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比特幣 (BTC) 在周一的恐慌性拋售導致價格下跌 2,000 美元後表現強勁並顯著復甦。
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows strength and remarkable recovery after a panic selling on Monday that dropped the price by $2,000. The brief panic surged following Mt. Gox’s onchain activity, moving $2.2 billion worth of Bitcoin – raising sell-off alerts.
比特幣 (BTC) 價格在周一的恐慌性拋售導致價格下跌 2,000 美元後表現強勁並顯著復甦。 Mt. Gox 的鏈上活動引發了短暫的恐慌,轉移了價值 22 億美元的比特幣,引發了拋售警報。
On November 4, Mt. Gox moved $2.2 billion worth of 32,371 BTC to the unlabeled wallet address 1FG2CvCnJAsb48Y1r3R43WwHwFJhXRveoy. Previously, a similar movement preceded repayments to the defunct exchange creditors on Kraken, negatively impacting Bitcoin’s price, as Finbold reported.
11 月 4 日,Mt. Gox 將價值 22 億美元的 32,371 BTC 轉移到未標記的錢包位址 1FG2CvCnJAsb48Y1r3R43WwHwFJhXRveoy。根據 Finbold 報導,此前,在向 Kraken 上已解散的交易所債權人償還債務之前,也發生過類似的行動,對比特幣的價格產生了負面影響。
Interestingly, the receiving wallet uses a legacy Bitcoin address format called P2PKH, which is no longer used by the industry.
有趣的是,接收錢包使用稱為 P2PKH 的傳統比特幣地址格式,該格式已不再被業界使用。
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Investors have been closely monitoring the address as the market awaits for the conclusion of Mt. Gox repayments’ drama. However, another change in the deadline for this over-a-decade fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) that looms Bitcoin has been announced by the trustee.
隨著市場等待 Mt. Gox 償還事件的結局,投資者一直在密切關注該地址。然而,受託人宣布了針對比特幣十多年來的恐懼、不確定性和懷疑(FUD)的最後期限的另一項變化。
According to a press release, the repayment deadline has moved from October 31, 2024, to October 31, 2025.
根據新聞稿,還款期限已從2024年10月31日延後至2025年10月31日。
”As it is desirable to make the Repayments to such rehabilitation creditors to the extent reasonably practicable, the Rehabilitation Trustee, with the permission of the court, has changed the deadline for the Repayments from October 31, 2024 (Japan Standard Time) to October 31, 2025 (Japan Standard Time).”
」由於希望在合理可行的範圍內向此類重整債權人進行還款,重整受託人經法院許可,已將還款期限從 2024 年 10 月 31 日(日本標準時間)更改為 10 月2025 年3 月31 日(日本標準時間)。
Bitcoin price analysis during and after Mt. Gox-related panic selling
Mt. Gox 相關恐慌性拋售期間和之後的比特幣價格分析
Notably, Bitcoin dropped from $68,785 to $66,813 as the Mt. Gox wallet moved over 32,000 BTC. Nevertheless, the leading cryptocurrency recovered from the panic selling, back to the levels it was at before Mt. Gox’s movement.
值得注意的是,隨著 Mt.Gox 錢包轉移超過 32,000 BTC,比特幣從 68,785 美元跌至 66,813 美元。儘管如此,領先的加密貨幣還是從恐慌性拋售中恢復過來,回到了 Mt. Gox 走勢之前的水平。
Overall, Bitcoin has strongly held above the high and low time frame downtrends (HTF and LTF) since October 15. The current price level resembles an accumulation pattern after a corrective wave, retesting the LTF previous resistance as support.
整體而言,自10 月15 日以來,比特幣一直堅守在高點和低點時間框架下降趨勢(HTF 和LTF)之上。的阻力位作為支撐。
While traders and investors await to see what will happen next, this is expected to be a volatile week.
儘管交易員和投資者等待接下來會發生什麼,但預計本週將是動盪的一周。
Today, November 5, US citizens will vote between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as the next United States president. Analysts believe Trump will be better for the markets, including BTC, so the traders will try to price the result.
今天,即 11 月 5 日,美國公民將在唐納德·川普和卡馬拉·哈里斯之間投票選出下一任美國總統。分析師認為川普將對包括比特幣在內的市場有利,因此交易員將嘗試對結果進行定價。
Tomorrow, November 6, the Federal Reserve will decide on the next interest rate target, likely influencing global macroeconomics. This is because the state of US Treasury bonds has raised concerns among experts, deeming it “absolutely terrifying” right now.
明天,也就是 11 月 6 日,聯準會將決定下一個利率目標,這可能會影響全球宏觀經濟。這是因為美國國債的狀況引起了專家的擔憂,認為現在「絕對可怕」。
In the meantime, Bitcoin traders have shown different biases backed by both bearish and bullish short-term analyses. Alan Santana, for example, believes we are seeing a bull trap preceding a massive crash. Peter Brandt warned the recently claimed “breakout” is not a real breakout, as it misses some items from technical theory.
同時,比特幣交易者在看跌和看漲短期分析的支持下表現出了不同的偏見。例如,艾倫桑塔納 (Alan Santana) 認為,我們在大規模崩盤之前就看到了牛市陷阱。彼得布蘭特警告說,最近聲稱的「突破」並不是真正的突破,因為它遺漏了技術理論中的一些內容。
Conversely, Bitcoin could still achieve between 7% to 42% gains in November, according to historical results, as Finbold analyzed. Other analysts eye for prices above the $100,000 level for 2025.
相反,正如 Finbold 分析的那樣,根據歷史結果,比特幣在 11 月仍可能實現 7% 至 42% 的漲幅。其他分析師預計 2025 年價格將突破 10 萬美元。
In summary, while Bitcoin’s recent price action was bearish due to a panic selling event related to Mt. Gox movements, the leading cryptocurrency remains strong above a seven-month downtrend line, retesting it as support as the US presidential elections and interest rate decisions could shake the market and bring volatility. Analysts diverge in their forecasts for the short-term, although agreeing with a long-term bullish stance.
總而言之,雖然比特幣最近的價格走勢因與Mt. Gox 走勢相關的恐慌性拋售事件而看跌,但領先的加密貨幣在七個月下降趨勢線上方仍然強勁,隨著美國總統選舉和利率決定可能會重新測試它作為支撐震動市場並帶來波動。儘管分析師都同意長期看漲立場,但他們對短期的預測存在分歧。
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