2024 年选举实时更新：特朗普-哈里斯总统竞选的最新消息

随着提前投票顺利进行，至少有 1500 万张选票，哈里斯和特朗普在距离选举日还有两周的时间里陷入了一场抛硬币竞赛。

With early voting well underway with at least 15 million votes cast, Harris and Trump are locked in a coin-flip contest two weeks out before Election Day.

随着提前投票顺利进行，至少有 1500 万张选票，哈里斯和特朗普在距离选举日还有两周的时间里陷入了一场抛硬币竞赛。

Some battleground polls, such as the RealClearPolitics polling average, show Trump with a slight advantage over Harris, while a Washington Post–Schar School survey shows both candidates tied in the battlegrounds.

一些战场民意调查，例如 RealClearPolitics 的民意调查平均值，显示特朗普比哈里斯略有优势，而《华盛顿邮报》-沙尔学校的一项调查显示，两位候选人在战场上势均力敌。

Both Harris and Trump are spending the final two weeks stumping in states where they must win. The vice president is spending part of this week traveling in the blue wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin with former Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney to shore up support among disaffected Republicans.

哈里斯和特朗普都将在最后两周在他们必须获胜的州进行斗争。副总统本周将与前怀俄明州众议员利兹·切尼一起前往蓝墙州密歇根州、宾夕法尼亚州和威斯康星州，以争取心怀不满的共和党人的支持。

Harris will also hit the campaign trail with former President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama as she seeks to rejuvenate disaffected black voters.

哈里斯还将与前总统巴拉克·奥巴马和前第一夫人米歇尔·奥巴马一起参加竞选活动，力图让心怀不满的黑人选民重新焕发活力。

Trump, meanwhile, is stumping in North Carolina and Georgia, two states that will likely ensure a second term if he wins both states, and Pennsylvania. He’ll also head to Nevada and his former home state New York for rallies this week.

与此同时，特朗普正在北卡罗来纳州和佐治亚州以及宾夕法尼亚州进行竞选，如果他赢得这两个州，这两个州可能会确保连任。本周他还将前往内华达州和他的前家乡纽约参加集会。

As casual voters begin truly paying attention to the election, the Washington Examiner reranked the battleground states according to which will be the hardest for the vice president to win.

随着普通选民开始真正关注选举，《华盛顿观察家报》根据副总统最难获胜的摇摆州对战场州进行了重新排名。

1. Arizona

1. 亚利桑那州

Arizona remains the hardest battleground state for Harris to win for the second week in a row since the swing-state scorecard was published this year due to Trump maintaining his polling lead.

由于特朗普在民意调查中保持领先，亚利桑那州仍然是哈里斯自今年公布摇摆州记分卡以来连续第二周获胜最难的战场州。

According to a RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump leads Harri, 49% to 47.4%, while the New York Times polling average has Trump leading 50% to 48%. The Washington Post survey shows Trump is strongest in Arizona, with a 6-point lead among registered voters and a 3-point lead among likely voters.

根据 RealClearPolitics 的民意调查平均值，特朗普以 49% 比 47.4% 领先哈里，而《纽约时报》的民调平均值显示特朗普领先 50% 比 48%。 《华盛顿邮报》的调查显示，特朗普在亚利桑那州的支持率最高，在登记选民中领先 6 个百分点，在可能选民中领先 3 个百分点。

Harris tapped Barack Obama to stump in the state last week when he slammed Trump’s mental fitness to serve another term as president and is leaning on centrist GOP supporters of the late Sen. John McCain to help her win the state.

哈里斯上周任命巴拉克·奥巴马(Barack Obama)在该州竞选，当时他猛烈抨击特朗普连任总统的心理健康状况，并依靠已故参议员约翰·麦凯恩(John McCain)的中间派共和党支持者帮助她赢得该州。

2. Georgia

2. 格鲁吉亚

Like Arizona, Georgia also maintained its second-place status in the scorecard ranking for the second week in a row as Trump continues to lead in polls.

与亚利桑那州一样，随着特朗普在民意调查中继续领先，佐治亚州也连续第二周在记分卡排名中保持第二名的地位。

According to the RealClearPolitics polling average in the Peach State, Trump bests Harris 48.8% to 47%, while the New York Times polling average shows Trump leading 49% to 48%.

