专家分析显示，XRP 价格预测模型预计市场价值可达数千美元

在 YouTube 的分析中，加密货币专家 Crypto AiMan 重点介绍了两种预测 XRP 大幅增长的估值模型。他提出了一个可能达到数千美元的公平市场价值。

Two XRP price prediction models analyzed by a crypto expert suggest the digital asset could be fairly valued in the thousands of dollars, thanks to its potential role in a new financial ecosystem.

加密货币专家分析的两个 XRP 价格预测模型表明，由于其在新金融生态系统中的潜在作用，该数字资产的公平估值可能达到数千美元。

Key Takeaways

要点

Two XRP price prediction models forecast the coin could be fairly valued in the thousands.

两个 XRP 价格预测模型预测该代币的合理价值可能达到数千美元。

The models predict XRP’s role in a new financial ecosystem could lead to exponential price increases.

这些模型预测 XRP 在新金融生态系统中的作用可能会导致价格呈指数级上涨。

The Athey-Mitchnick model predicts XRP could reach $4,813 by 2030 if 10% of global assets shift to the XRP Ledger.

Athey-Mitchnick 模型预测，如果 10% 的全球资产转移到 XRP 账本，那么到 2030 年 XRP 可能会达到 4,813 美元。

Dr. Bakes’ Pipeline Flow Model envisions XRP as the “plumbing” of an emerging financial framework, projecting a value of $3,541.

Bakes 博士的管道流模型将 XRP 视为新兴金融框架的“管道”，预计价值为 3,541 美元。

Both models have limitations, not fully accounting for CBDCs, future XRP use cases, or supply shocks.

这两种模型都有局限性，没有完全考虑 CBDC、未来的 XRP 用例或供应冲击。

Crypto AiMan, a crypto YouTuber, has spotlighted two valuation models that predict a promising future for XRP. These models suggest the digital asset could be fairly valued in the thousands of dollars.

Crypto AiMan 是一位加密货币 YouTuber，他重点介绍了两种预测 XRP 前景光明的估值模型。这些模型表明数字资产的合理估值可能达到数千美元。

The models, developed by renowned researchers, explore XRP’s potential role in a new financial ecosystem, where the blockchain technology will be leveraged for global asset transactions.

这些模型由知名研究人员开发，探索了 XRP 在新金融生态系统中的潜在作用，其中区块链技术将用于全球资产交易。

These models predict that XRP’s adoption in this ecosystem could fuel exponential increases in the coin’s price, positioning it as a cornerstone for future financial infrastructure.

这些模型预测，XRP 在该生态系统中的采用可能会推动该代币价格呈指数级上涨，从而将其定位为未来金融基础设施的基石。

However, it’s important to note that these models are based on assumptions and have limitations, which we’ll discuss later.

然而，值得注意的是，这些模型是基于假设的，并且存在局限性，我们将在稍后讨论。

The first valuation model, crafted by Stanford professor Susan Athey and Robert Mitchnick, forecasts XRP’s value could reach $4,813 by 2030. This prediction is derived from the assumption that 10% of global assets and transactions will transfer to the XRP Ledger.

第一个估值模型由斯坦福大学教授 Susan Athey 和 Robert Mitchnick 制定，预测 XRP 的价值到 2030 年可能达到 4,813 美元。这一预测是基于全球 10% 的资产和交易将转移到 XRP Ledger 的假设。

The model also anticipates a “snowball effect,” where growing adoption attracts more users, thereby boosting XRP’s price.

该模型还预测了“雪球效应”，即越来越多的采用会吸引更多用户，从而推高 XRP 的价格。

The model considers economic principles like Jevon’s Paradox, which suggests that increased utility may drive further demand, strengthening XRP’s position in financial systems.

该模型考虑了杰文悖论等经济原理，该悖论表明效用的增加可能会推动进一步的需求，从而加强 XRP 在金融体系中的地位。

Meanwhile, a second model, the Pipeline Flow Model by Dr. Dion Bakes, envisions XRP as the essential “plumbing” of an emerging financial framework. In this scenario, XRP’s value is projected to reach $3,541, considering it as the backbone for a seamless global transaction network.

