專家分析顯示，XRP 價格預測模型預計市場價值可達數千美元

在 YouTube 的分析中，加密貨幣專家 Crypto AiMan 重點介紹了兩種預測 XRP 大幅成長的估值模型。他提出了一個可能達到數千美元的公平市場價值。

Two XRP price prediction models analyzed by a crypto expert suggest the digital asset could be fairly valued in the thousands of dollars, thanks to its potential role in a new financial ecosystem.

加密貨幣專家分析的兩個 XRP 價格預測模型表明，由於其在新金融生態系統中的潛在作用，該數位資產的公平估值可能達到數千美元。

Key Takeaways

重點

Two XRP price prediction models forecast the coin could be fairly valued in the thousands.

兩個 XRP 價格預測模型預測該代幣的合理價值可能達到數千美元。

The models predict XRP’s role in a new financial ecosystem could lead to exponential price increases.

這些模型預測 XRP 在新金融生態系統中的作用可能會導致價格呈指數級上漲。

The Athey-Mitchnick model predicts XRP could reach $4,813 by 2030 if 10% of global assets shift to the XRP Ledger.

Athey-Mitchnick 模型預測，如果 10% 的全球資產轉移到 XRP 帳本，那麼到 2030 年 XRP 可能會達到 4,813 美元。

Dr. Bakes’ Pipeline Flow Model envisions XRP as the “plumbing” of an emerging financial framework, projecting a value of $3,541.

Bakes 博士的管道流模型將 XRP 視為新興金融框架的“管道”，預計價值為 3,541 美元。

Both models have limitations, not fully accounting for CBDCs, future XRP use cases, or supply shocks.

這兩種模型都有局限性，沒有完全考慮 CBDC、未來的 XRP 用例或供應衝擊。

Crypto AiMan, a crypto YouTuber, has spotlighted two valuation models that predict a promising future for XRP. These models suggest the digital asset could be fairly valued in the thousands of dollars.

Crypto AiMan 是一位加密貨幣 YouTuber，他重點介紹了兩種預測 XRP 前景光明的估值模型。這些模型表明數位資產的合理估值可能達到數千美元。

The models, developed by renowned researchers, explore XRP’s potential role in a new financial ecosystem, where the blockchain technology will be leveraged for global asset transactions.

這些模型由知名研究人員開發，探索了 XRP 在新金融生態系統中的潛在作用，其中區塊鏈技術將用於全球資產交易。

These models predict that XRP’s adoption in this ecosystem could fuel exponential increases in the coin’s price, positioning it as a cornerstone for future financial infrastructure.

這些模型預測，XRP 在該生態系統中的採用可能會推動該代幣價格呈指數級上漲，從而將其定位為未來金融基礎設施的基石。

However, it’s important to note that these models are based on assumptions and have limitations, which we’ll discuss later.

然而，值得注意的是，這些模型是基於假設的，並且有局限性，我們將在稍後討論。

The first valuation model, crafted by Stanford professor Susan Athey and Robert Mitchnick, forecasts XRP’s value could reach $4,813 by 2030. This prediction is derived from the assumption that 10% of global assets and transactions will transfer to the XRP Ledger.

第一個估值模型由史丹佛大學教授 Susan Athey 和 Robert Mitchnick 制定，預測 XRP 的價值到 2030 年可能達到 4,813 美元。

The model also anticipates a “snowball effect,” where growing adoption attracts more users, thereby boosting XRP’s price.

該模型還預測了“雪球效應”，即越來越多的採用會吸引更多用戶，從而推高 XRP 的價格。

The model considers economic principles like Jevon’s Paradox, which suggests that increased utility may drive further demand, strengthening XRP’s position in financial systems.

該模型考慮了傑文悖論等經濟原理，該悖論表明效用的增加可能會推動進一步的需求，從而加強 XRP 在金融體系中的地位。

Meanwhile, a second model, the Pipeline Flow Model by Dr. Dion Bakes, envisions XRP as the essential “plumbing” of an emerging financial framework. In this scenario, XRP’s value is projected to reach $3,541, considering it as the backbone for a seamless global transaction network.

