多市場選舉賭注：川普與哈里斯把錢花在嘴上

近幾個月來，即將到來的美國大選成為加密貨幣行業討論最多的話題之一。

With the US elections just around the corner, prediction platforms have become buzzing hubs for users to place their bets on the potential outcome. Among these platforms, the Polygon-based Polymarket has taken center stage, facilitating staggering bets in the millions.

隨著美國大選臨近，預測平台已成為用戶對潛在結果進行押注的熱鬧中心。在這些平台中，基於 Polygon 的 Polymarket 佔據了中心舞台，促進了數百萬美元的驚人投注。

Now, as the wait intensifies, the platform is revealing who stands to gain the most from either a Trump or Harris victory.

現在，隨著等待的加劇，該平台正在揭示誰將從川普或哈里斯的勝利中獲益最多。

Trump Backers Leading the Charge

川普的支持者帶頭衝鋒

Polymarket’s ‘2024 US Election forecast’ has remained a popular battleground for users to take chances on the potential results of the upcoming Harris– Trump elections, and the platform is buzzing with bold wagers.

Polymarket 的「2024 年美國大選預測」仍然是用戶對即將到來的哈里斯-川普選舉的潛在結果進行冒險的熱門戰場，該平台充斥著大膽的投注。

A few bettors have positioned themselves for staggering payouts on the election outcome. One player, ‘Fredi9999’, placed a bold $27.15 million on Trump to win and stands to make a staggering $48.35 million. Another participant with the pseudonym ‘zxgngl’ could pocket as much as $24.75 million from his bet of $15.21 million.

一些投注者已經做好準備，為選舉結果帶來驚人的賠率。一位名為「Fredi9999」的玩家大膽下注 2715 萬美元，希望川普獲勝，最終他將獲得驚人的 4835 萬美元。另一位化名「zxgngl」的參與者可以從他的 1521 萬美元賭注中獲得高達 2475 萬美元的收入。

One other bettor, GCottrell93, whose recent bets briefly drove Trump’s chances to 99% in an anomaly, put in approximately $8.82 million, hoping to win a staggering $13.28 million should the former president take the White House throne.

另一位賭徒GCottrell93最近的賭注短暫地將川普的勝算提高到了99%，這是異常的，他投入了大約882萬美元，希望如果這位前總統登上白宮寶座，他將贏得驚人的1328萬美元。

WHO WILL WIN THE MOST ON THE ELECTION?

誰將在選舉中獲勝最多？

TRUMP:

王牌：

Fredi9999 (4 accounts) TO WIN $48.35M (cost basis: $27.15M)

Fredi9999（4 個帳戶）贏得 4835 萬美元（成本基礎：2715 萬美元）

zxgngl TO WIN $24.75M (cost basis: $15.21M)

zxgngl 贏得 2,475 萬美元（成本基礎：1,521 萬美元）

GCottrell93 TO WIN $13.28M (cost basis: $8.82M)

Gcottrell93 贏得 1,328 萬美元（成本基礎：882 萬美元）

KAMALA:

卡瑪拉：

Ly67890 (4 accounts) TO WIN $16.06M (cost basis: $5.91M)

Ly67890（4 個帳戶）贏得 1606 萬美元（成本基礎：591 萬美元）

leier TO WIN… pic.twitter.com/EmAivkKL5r

雷爾要贏… pic.twitter.com/EmAivkKL5r

However, Trump’s backers are not the only ones making bold bets. While somewhat smaller, predictions for Harris to win are also backed with big cheques, with one ‘Ly67890’ in with $5.91 million to win a total of $16.06 million. Another bettor, ‘leier’ is betting on winning $10.87M should the Vice President with $5.02 million, while one other ‘markitzero’ hopes for $8.36 million with a total bet of $4.04 million.

然而，川普的支持者並不是唯一做出大膽押注的人。雖然規模較小，但對哈里斯獲勝的預測也得到了巨額支票的支持，其中一張「Ly67890」投入了 591 萬美元，總共贏得了 1606 萬美元。另一位投注者「leier」押注如果副總統下注 502 萬美元，他將贏得 1087 萬美元，而另一位「markitzero」則希望贏得 836 萬美元，總投注額為 404 萬美元。

As the wait intensifies, one candidate is taking the lead.

隨著等待的加劇，一名候選人取得了領先。

Trump’s Odds Continue to Shine

川普的勝算持續增加

Throughout the past few weeks, Donald Trump has maintained clear dominance on the Polymarket, outshining Kamala Harris by a major gap.

在過去的幾周里，唐納德·川普(Donald Trump)在綜合市場上保持著明顯的主導地位，以巨大差距領先卡馬拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)。

With the odds at approximately 62% to 38% in his favor at the time of writing, Trump’s chances have continued to surge impressively in recent weeks, leading the way in predictions across key swing states.

截至本文撰寫時，川普的勝算約為 62% 至 38%，近幾週來，川普的勝算繼續大幅上升，在關鍵搖擺州的預測中處於領先地位。

On the other hand, Harris’ odds have been on a downward slope, with the vice President now hovering around the 30% range despite previously displaying impressive performance.

另一方面，哈里斯的勝算一直在下降，儘管此前表現出色，但副總統現在的勝算徘徊在 30% 左右。

It is important to note that predictions on Polymarket and other platforms are not definitive indicators of the actual election results, and how the high-stakes battle plays out ultimately remains to be seen.

值得注意的是，Polymarket 和其他平台上的預測並不是實際選舉結果的明確指標，這場高風險的戰鬥最終如何進行還有待觀察。