与此同时，第二个模型，即 Dion Bakes 博士的管道流模型，将 XRP 视为新兴金融框架的基本“管道”。在这种情况下，XRP 的价值预计将达到 3,541 美元，将其视为无缝全球交易网络的支柱。

Dr. Bakes’ model anticipates a “Big Bang” effect, where initial price spikes could occur as XRP adoption intensifies, followed by steady, long-term growth as XRP solidifies its role in the financial sector.

Bakes 博士的模型预计会出现“大爆炸”效应，即随着 XRP 采用的加强，最初的价格可能会出现飙升，随后随着 XRP 巩固其在金融领域的地位，价格会出现稳定、长期的增长。

Assumptions and Methodologies Underpinning the Predictions

支持预测的假设和方法

The Athey-Mitchnick model assumes a gradual but significant shift of global transactions to the XRP Ledger, with anticipated effects of compounded demand.

Athey-Mitchnick 模型假设全球交易逐渐但显着地转向 XRP 账本，并预期复合需求的影响。

This approach relies on concepts such as the “virtual cycle flywheel,” where adoption drives further demand, creating a self-reinforcing cycle.

这种方法依赖于“虚拟循环飞轮”等概念，其中的采用会推动进一步的需求，从而创建一个自我强化的循环。

Moreover, the model integrates economic principles like Jevon’s Paradox to assess XRP’s potential value in this scenario.

此外，该模型还整合了杰文悖论等经济原理来评估 XRP 在这种情况下的潜在价值。

Dr. Bakes’ Pipeline Flow Model derives XRP’s value from its role in facilitating global asset transactions.

Bakes 博士的管道流模型从 XRP 在促进全球资产交易中的作用中得出了其价值。

The model considers a portion of the $5.5 quadrillion in global assets shifting to XRP, envisioning the digital asset as the “plumbing” of a new financial ecosystem.

该模型考虑了全球 5.5 千万亿美元资产中的一部分转移到 XRP，并将数字资产设想为新金融生态系统的“管道”。

This model anticipates a “Big Bang” effect as XRP adoption intensifies, followed by steady, long-term growth.

该模型预计，随着 XRP 采用的加强，会出现“大爆炸”效应，随后会出现稳定、长期的增长。

Both models have limitations. Neither model fully accounts for potential impacts of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), which could compete with or alter XRP’s transaction volume.

两种模型都有局限性。这两种模型都没有充分考虑中央银行数字货币（CBDC）的潜在影响，因为它可能与 XRP 的交易量竞争或改变。

Additionally, emerging use cases for XRP remain unknown, potentially affecting future valuation.

此外，XRP 的新兴用例仍然未知，可能会影响未来的估值。

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Potential Drawbacks: Supply Shocks and Future Applications

潜在缺点：供应冲击和未来应用

While the models present bullish projections, they also highlight potential limitations. Supply shocks, regulatory factors, and CBDC developments could affect XRP’s adoption and value.

虽然这些模型呈现出看涨的预测，但它们也凸显了潜在的局限性。供应冲击、监管因素和 CBDC 的发展可能会影响 XRP 的采用和价值。

However, these aspects are not fully addressed in the models.

然而，这些方面在模型中并未得到充分解决。

Furthermore, future applications for XRP, which could expand or limit its functionality, are not included in these predictions. This leaves room for variability in the projected price estimates.

此外，XRP 的未来应用可能会扩展或限制其功能，但不包括在这些预测中。这为预计价格估算留下了可变空间。

Despite XRP’s current low price, these models suggest a long-term investment opportunity. Crypto AiMan advises caution against quick-selling, as the models indicate substantial growth potential if adoption trends follow these forecasts.

尽管 XRP 目前价格较低，但这些模型表明存在长期投资机会。 Crypto AiMan 建议谨慎对待快速销售，因为如果采用趋势遵循这些预测，这些模型表明存在巨大的增长潜力。

According to AiMan, sharing this information could help counter any immediate doubts about XRP’s prospects, especially among those who might be concerned about the asset’s future value.

根据 AiMan 的说法，分享这些信息可能有助于消除对 XRP 前景的任何直接怀疑，特别是那些可能担心该资产未来价值的人。