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本週,比特幣(BTC)在美國的三個主要經濟指標中發現自己處於金融市場的關注中心
This week, Bitcoin (BTC) finds itself at the center of attention in the financial markets as three major economic indicators in the United States could disrupt its trajectory.
本週,比特幣(BTC)在金融市場上發現自己處於關注的核心,因為美國的三個主要經濟指標可能會破壞其軌跡。
Since the beginning of the year, the correlation between Bitcoin and American macroeconomic data has intensified, making the crypto sensitive to global economic fluctuations.
自今年年初以來,比特幣與美國宏觀經濟數據之間的相關性加劇了,使得加密對全球經濟波動敏感。
As BTC stagnates just below the $100,000 mark, these indicators could well be the catalyst for change.
由於BTC停滯不前,這些指標很可能是變化的催化劑。
Inflation: a double-edged sword
通貨膨脹:雙刃劍
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the United States, expected this Wednesday, will be a key moment for assessing the state of inflation.
預計將在本週三,美國的消費者價格指數(CPI)將是評估通貨膨脹狀況的關鍵時刻。
According to economists polled by Dow Jones, CPI is expected to rise by 0.3% in October, slowing down from the 0.4% increase in the previous month.
根據道瓊斯(Dow Jones)的經濟學家的說法,CPI預計將在10月上升0.3%,從上個月增長0.4%的增長速度下降。
Moreover, core inflation, which excludes the volatile prices of energy and food, will also be scrutinized. This figure is anticipated to remain stable at 3.3% on a yearly basis.
此外,排除能源和食物的波動價格的核心通貨膨脹也將受到審查。預計該數字每年保持穩定為3.3%。
A lower-than-expected inflation could boost Bitcoin's value as it reduces the chances of immediate interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
超過預期的通貨膨脹可以提高比特幣的價值,因為它減少了美聯儲即時利率上漲的機會。
However, if inflation proves to be stickier than expected, it could limit the extent of Bitcoin’s movements.
但是,如果通貨膨脹被證明比預期的要粘稠,則可能會限制比特幣運動的程度。
The labor market: a barometer of the economy
勞動力市場:經濟晴雨表
Initial claims for unemployment benefits, to be released on Thursday, will provide a snapshot of the American economic health.
將於週四發布的失業福利的最初索賠將提供美國經濟健康的快照。
The claims are expected to rise slightly to 224,000, signaling a slowdown in the labor market.
預計這些索賠將略有上升到224,000,這表明勞動力市場的放緩。
However, a stronger-than-expected labor market could put pressure on Bitcoin, with investors interpreting this as a signal for potential monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.
但是,一個比預期的勞動力市場可能對比特幣構成壓力,投資者將其解釋為美聯儲潛在收緊貨幣的信號。
Thursday will also mark the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI), an indicator often regarded as the “thermometer” for costs in the production chain.
週四還將標誌著生產商價格指數(PPI)的發行,這是一個通常被視為生產鏈成本的“溫度計”的指標。
According to Dow Jones, the PPI is expected to increase by 0.2% in October, slowing down from the 0.4% rise in the previous month.
根據道瓊斯(Dow Jones)的說法,PPI預計將在10月增加0.2%,從上個月的0.4%增長速度下降。
Furthermore, core PPI, which excludes the volatile prices of energy and food, is anticipated to remain stable at 2.8% on a yearly basis.
此外,排除能源和食物的波動價格的Core PPI預計每年將保持穩定為2.8%。
However, this release comes at a strategic moment, just before the Fed meeting in December. A significant rise in the PPI could prompt the central bank to adopt a stricter monetary policy, which could weaken demand for Bitcoin in the short term.
但是,此版本是在12月美聯儲會議之前的戰略時刻出現的。 PPI的大幅上升可能會促使中央銀行採取更嚴格的貨幣政策,這可能會在短期內削弱對比特幣的需求。
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