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加密貨幣新聞文章

隨著選舉臨近,川普的領先優勢大幅領先哈里斯

2024/10/22 01:35

前總統川普穿著麥當勞制服,幫助賓州一家餐廳的員工工作

隨著選舉臨近,川普的領先優勢大幅領先哈里斯

Former President Donald Trump's appearance at a McDonald's in Feasterville-Trevose, Bucks County, Pennsylvania has created a buzz on social media and is also impacting the presidential election predictions market.

前總統唐納德·川普出現在賓夕法尼亞州雄鹿縣費斯特維爾-特萊弗斯的一家麥當勞餐廳,在社交媒體上引起了轟動,也影響了總統選舉預測市場。

Trump donned a McDonald's uniform and helped out the staff at the Pennsylvania establishment, part of a broader strategy to hit back at Vice President Kamala Harris's claims of having worked at a McDonald's during her college years, which Trump has repeatedly disputed. He has pointed out that Harris hasn't provided evidence of her employment at the fast-food chain, and no one has been able to verify it.

川普穿上麥當勞制服,為賓州的工作人員提供幫助,這是一項更廣泛戰略的一部分,旨在回擊副總統卡瑪拉·哈里斯聲稱大學期間曾在麥當勞工作過的說法,而川普對此一再提出異議。他指出,哈里斯沒有提供她在這家速食連鎖店工作的證據,也沒有人能夠證實這一點。

Trump's antics at McDonald's were framed as a playful dig at Harris, highlighting his well-known fondness for the popular burger joint. Since the appearance, Trump's odds of winning the election, at least according to Polymarket, have surged well ahead of Harris's chances.

川普在麥當勞的滑稽動作被認為是對哈里斯的諷刺,突顯了他對這家受歡迎的漢堡店的眾所周知的喜愛。自亮相以來,川普贏得選舉的幾率(至少根據Polymarket的說法)大幅領先哈里斯。

Harris now has a 37.5% chance of winning while Trump secures a commanding 62.6% as of 12:30 p.m. Eastern Time on Oct. 21.

截至美國東部時間 10 月 21 日中午 12:30,哈里斯獲勝的幾率為 37.5%,而川普的獲勝幾率為 62.6%。

Polymarket bettors have Trump leading in all six key swing states—Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin—with a commanding margin in each. Meanwhile, Harris holds a 63% edge in the popular vote, compared to Trump's 37%.

Polymarket 投注者認為川普在所有六個關鍵搖擺州(密西根州、賓州、喬治亞州、亞利桑那州、內華達州和威斯康辛州)均領先,每個州都以壓倒性優勢領先。與此同時,哈里斯在普選中擁有 63% 的優勢,而川普則為 37%。

Polymarket users also predict a Republican presidency and Senate, while the Democrats are favored to take control of the House.

Polymarket 用戶還預測共和黨將擔任總統和參議院,而民主黨則有望控制眾議院。

On predictit.org, Trump holds a 57% lead, while Harris follows with a 47% chance. Over on covers.com, Trump's implied probability is 65.2%, compared to Harris's 40%. Betohio.com shows Trump with a 55.6% chance, edging out Harris's 50% odds.

在 Predictit.org 上,川普領先 57%,哈里斯以 47% 的領先優勢緊隨其後。在 covers.com 上,川普的隱含機率為 65.2%,而哈里斯的隱含機率為 40%。 Betohio.com 顯示川普的勝算為 55.6%,擊敗了哈里斯的 50%。

With only 15 days left until Election Day, the race is tightening, and the pressure is on. Trump's recent surge in the swing states reflects shifting sentiment, while Harris maintains an edge in the popular vote odds. As time ticks down, each candidate's strategy could define the final outcome.

距離選舉日僅剩 15 天,競爭日益激烈,壓力也越來越大。川普最近在搖擺州的支持率飆升反映了情緒的轉變,而哈里斯在普選率方面保持優勢。隨著時間的流逝,每位候選人的策略都可能決定最終結果。

On social media channels, Trump's McDonald's tactic resonated with people because it showcased a relatable, lighthearted moment with the former President. Even those who aren't fans of politics found the event amusing.

在社群媒體管道上,川普的麥當勞策略引起了人們的共鳴,因為它展示了與前總統的一個親切、輕鬆的時刻。即使那些不喜歡政治的人也覺得這個活動很有趣。

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