同時，第二個模型，即 Dion Bakes 博士的管道流模型，將 XRP 視為新興金融框架的基本「管道」。在這種情況下，XRP 的價值預計將達到 3,541 美元，將其視為無縫全球交易網路的支柱。

Dr. Bakes’ model anticipates a “Big Bang” effect, where initial price spikes could occur as XRP adoption intensifies, followed by steady, long-term growth as XRP solidifies its role in the financial sector.

Bakes 博士的模型預計會出現「大爆炸」效應，即隨著 XRP 採用的加強，最初的價格可能會飆升，隨後隨著 XRP 鞏固其在金融領域的作用，價格將出現穩定、長期的增長。

Assumptions and Methodologies Underpinning the Predictions

支持預測的假設和方法

The Athey-Mitchnick model assumes a gradual but significant shift of global transactions to the XRP Ledger, with anticipated effects of compounded demand.

Athey-Mitchnick 模型假設全球交易逐漸但顯著地轉向 XRP 帳本，並預期複合需求的影響。

This approach relies on concepts such as the “virtual cycle flywheel,” where adoption drives further demand, creating a self-reinforcing cycle.

這種方法依賴「虛擬循環飛輪」等概念，其中的採用會推動進一步的需求，從而創造一個自我強化的循環。

Moreover, the model integrates economic principles like Jevon’s Paradox to assess XRP’s potential value in this scenario.

此外，該模型還整合了傑文悖論等經濟原理來評估 XRP 在這種情況下的潛在價值。

Dr. Bakes’ Pipeline Flow Model derives XRP’s value from its role in facilitating global asset transactions.

Bakes 博士的管道流模型從 XRP 在促進全球資產交易中的作用中得出了其價值。

The model considers a portion of the $5.5 quadrillion in global assets shifting to XRP, envisioning the digital asset as the “plumbing” of a new financial ecosystem.

該模型考慮了全球 5.5 千萬億美元資產中的一部分轉移到 XRP，並將數位資產設想為新金融生態系統的「管道」。

This model anticipates a “Big Bang” effect as XRP adoption intensifies, followed by steady, long-term growth.

該模型預計，隨著 XRP 採用的加強，會出現「大爆炸」效應，隨後會出現穩定、長期的成長。

Both models have limitations. Neither model fully accounts for potential impacts of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), which could compete with or alter XRP’s transaction volume.

兩種模型都有限制。這兩種模型都沒有充分考慮中央銀行數位貨幣（CBDC）的潛在影響，因為它可能與 XRP 的交易量競爭或改變。

Additionally, emerging use cases for XRP remain unknown, potentially affecting future valuation.

此外，XRP 的新興用例仍然未知，可能會影響未來的估值。

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Potential Drawbacks: Supply Shocks and Future Applications

潛在缺點：供應衝擊與未來應用

While the models present bullish projections, they also highlight potential limitations. Supply shocks, regulatory factors, and CBDC developments could affect XRP’s adoption and value.

雖然這些模型呈現出看漲的預測，但它們也凸顯了潛在的限制。供應衝擊、監管因素和 CBDC 的發展可能會影響 XRP 的採用和價值。

However, these aspects are not fully addressed in the models.

然而，這些方面在模型中並未充分解決。

Furthermore, future applications for XRP, which could expand or limit its functionality, are not included in these predictions. This leaves room for variability in the projected price estimates.

此外，XRP 的未來應用可能會擴展或限制其功能，因此不包括在這些預測中。這為預期價格估算留下了可變空間。

Despite XRP’s current low price, these models suggest a long-term investment opportunity. Crypto AiMan advises caution against quick-selling, as the models indicate substantial growth potential if adoption trends follow these forecasts.

儘管 XRP 目前價格較低，但這些模型表明存在長期投資機會。 Crypto AiMan 建議謹慎對待快速銷售，因為如果採用趨勢遵循這些預測，這些模型表明存在巨大的成長潛力。

According to AiMan, sharing this information could help counter any immediate doubts about XRP’s prospects, especially among those who might be concerned about the asset’s future value.

根據 AiMan 的說法，分享這些資訊可能有助於消除對 XRP 前景的任何直接懷疑，特別是那些可能擔心該資產未來價值的人。