随着选举临近，特朗普的领先优势大幅领先于哈里斯

前总统唐纳德·特朗普穿着麦当劳制服，帮助宾夕法尼亚州一家餐厅的员工工作

Former President Donald Trump's appearance at a McDonald's in Feasterville-Trevose, Bucks County, Pennsylvania has created a buzz on social media and is also impacting the presidential election predictions market.

前总统唐纳德·特朗普出现在宾夕法尼亚州雄鹿县费斯特维尔-特莱弗斯的一家麦当劳餐厅，在社交媒体上引起了轰动，也影响了总统选举预测市场。

Trump donned a McDonald's uniform and helped out the staff at the Pennsylvania establishment, part of a broader strategy to hit back at Vice President Kamala Harris's claims of having worked at a McDonald's during her college years, which Trump has repeatedly disputed. He has pointed out that Harris hasn't provided evidence of her employment at the fast-food chain, and no one has been able to verify it.

特朗普穿上麦当劳制服，为宾夕法尼亚州的工作人员提供帮助，这是一项更广泛战略的一部分，旨在回击副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯声称大学期间曾在麦当劳工作过的说法，而特朗普对此一再提出异议。他指出，哈里斯没有提供她在这家快餐连锁店工作的证据，也没有人能够证实这一点。

Trump's antics at McDonald's were framed as a playful dig at Harris, highlighting his well-known fondness for the popular burger joint. Since the appearance, Trump's odds of winning the election, at least according to Polymarket, have surged well ahead of Harris's chances.

特朗普在麦当劳的滑稽动作被认为是对哈里斯的讽刺，突显了他对这家受欢迎的汉堡店的众所周知的喜爱。自亮相以来，特朗普赢得选举的几率（至少根据Polymarket的说法）大幅领先于哈里斯。

Harris now has a 37.5% chance of winning while Trump secures a commanding 62.6% as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern Time on Oct. 21.

截至美国东部时间 10 月 21 日中午 12:30，哈里斯获胜的几率为 37.5%，而特朗普的获胜几率为 62.6%。

Polymarket bettors have Trump leading in all six key swing states—Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin—with a commanding margin in each. Meanwhile, Harris holds a 63% edge in the popular vote, compared to Trump's 37%.

Polymarket 投注者认为特朗普在所有六个关键摇摆州（密歇根州、宾夕法尼亚州、佐治亚州、亚利桑那州、内华达州和威斯康星州）均领先，每个州都以压倒性优势领先。与此同时，哈里斯在普选中拥有 63% 的优势，而特朗普则为 37%。

Polymarket users also predict a Republican presidency and Senate, while the Democrats are favored to take control of the House.

Polymarket 用户还预测共和党将担任总统和参议院，而民主党则有望控制众议院。

On predictit.org, Trump holds a 57% lead, while Harris follows with a 47% chance. Over on covers.com, Trump's implied probability is 65.2%, compared to Harris's 40%. Betohio.com shows Trump with a 55.6% chance, edging out Harris's 50% odds.

在 Predictit.org 上，特朗普领先 57%，哈里斯以 47% 的领先优势紧随其后。在 covers.com 上，特朗普的隐含概率为 65.2%，而哈里斯的隐含概率为 40%。 Betohio.com 显示特朗普的胜算为 55.6%，击败了哈里斯的 50%。

With only 15 days left until Election Day, the race is tightening, and the pressure is on. Trump's recent surge in the swing states reflects shifting sentiment, while Harris maintains an edge in the popular vote odds. As time ticks down, each candidate's strategy could define the final outcome.

距离选举日仅剩 15 天，竞争日趋激烈，压力也越来越大。特朗普最近在摇摆州的支持率飙升反映了情绪的转变，而哈里斯在普选率方面保持着优势。随着时间的流逝，每位候选人的策略都可能决定最终结果。

On social media channels, Trump's McDonald's tactic resonated with people because it showcased a relatable, lighthearted moment with the former President. Even those who aren't fans of politics found the event amusing.

在社交媒体渠道上，特朗普的麦当劳策略引起了人们的共鸣，因为它展示了与前总统的一个亲切、轻松的时刻。即使那些不喜欢政治的人也觉得这个活动很有趣。