比特币（BTC）在周一恐慌抛售后表现强劲并显着复苏

比特币 (BTC) 在周一的恐慌性抛售导致价格下跌 2,000 美元后表现强劲并显着复苏。

Bitcoin (BTC) price shows strength and remarkable recovery after a panic selling on Monday that dropped the price by $2,000. The brief panic surged following Mt. Gox’s onchain activity, moving $2.2 billion worth of Bitcoin – raising sell-off alerts.

比特币 (BTC) 价格在周一的恐慌性抛售导致价格下跌 2,000 美元后表现强劲并显着复苏。 Mt. Gox 的链上活动引发了短暂的恐慌，转移了价值 22 亿美元的比特币，引发了抛售警报。

On November 4, Mt. Gox moved $2.2 billion worth of 32,371 BTC to the unlabeled wallet address 1FG2CvCnJAsb48Y1r3R43WwHwFJhXRveoy. Previously, a similar movement preceded repayments to the defunct exchange creditors on Kraken, negatively impacting Bitcoin’s price, as Finbold reported.

11 月 4 日，Mt. Gox 将价值 22 亿美元的 32,371 BTC 转移到未标记的钱包地址 1FG2CvCnJAsb48Y1r3R43WwHwFJhXRveoy。据 Finbold 报道，此前，在向 Kraken 上已解散的交易所债权人偿还债务之前，也发生过类似的行动，对比特币的价格产生了负面影响。

Interestingly, the receiving wallet uses a legacy Bitcoin address format called P2PKH, which is no longer used by the industry.

有趣的是，接收钱包使用称为 P2PKH 的传统比特币地址格式，该格式已不再被行业使用。

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Investors have been closely monitoring the address as the market awaits for the conclusion of Mt. Gox repayments’ drama. However, another change in the deadline for this over-a-decade fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) that looms Bitcoin has been announced by the trustee.

随着市场等待 Mt. Gox 偿还事件的结局，投资者一直在密切关注该地址。然而，受托人宣布了针对比特币十多年来的恐惧、不确定性和怀疑（FUD）的最后期限的另一项变化。

According to a press release, the repayment deadline has moved from October 31, 2024, to October 31, 2025.

根据新闻稿，还款期限已从2024年10月31日推迟至2025年10月31日。

​”As it is desirable to make the Repayments to such rehabilitation creditors to the extent reasonably practicable, the Rehabilitation Trustee, with the permission of the court, has changed the deadline for the Repayments from October 31, 2024 (Japan Standard Time) to October 31, 2025 (Japan Standard Time).”

​”由于希望在合理可行的范围内向此类重整债权人进行还款，重整受托人经法院许可，已将还款期限从 2024 年 10 月 31 日（日本标准时间）更改为 10 月2025 年 3 月 31 日（日本标准时间）。”

Bitcoin price analysis during and after Mt. Gox-related panic selling

Mt. Gox 相关恐慌性抛售期间和之后的比特币价格分析

Notably, Bitcoin dropped from $68,785 to $66,813 as the Mt. Gox wallet moved over 32,000 BTC. Nevertheless, the leading cryptocurrency recovered from the panic selling, back to the levels it was at before Mt. Gox’s movement.

值得注意的是，随着 Mt.Gox 钱包转移超过 32,000 BTC，比特币从 68,785 美元跌至 66,813 美元。尽管如此，领先的加密货币还是从恐慌性抛售中恢复过来，回到了 Mt. Gox 走势之前的水平。

Overall, Bitcoin has strongly held above the high and low time frame downtrends (HTF and LTF) since October 15. The current price level resembles an accumulation pattern after a corrective wave, retesting the LTF previous resistance as support.

总体而言，自 10 月 15 日以来，比特币一直坚守在高点和低点时间框架下降趋势（HTF 和 LTF）之上。当前的价格水平类似于修正波后的积累模式，重新测试 LTF 之前的阻力位作为支撑。

While traders and investors await to see what will happen next, this is expected to be a volatile week.

尽管交易员和投资者等待接下来会发生什么，但预计本周将是动荡的一周。

Today, November 5, US citizens will vote between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as the next United States president. Analysts believe Trump will be better for the markets, including BTC, so the traders will try to price the result.

今天，11 月 5 日，美国公民将在唐纳德·特朗普和卡马拉·哈里斯之间投票选出下一任美国总统。分析师认为特朗普将对包括比特币在内的市场有利，因此交易员将尝试对结果进行定价。

Tomorrow, November 6, the Federal Reserve will decide on the next interest rate target, likely influencing global macroeconomics. This is because the state of US Treasury bonds has raised concerns among experts, deeming it “absolutely terrifying” right now.

明天，即 11 月 6 日，美联储将决定下一个利率目标，这可能会影响全球宏观经济。这是因为美国国债的状况引起了专家的担忧，认为现在“绝对可怕”。

In the meantime, Bitcoin traders have shown different biases backed by both bearish and bullish short-term analyses. Alan Santana, for example, believes we are seeing a bull trap preceding a massive crash. Peter Brandt warned the recently claimed “breakout” is not a real breakout, as it misses some items from technical theory.

与此同时，比特币交易者在看跌和看涨短期分析的支持下表现出了不同的偏见。例如，艾伦·桑塔纳 (Alan Santana) 认为，我们在大规模崩盘之前看到了牛市陷阱。彼得勃兰特警告说，最近声称的“突破”并不是真正的突破，因为它遗漏了技术理论中的一些内容。

Conversely, Bitcoin could still achieve between 7% to 42% gains in November, according to historical results, as Finbold analyzed. Other analysts eye for prices above the $100,000 level for 2025.

相反，正如 Finbold 分析的那样，根据历史结果，比特币在 11 月份仍可能实现 7% 至 42% 的涨幅。其他分析师预计 2025 年价格将突破 10 万美元。

In summary, while Bitcoin’s recent price action was bearish due to a panic selling event related to Mt. Gox movements, the leading cryptocurrency remains strong above a seven-month downtrend line, retesting it as support as the US presidential elections and interest rate decisions could shake the market and bring volatility. Analysts diverge in their forecasts for the short-term, although agreeing with a long-term bullish stance.

总而言之，虽然比特币最近的价格走势因与 Mt. Gox 走势相关的恐慌性抛售事件而看跌，但领先的加密货币在七个月下降趋势线上方仍然强劲，随着美国总统选举和利率决定可能会重新测试它作为支撑震动市场并带来波动。尽管分析师们都同意长期看涨立场，但他们对短期的预测存在分歧。