats, outlined potential enforcement actions the regulator could take against Polymarket and its affiliates.

同時，ORWL Avocats 合夥人 William O'Rorke 概述了監管機構可能對 Polymarket 及其附屬公司採取的潛在執法行動。

“The National Gambling Authority can block the domain name in France and even pressure entities that give the platform access to the French market, such as media outlets that have distributed Polymarket links or gaming directories,” said O’Rorke.

「國家博彩管理局可以在法國封鎖該域名，甚至向允許該平台進入法國市場的實體施加壓力，例如分發 Polymarket 連結或遊戲目錄的媒體機構，」O'Rorke 表示。

However, the Big Whale report noted that users could easily circumvent a block, as Polymarket doesn't require users to provide personal information to create an account — only a cryptocurrency wallet. Even with geo-blocking, users could easily use a virtual private network (VPN), the report added.

然而，Big Whale 的報告指出，用戶可以輕鬆繞過封鎖，因為 Polymarket 不要求用戶提供個人資訊來建立帳戶，只需要提供加密貨幣錢包。報告補充說，即使有地理封鎖，用戶也可以輕鬆使用虛擬私人網路（VPN）。