卡尔达诺（ADA）突破关键阻力位时的价格预测

卡尔达诺价格在突破重要阻力位后继续强劲上涨，投资者仍然看好该代币。 ADA已连续四天上涨，并徘徊在7月以来的最高水平。

Cardano (ADA/USD) price continued its strong bullish surge on Friday as investors remained optimistic about the digital asset. ADA price rose for the fourth day in a row and reached its highest level since July. It is now trading at $0.404, which is 50% above its lowest level this year.

由于投资者对数字资产保持乐观态度，卡尔达诺（ADA/美元）价格周五继续强劲看涨。 ADA价格连续第四天上涨，并达到7月以来的最高水平。目前其交易价格为 0.404 美元，比今年的最低水平高出 50%。

Cardano price soared as investors and analysts turned bullish on the coin. One of the key catalysts that have been mentioned for the coin is the upcoming launch of the BitcoinOS bridge, which will allow users to move coins from its ecosystem to and from Bitcoin.

随着投资者和分析师看好该代币，卡尔达诺价格飙升。提到的硬币的关键催化剂之一是即将推出的 BitcoinOS 桥，它将允许用户将硬币从其生态系统转移到比特币或从比特币转移。

In an X post, an analyst who goes by the name of Polkadot Leader said that the network’s struggling DeFi Total Value Locked (TVL) will surge once this bridge is launched.

在一篇 X 帖子中，一位名叫 Polkadot Leader 的分析师表示，一旦这座桥启动，该网络陷入困境的 DeFi 总价值锁定（TVL）将会飙升。

Unlike Solana and Sui, Cardano’s DeFi TVL has declined over the past several months and currently stands at $249 million. In comparison, Base Blockchain, which was launched late last year, has managed to gather more than $2 billion in assets.

与 Solana 和 Sui 不同，Cardano 的 DeFi TVL 在过去几个月中有所下降，目前为 2.49 亿美元。相比之下，去年年底推出的 Base Blockchain 已成功聚集了超过 20 亿美元的资产。

Similarly, Decentralized Exchanges (DEX) in Cardano, like MuesliSwap, Minswap, and SundaeSwap, are not seeing any volume. This is probably because Cardano does not have a big meme coin ecosystem.

同样，卡尔达诺的去中心化交易所（DEX），如 MuesliSwap、Minswap 和 SundaeSwap，也没有看到任何交易量。这可能是因为卡尔达诺没有庞大的模因币生态系统。

Analysts believe that it is only a matter of time before Cardano’s ecosystem starts to perform well as developers launch meme coins on the platform. Meanwhile, Road21Bsats highlighted the formation of a falling wedge pattern by the coin, which usually leads to a bullish breakout.

分析师认为，随着开发者在该平台上推出模因币，卡尔达诺生态系统开始表现良好只是时间问题。与此同时，Road21Bsats 强调了代币形成的下降楔形形态，这通常会导致看涨突破。

Several other potential catalysts could drive Cardano price higher. From a macro perspective, two major events converged this week.

其他几种潜在的催化剂可能会推高卡尔达诺的价格。从宏观来看，本周有两件大事汇聚。

First, the United States elected Donald Trump as the next president, a move that will usher in a new era in the crypto industry. Analysts believe that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will no longer be as antagonistic as it was under Gary Gensler.

首先，美国选举唐纳德·特朗普为下一任总统，此举将开启加密行业的新时代。分析师认为，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）将不再像加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）领导下那样充满敌意。

One possibility is that the SEC could approve a potential ADA ETF in the upcoming months. Under Gensler, such an approval would have been unlikely as he considers Cardano to be a security.

一种可能性是，美国证券交易委员会可能会在未来几个月内批准潜在的 ADA ETF。在詹斯勒的领导下，这样的批准是不可能的，因为他认为卡尔达诺是一种证券。

Furthermore, Trump’s era is being viewed positively by investors as he promised to deregulate industries and cut taxes. The latter will probably lead to an increase in US debt, which will then make Bitcoin more valuable. If this happens, altcoins like Cardano will also rally.

此外，投资者对特朗普时代持积极态度，因为他承诺放松行业管制并减税。后者可能会导致美国债务增加，从而使比特币变得更有价值。如果发生这种情况，像卡尔达诺这样的山寨币也会上涨。

Second, the Federal Reserve made a relatively dovish decision on Thursday by cutting interest rates by 0.25%. Analysts believe that the bank will continue cutting rates in the upcoming months as the labor market has worsened. Cryptocurrencies like Cardano and Bitcoin perform well when rates are falling.

其次，美联储周四做出相对鸽派的决定，降息0.25%。分析师认为，随着劳动力市场恶化，央行将在未来几个月继续降息。当利率下降时，卡尔达诺和比特币等加密货币表现良好。

The Fed is not the only central bank that is cutting rates. For instance, the Bank of England (BoE) cut rates by 0.25% in its meeting on Thursday. The ECB, Swiss National Bank, and Riksbank have also cut rates.

美联储并不是唯一一家降息的央行。例如，英国央行 (BoE) 在周四的会议上降息 0.25%。欧洲央行、瑞士央行和瑞典央行也纷纷降息。

Cardano crypto price analysis

卡尔达诺加密货币价格分析

Cardano price also has positive technicals. A daily chart analysis shows that ADA price has been on a strong bullish trend in the past few days. To be precise, it has risen for four consecutive days and is now attempting to cross above the key resistance level at $0.414, which was the highest swing on September 27.

卡尔达诺价格也有积极的技术面。日线图分析显示，ADA 价格在过去几天一直处于强劲的看涨趋势。准确地说，它已连续四天上涨，目前正试图突破关键阻力位 0.414 美元，这是 9 月 27 日的最高波动水平。

Cardano price has moved above the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level. More importantly, it has also crossed the 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and the descending trendline that connects the highest swing since June this year.

卡尔达诺价格已升至 23.6% 斐波那契回撤位上方。更重要的是，它还突破了200日指数移动平均线（EMA）和连接今年6月以来最高波动的下降趋势线。

Therefore, the path of least resistance for Cardano is bullish, with the next level to watch being at $0.543, which was the 50% retracement point and is about 31% higher than the current level.

因此，卡尔达诺阻力最小的路径是看涨，下一个值得关注的水平是 0.543 美元，这是 50% 的回撤点，比当前水平高出约 31%。