2024 ELECTIONS LIVE UPDATES: LATEST NEWS ON THE TRUMP-HARRIS PRESIDENTIAL RACE

With early voting well underway with at least 15 million votes cast, Harris and Trump are locked in a coin-flip contest two weeks out before Election Day.

With early voting well underway with at least 15 million votes cast, Harris and Trump are locked in a coin-flip contest two weeks out before Election Day.

Some battleground polls, such as the RealClearPolitics polling average, show Trump with a slight advantage over Harris, while a Washington Post–Schar School survey shows both candidates tied in the battlegrounds.

Both Harris and Trump are spending the final two weeks stumping in states where they must win. The vice president is spending part of this week traveling in the blue wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin with former Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney to shore up support among disaffected Republicans.

Harris will also hit the campaign trail with former President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama as she seeks to rejuvenate disaffected black voters.

Trump, meanwhile, is stumping in North Carolina and Georgia, two states that will likely ensure a second term if he wins both states, and Pennsylvania. He’ll also head to Nevada and his former home state New York for rallies this week.

As casual voters begin truly paying attention to the election, the Washington Examiner reranked the battleground states according to which will be the hardest for the vice president to win.

1. Arizona

Arizona remains the hardest battleground state for Harris to win for the second week in a row since the swing-state scorecard was published this year due to Trump maintaining his polling lead.

According to a RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump leads Harri, 49% to 47.4%, while the New York Times polling average has Trump leading 50% to 48%. The Washington Post survey shows Trump is strongest in Arizona, with a 6-point lead among registered voters and a 3-point lead among likely voters.

Harris tapped Barack Obama to stump in the state last week when he slammed Trump’s mental fitness to serve another term as president and is leaning on centrist GOP supporters of the late Sen. John McCain to help her win the state.

2. Georgia

Like Arizona, Georgia also maintained its second-place status in the scorecard ranking for the second week in a row as Trump continues to lead in polls.

According to the RealClearPolitics polling average in the Peach State, Trump bests Harris 48.8% to 47%, while the New York Times polling average shows Trump leading 49% to 48%.

However, the Washington Post survey shows Harris’s support is strongest in Georgia where she leads by 6 points among registered voters and 4 points among likely voters.

Harris spent part of her 60th birthday in the state on Sunday, where the musical superstar Stevie Wonder serenaded her. The vice president visited two churches as part of the “Souls to the Polls” initiative to turn out black voters and on Thursday, Barack Obama will join Harris in the Peach State.

Trump spent Sunday working at a McDonald’s in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, as he accused Harris of lying about working at the fast-food restaurant.

3. Michigan

Harris appeared in Michigan on Monday with Cheney, a hardcore Trump opponent, as she seeks to win over Republicans and maintain her slim lead in the state.

According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average in the Wolverine State, Harris slightly leads Trump 47.4% to 47.2%. Harris also has a slight lead among likely voters in the state, 49% to 47%, according to the Washington Post survey.

But the New York Times polling average shows Harris and Trump tied at 48%, and RealClearPolitics’s average shows Trump leading 48.8% to 47.6%.

Both candidates appeared in the state on Friday, where Harris knocked Trump for canceling interviews due to exhaustion and Trump claimed he would boost American manufacturing by imposing steep tariffs.

Michelle Obama is also set to stump with Harris in the state on Saturday for the first time this election cycle.

But the vice president will still have to figure out how to win over the sizable Arab and Muslim population that wants the Biden-Harris administration to end U.S. support to Israel in its battle against Hamas due to the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. Michigan is the state where the “Uncommitted” movement against President Joe Biden began during the presidential primaries.

4. North Carolina

The Tar Heel State, once seen as in jeopardy for Trump due to the Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s online activity, appears to lean slightly more in the former president’s favor.

According to a RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump leads Harris 48.4% to 47.9%. He also leads Harris in the state 48.1% to 47.3% in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.

Trump has one of his largest leads in the state among likely voters, where he bests Harris 50% to 4