多市场选举赌注：特朗普与哈里斯把钱花在嘴上

近几个月来，即将到来的美国大选成为加密货币行业讨论最多的话题之一。

With the US elections just around the corner, prediction platforms have become buzzing hubs for users to place their bets on the potential outcome. Among these platforms, the Polygon-based Polymarket has taken center stage, facilitating staggering bets in the millions.

随着美国大选临近，预测平台已成为用户对潜在结果进行押注的热闹中心。在这些平台中，基于 Polygon 的 Polymarket 占据了中心舞台，促进了数百万美元的惊人投注。

Now, as the wait intensifies, the platform is revealing who stands to gain the most from either a Trump or Harris victory.

现在，随着等待的加剧，该平台正在揭示谁将从特朗普或哈里斯的胜利中获益最多。

Trump Backers Leading the Charge

特朗普的支持者带头冲锋

Polymarket’s ‘2024 US Election forecast’ has remained a popular battleground for users to take chances on the potential results of the upcoming Harris– Trump elections, and the platform is buzzing with bold wagers.

Polymarket 的“2024 年美国大选预测”仍然是用户对即将到来的哈里斯-特朗普选举的潜在结果进行冒险的热门战场，该平台上充斥着大胆的投注。

A few bettors have positioned themselves for staggering payouts on the election outcome. One player, ‘Fredi9999’, placed a bold $27.15 million on Trump to win and stands to make a staggering $48.35 million. Another participant with the pseudonym ‘zxgngl’ could pocket as much as $24.75 million from his bet of $15.21 million.

一些投注者已经做好准备，为选举结果带来惊人的赔率。一位名叫“Fredi9999”的玩家大胆下注 2715 万美元，希望特朗普获胜，最终他将获得惊人的 4835 万美元。另一位化名“zxgngl”的参与者可以从他的 1521 万美元赌注中获得高达 2475 万美元的收入。

One other bettor, GCottrell93, whose recent bets briefly drove Trump’s chances to 99% in an anomaly, put in approximately $8.82 million, hoping to win a staggering $13.28 million should the former president take the White House throne.

另一位赌徒GCottrell93最近的赌注短暂地将特朗普的胜算提高到了99%，这是异常的，他投入了大约882万美元，希望如果这位前总统登上白宫宝座，他将赢得惊人的1328万美元。

WHO WILL WIN THE MOST ON THE ELECTION?

谁将在选举中获胜最多？

TRUMP:

王牌：

Fredi9999 (4 accounts) TO WIN $48.35M (cost basis: $27.15M)

Fredi9999（4 个账户）赢得 4835 万美元（成本基础：2715 万美元）

zxgngl TO WIN $24.75M (cost basis: $15.21M)

zxgngl 赢得 2,475 万美元（成本基础：1,521 万美元）

GCottrell93 TO WIN $13.28M (cost basis: $8.82M)

Gcottrell93 赢得 1,328 万美元（成本基础：882 万美元）

KAMALA:

卡马拉：

Ly67890 (4 accounts) TO WIN $16.06M (cost basis: $5.91M)

Ly67890（4 个账户）赢得 1606 万美元（成本基础：591 万美元）

leier TO WIN… pic.twitter.com/EmAivkKL5r

雷尔要赢…… pic.twitter.com/EmAivkKL5r

However, Trump’s backers are not the only ones making bold bets. While somewhat smaller, predictions for Harris to win are also backed with big cheques, with one ‘Ly67890’ in with $5.91 million to win a total of $16.06 million. Another bettor, ‘leier’ is betting on winning $10.87M should the Vice President with $5.02 million, while one other ‘markitzero’ hopes for $8.36 million with a total bet of $4.04 million.

然而，特朗普的支持者并不是唯一做出大胆押注的人。虽然规模较小，但对哈里斯获胜的预测也得到了巨额支票的支持，其中一张“Ly67890”投入了 591 万美元，总共赢得了 1606 万美元。另一位投注者“leier”押注如果副总统下注 502 万美元，他将赢得 1087 万美元，而另一位“markitzero”则希望赢得 836 万美元，总投注额为 404 万美元。

As the wait intensifies, one candidate is taking the lead.

随着等待的加剧，一名候选人取得了领先。

Trump’s Odds Continue to Shine

特朗普的胜算继续增加

Throughout the past few weeks, Donald Trump has maintained clear dominance on the Polymarket, outshining Kamala Harris by a major gap.

在过去的几周里，唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)在综合市场上保持着明显的主导地位，以巨大差距领先卡马拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)。

With the odds at approximately 62% to 38% in his favor at the time of writing, Trump’s chances have continued to surge impressively in recent weeks, leading the way in predictions across key swing states.

截至撰写本文时，特朗普的胜算约为 62% 至 38%，近几周来，特朗普的胜算继续大幅上升，在关键摇摆州的预测中处于领先地位。

On the other hand, Harris’ odds have been on a downward slope, with the vice President now hovering around the 30% range despite previously displaying impressive performance.

另一方面，哈里斯的胜算一直在下降，尽管此前表现出色，但副总统现在的胜算徘徊在 30% 左右。

It is important to note that predictions on Polymarket and other platforms are not definitive indicators of the actual election results, and how the high-stakes battle plays out ultimately remains to be seen.

值得注意的是，Polymarket 和其他平台上的预测并不是实际选举结果的明确指标，这场高风险的战斗最终如何进行还有待观察。