根据桃州RealClearPolitics的民调平均值，特朗普以48.8%对47%击败哈里斯，而《纽约时报》的民调平均值显示特朗普以49%对48%领先。

However, the Washington Post survey shows Harris’s support is strongest in Georgia where she leads by 6 points among registered voters and 4 points among likely voters.

然而，《华盛顿邮报》的调查显示，哈里斯在佐治亚州的支持率最高，她在登记选民中领先 6 个百分点，在可能选民中领先 4 个百分点。

Harris spent part of her 60th birthday in the state on Sunday, where the musical superstar Stevie Wonder serenaded her. The vice president visited two churches as part of the “Souls to the Polls” initiative to turn out black voters and on Thursday, Barack Obama will join Harris in the Peach State.

周日，哈里斯在该州度过了她 60 岁生日的一部分，音乐巨星史蒂夫·旺德 (Stevie Wonder) 为她唱了小夜曲。作为“灵魂投票”倡议的一部分，副总统参观了两座教堂，以选出黑人选民。周四，巴拉克·奥巴马将与哈里斯一起前往桃州。

Trump spent Sunday working at a McDonald’s in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, as he accused Harris of lying about working at the fast-food restaurant.

特朗普周日在宾夕法尼亚州巴克斯县的一家麦当劳工作，他指责哈里斯在快餐店工作的问题上撒谎。

3. Michigan

3.密歇根州

Harris appeared in Michigan on Monday with Cheney, a hardcore Trump opponent, as she seeks to win over Republicans and maintain her slim lead in the state.

哈里斯周一与特朗普的铁杆对手切尼一起出现在密歇根州，她寻求赢得共和党的支持并保持在该州的微弱领先优势。

According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average in the Wolverine State, Harris slightly leads Trump 47.4% to 47.2%. Harris also has a slight lead among likely voters in the state, 49% to 47%, according to the Washington Post survey.

根据 FiveThirtyEight 在狼獾州的民意调查平均值，哈里斯以 47.4% 比 47.2% 略微领先特朗普。根据《华盛顿邮报》的调查，哈里斯在该州可能投票的选民中也略有领先，为 49% 比 47%。

But the New York Times polling average shows Harris and Trump tied at 48%, and RealClearPolitics’s average shows Trump leading 48.8% to 47.6%.

但《纽约时报》的民调平均值显示，哈里斯和特朗普的支持率持平，均为 48%，而 RealClearPolitics 的平均值显示，特朗普的支持率为 48.8% 对 47.6%。

Both candidates appeared in the state on Friday, where Harris knocked Trump for canceling interviews due to exhaustion and Trump claimed he would boost American manufacturing by imposing steep tariffs.

两位候选人均于周五出现在该州，哈里斯批评特朗普因精疲力尽而取消采访，而特朗普则声称他将通过征收高额关税来提振美国制造业。

Michelle Obama is also set to stump with Harris in the state on Saturday for the first time this election cycle.

米歇尔·奥巴马也将于周六在该州与哈里斯一起进行本次选举周期的首次竞选。

But the vice president will still have to figure out how to win over the sizable Arab and Muslim population that wants the Biden-Harris administration to end U.S. support to Israel in its battle against Hamas due to the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. Michigan is the state where the “Uncommitted” movement against President Joe Biden began during the presidential primaries.

但副总统仍需弄清楚如何赢得大量阿拉伯和穆斯林人口的支持，他们希望拜登-哈里斯政府因加沙的人道主义危机而结束美国对以色列对抗哈马斯的支持。密歇根州是总统初选期间针对乔·拜登总统的“不承诺”运动开始的州。

4. North Carolina

4.北卡罗来纳州

The Tar Heel State, once seen as in jeopardy for Trump due to the Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s online activity, appears to lean slightly more in the former president’s favor.

由于共和党副州长马克·罗宾逊的在线活动，焦油脚跟州一度被视为对特朗普构成威胁，但现在似乎更倾向于这位前总统。

According to a RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump leads Harris 48.4% to 47.9%. He also leads Harris in the state 48.1% to 47.3% in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

根据 RealClearPolitics 的民意调查平均值，特朗普以 48.4% 比 47.9% 领先哈里斯。在 FiveThirtyEight 的民意调查中，他还在该州以 48.1% 比 47.3% 领先哈里斯。

Trump has one of his largest leads in the state among likely voters, where he bests Harris 50% to 4

特朗普在该州的潜在选民中拥有最大的领先优势之一，他以 50% 比 4 的优势击败哈里斯