专家表示，比特币 (BTC) 的价格方向可能会根据 2024 年美国总统选举结果发生变化

专家告诉本辛加，这场竞选似乎是平分秋色，市场情绪已经考虑到特朗普可能获胜。

The 2024 presidential election could significantly impact the price direction of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and the broader crypto markets, with experts predicting a Trump victory boding well for the apex coin.

2024 年总统选举可能会对比特币（加密货币：BTC）和更广泛的加密货币市场的价格方向产生重大影响，专家预测特朗普的胜利对顶级硬币来说是个好兆头。

According to Benzinga Pro, Stuart Connolly, Chief Investment Officer at Deus X Capital, a Trump win could see Bitcoin rally by $5,000 to $10,000. In contrast, a Harris victory may lead to a drop of $10,000 to $20,000 in the cryptocurrency's value.

Deus X Capital 首席投资官 Stuart Connolly 表示，特朗普获胜可能会导致比特币价格上涨 5,000 美元至 10,000 美元。相比之下，哈里斯的胜利可能会导致加密货币的价值下跌 10,000 美元至 20,000 美元。

Despite the potential setback, Connolly anticipates Bitcoin's price trajectory to continue upwards, potentially reaching $150,000 within the next year. This estimation is influenced by broader market dynamics, regardless of the election outcome.

尽管存在潜在的挫折，康诺利预计比特币的价格轨迹将继续上涨，可能在明年达到 15 万美元。无论选举结果如何，这一估计都会受到更广泛的市场动态的影响。

Meanwhile, Bitfinex analysts highlighted Bitcoin's low volatility levels in a note to Benzinga, indicating market caution.

与此同时，Bitfinex 分析师在给 Benzinga 的一份报告中强调了比特币的低波动性水平，表明市场谨慎。

As investors eagerly await the election results, which will determine near-term market shifts, a lack of volatility could signal a deeper correction for Bitcoin on shorter timeframes.

由于投资者热切等待选举结果（这将决定近期市场的变化），缺乏波动性可能预示着比特币在较短的时间内将出现更深层次的调整。

“Apathy in the options market to price movements often reflects a more bearish sentiment than strong put buying,” they observed, indicating that without volatility, the market might lean towards a correction.

他们观察到，“期权市场对价格走势的冷漠往往反映了比看跌买盘强劲的看跌情绪”，这表明如果没有波动，市场可能会倾向于调整。

Technical analysts at Fairlead Strategies also shared their analysis with Benzinga Pro. The firm is neutral on Bitcoin's short-term prospects, with the cryptocurrency recently testing resistance near $67,300.

Fairlead Strategies 的技术分析师也与 Benzinga Pro 分享了他们的分析。该公司对比特币的短期前景持中性态度，该加密货币最近测试了 67,300 美元附近的阻力位。

Fairlead's analysis shows that momentum has softened, and while Bitcoin's weekly MACD indicator remains positive, the monthly MACD has been trending lower for several months.

Fairlead 的分析显示，势头已经减弱，虽然比特币的每周 MACD 指标仍然为正，但每月 MACD 已经连续几个月呈下降趋势。

This loss of strength behind Bitcoin's cyclical uptrend and slowing momentum supports Fairlead's neutral long-term bias.

比特币周期性上涨趋势背后的力量丧失和势头放缓支持了 Fairlead 的中性长期偏见。

Initial support is observed around the 50-day moving average, near $65,100, with secondary support at the weekly cloud level of $59,700.

初步支撑位于 50 日移动均线附近，接近 65,100 美元，次要支撑位于周云层 59,700 美元。

Fairlead's analysis for Ether (CRYPTO: ETH) presents a similar cautionary picture.

Fairlead 对以太币（加密货币：ETH）的分析也呈现出类似的警告画面。

The cryptocurrency has shown signs of declining momentum, testing initial support around $2,453.

该加密货币已显示出势头下降的迹象，测试了 2,453 美元附近的初步支撑位。

Analysts note that should Ether break below this level, it could signal a short-term bearish trend with a possible retest of the longer-term support zone in the $2,030 to $2,141 range.

分析师指出，如果以太币跌破该水平，则可能预示着短期看跌趋势，可能会重新测试 2,030 美元至 2,141 美元区间的长期支撑区域。

Ether's recent downtrend since March continues to hamper its recovery potential, with analysts emphasizing that a substantial catalyst would be needed to regain investor confidence.

以太坊自 3 月份以来的下跌趋势继续阻碍其复苏潜力，分析师强调需要大量催化剂才能重拾投资者信心。

“The indicators suggest that there is a good chance of a retest of long-term support in the $2030-$2141 zone,” they observed, further highlighting Ether's weakened position compared to Bitcoin.

他们观察到，“指标表明，很有可能重新测试 2030-2141 美元区域的长期支撑位”，这进一步凸显了以太坊相对于比特币的弱势地位。