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本周,比特币(BTC)在美国的三个主要经济指标中发现自己处于金融市场的关注中心
This week, Bitcoin (BTC) finds itself at the center of attention in the financial markets as three major economic indicators in the United States could disrupt its trajectory.
本周,比特币(BTC)在金融市场上发现自己处于关注的核心,因为美国的三个主要经济指标可能会破坏其轨迹。
Since the beginning of the year, the correlation between Bitcoin and American macroeconomic data has intensified, making the crypto sensitive to global economic fluctuations.
自今年年初以来,比特币与美国宏观经济数据之间的相关性加剧了,使得加密对全球经济波动敏感。
As BTC stagnates just below the $100,000 mark, these indicators could well be the catalyst for change.
由于BTC停滞不前,这些指标很可能是变化的催化剂。
Inflation: a double-edged sword
通货膨胀:双刃剑
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the United States, expected this Wednesday, will be a key moment for assessing the state of inflation.
预计将在本周三,美国的消费者价格指数(CPI)将是评估通货膨胀状况的关键时刻。
According to economists polled by Dow Jones, CPI is expected to rise by 0.3% in October, slowing down from the 0.4% increase in the previous month.
根据道琼斯(Dow Jones)的经济学家的说法,CPI预计将在10月上升0.3%,从上个月增长0.4%的增长速度下降。
Moreover, core inflation, which excludes the volatile prices of energy and food, will also be scrutinized. This figure is anticipated to remain stable at 3.3% on a yearly basis.
此外,排除能源和食物的波动价格的核心通货膨胀也将受到审查。预计该数字每年保持稳定为3.3%。
A lower-than-expected inflation could boost Bitcoin's value as it reduces the chances of immediate interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
超过预期的通货膨胀可以提高比特币的价值,因为它减少了美联储即时利率上涨的机会。
However, if inflation proves to be stickier than expected, it could limit the extent of Bitcoin’s movements.
但是,如果通货膨胀被证明比预期的要粘稠,则可能会限制比特币运动的程度。
The labor market: a barometer of the economy
劳动力市场:经济晴雨表
Initial claims for unemployment benefits, to be released on Thursday, will provide a snapshot of the American economic health.
将于周四发布的失业福利的最初索赔将提供美国经济健康的快照。
The claims are expected to rise slightly to 224,000, signaling a slowdown in the labor market.
预计这些索赔将略有上升到224,000,这表明劳动力市场的放缓。
However, a stronger-than-expected labor market could put pressure on Bitcoin, with investors interpreting this as a signal for potential monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.
但是,一个比预期的劳动力市场可能对比特币构成压力,投资者将其解释为美联储潜在收紧货币的信号。
Thursday will also mark the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI), an indicator often regarded as the “thermometer” for costs in the production chain.
周四还将标志着生产商价格指数(PPI)的发行,这是一个通常被视为生产链成本的“温度计”的指标。
According to Dow Jones, the PPI is expected to increase by 0.2% in October, slowing down from the 0.4% rise in the previous month.
根据道琼斯(Dow Jones)的说法,PPI预计将在10月增加0.2%,从上个月的0.4%增长速度下降。
Furthermore, core PPI, which excludes the volatile prices of energy and food, is anticipated to remain stable at 2.8% on a yearly basis.
此外,排除能源和食物的波动价格的Core PPI预计每年将保持稳定为2.8%。
However, this release comes at a strategic moment, just before the Fed meeting in December. A significant rise in the PPI could prompt the central bank to adopt a stricter monetary policy, which could weaken demand for Bitcoin in the short term.
但是,此版本是在12月美联储会议之前的战略时刻出现的。 PPI的大幅上升可能会促使中央银行采取更严格的货币政策,这可能会在短期内削弱对比特币的需求。
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