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專家告訴本辛加,這場競選似乎是平分秋色,市場情緒已經考慮到川普可能會獲勝。
The 2024 presidential election could significantly impact the price direction of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and the broader crypto markets, with experts predicting a Trump victory boding well for the apex coin.
2024 年總統選舉可能會對比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場的價格方向產生重大影響,專家預測川普的勝利對頂級硬幣來說是個好兆頭。
According to Benzinga Pro, Stuart Connolly, Chief Investment Officer at Deus X Capital, a Trump win could see Bitcoin rally by $5,000 to $10,000. In contrast, a Harris victory may lead to a drop of $10,000 to $20,000 in the cryptocurrency's value.
Deus X Capital 首席投資長 Stuart Connolly 表示,川普獲勝可能會導致比特幣價格上漲 5,000 美元至 10,000 美元。相比之下,哈里斯的勝利可能會導致加密貨幣的價值下跌 10,000 美元至 20,000 美元。
Despite the potential setback, Connolly anticipates Bitcoin's price trajectory to continue upwards, potentially reaching $150,000 within the next year. This estimation is influenced by broader market dynamics, regardless of the election outcome.
儘管有潛在的挫折,康諾利預計比特幣的價格軌跡將繼續上漲,可能在明年達到 15 萬美元。無論選舉結果如何,這一估計都會受到更廣泛的市場動態的影響。
Meanwhile, Bitfinex analysts highlighted Bitcoin's low volatility levels in a note to Benzinga, indicating market caution.
同時,Bitfinex 分析師在給 Benzinga 的一份報告中強調了比特幣的低波動性水平,表明市場謹慎。
As investors eagerly await the election results, which will determine near-term market shifts, a lack of volatility could signal a deeper correction for Bitcoin on shorter timeframes.
由於投資者熱切等待選舉結果(這將決定近期市場的變化),缺乏波動性可能預示著比特幣在較短的時間內將出現更深層的調整。
“Apathy in the options market to price movements often reflects a more bearish sentiment than strong put buying,” they observed, indicating that without volatility, the market might lean towards a correction.
他們觀察到,“期權市場對價格走勢的冷漠往往反映了比看跌買盤強勁的看跌情緒”,這表明如果沒有波動,市場可能會傾向於調整。
Technical analysts at Fairlead Strategies also shared their analysis with Benzinga Pro. The firm is neutral on Bitcoin's short-term prospects, with the cryptocurrency recently testing resistance near $67,300.
Fairlead Strategies 的技術分析師也與 Benzinga Pro 分享了他們的分析。該公司對比特幣的短期前景持中性態度,該加密貨幣最近測試了 67,300 美元附近的阻力位。
Fairlead's analysis shows that momentum has softened, and while Bitcoin's weekly MACD indicator remains positive, the monthly MACD has been trending lower for several months.
Fairlead 的分析顯示,勢頭已經減弱,雖然比特幣的每週 MACD 指標仍然為正,但每月 MACD 已經連續幾個月呈下降趨勢。
This loss of strength behind Bitcoin's cyclical uptrend and slowing momentum supports Fairlead's neutral long-term bias.
比特幣週期性上漲趨勢背後的力量喪失和勢頭放緩支持了 Fairlead 的中性長期偏見。
Initial support is observed around the 50-day moving average, near $65,100, with secondary support at the weekly cloud level of $59,700.
初步支撐位於 50 日移動均線附近,即 65,100 美元附近,次要支撐位於週雲線水平 59,700 美元。
Fairlead's analysis for Ether (CRYPTO: ETH) presents a similar cautionary picture.
Fairlead 對以太幣(加密貨幣:ETH)的分析也呈現類似的警告畫面。
The cryptocurrency has shown signs of declining momentum, testing initial support around $2,453.
該加密貨幣已顯示出勢頭下降的跡象,測試了 2,453 美元附近的初步支撐。
Analysts note that should Ether break below this level, it could signal a short-term bearish trend with a possible retest of the longer-term support zone in the $2,030 to $2,141 range.
分析師指出,如果以太幣跌破該水平,可能預示著短期看跌趨勢,可能會重新測試 2,030 美元至 2,141 美元區間的長期支撐區域。
Ether's recent downtrend since March continues to hamper its recovery potential, with analysts emphasizing that a substantial catalyst would be needed to regain investor confidence.
以太坊自 3 月以來的下跌趨勢繼續阻礙其復甦潛力,分析師強調需要大量催化劑才能重拾投資者信心。
“The indicators suggest that there is a good chance of a retest of long-term support in the $2030-$2141 zone,” they observed, further highlighting Ether's weakened position compared to Bitcoin.
他們觀察到,“指標表明,很有可能重新測試 2030-2141 美元區域的長期支撐位”,這進一步凸顯了以太坊相對於比特幣的弱勢地位。
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