随着美国 - 中国贸易紧张局势继续弥补全球市场，美国传统资产正在干草

密歇根大学的最新调查于周五发布，发现消费者情绪从570年降至50.8，在三年内接近最沮丧的水平，远低于2020年Covid关机时所看到的。

U.S. economic pessimism hit a three-year high in August, according to the University of Michigan's final reading of its consumer sentiment index, which fell to 50.8 from July's 57.0. The index is now at its lowest level since August 2020, and economists had expected a reading of 55.1.

根据密歇根大学对消费者情感指数的最终读取，美国的经济悲观情绪在8月份达到了三年，该指数从7月的57.0开始降至50.8。该指数现在处于自2020年8月以来的最低水平，经济学家预计阅读55.1。

The broadest measure of consumer spending, which is adjusted for inflation and seasonal variations, decreased by 0.3% in July, compared to economists' predictions of a 0.1% rise and June's flat reading, according to a report by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

根据美国经济经济分析局的一份报告，与经济学家对0.1％上升和六月的坦率阅读的预测相比，7月对消费者支出进行调整的最广泛的量度降低了0.3％。

The University of Michigan survey also showed that year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 6.7%, the highest since 1981. Economists had anticipated a reading of 5%.

密歇根大学的调查还表明，一年一度的通货膨胀预期增长到6.7％，是1981年以来最高的。经济学家预计读数为5％。

"Consumers grew more pessimistic about the economic outlook in August, with the overall index falling to its lowest level since August 2020," said Paul A. Schons, Ph.D., director of the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. "The decline was driven by a worsening assessment of both the current economic conditions and the outlook for the year ahead."

密歇根大学消费者分校调查的总监Paul A. Schons博士说：“消费者对8月的经济前景变得更加悲观，总体指数降至2020年8月以来的最低水平。” “下降是由于对当前的经济状况和未来一年的前景的评估而造成的。”

"Inflation expectations also rose sharply, with consumers now expecting inflation to reach 3.3% over the next 12 months, the highest reading since July 2023. This is a significant increase from last month's expectation of 2.8% and reflects the ongoing pressure on prices."

“通货膨胀预期也急剧上升，现在消费者预计通货膨胀在未来12个月内将达到3.3％，这是自2023年7月以来的最高读数。这比上个月预期的2.8％大幅增长，反映出价格持续的压力。”

The survey's one-year inflation expectations slid to 3.3% from 2.8%, while permanent inflation expectations remained at 2.9%.

该调查的一年通货膨胀预期从2.8％起下降到3.3％，而永久性通货膨胀预期仍为2.9％。

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index is a monthly survey of 600 consumers conducted by the University of Michigan's Survey Research Center. The survey is used to track consumer confidence and pessimism about the U.S. economy.

密歇根大学的消费者情感指数是密歇根大学调查研究中心进行的600名消费者的每月调查。该调查用于跟踪消费者对美国经济的信心和悲观主义。

The survey's findings are released in two stages: a preliminary report, which is based on a sample of 500 consumers, and a final report, which is based on a full sample of 600 consumers. The final report is typically released on the Friday following the preliminary report.

调查的发现分为两个阶段：初步报告，该报告基于500名消费者的样本和最终报告，该报告基于600名消费者的完整样本。最终报告通常在初步报告后的星期五发布。

The consumer sentiment index is a valuable indicator of economic activity, as consumer spending accounts for the majority of U.S. GDP. When consumers are confident about the economy, they are more likely to spend money, which can boost economic growth. Conversely, when consumers are pessimistic about the economy, they are more likely to save money, which can dampen economic activity.

消费者情感指数是经济活动的宝贵指标，因为消费者支出的大多数是美国GDP。当消费者对经济充满信心时，他们更有可能花钱，这可以促进经济增长。相反，当消费者对经济感到悲观时，他们更有可能省钱，这可能会抑制经济活动。

The survey's findings can also influence Federal Reserve policy. If the survey shows that consumers are expecting high inflation, the Fed may be more likely to raise interest rates to keep inflation in check.

调查的发现也可能影响美联储政策。如果调查显示消费者期望通货膨胀率很高，则美联储可能更有可能提高利率以保持通货膨胀。

Overall, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index is a closely watched indicator of the health of the U.S. economy. The index's recent decline is a sign that consumers are becoming more pessimistic about the economy, which could have implications for consumer spending and economic growth in the months ahead.

总体而言，密歇根大学的消费者情感指数是美国经济健康状况的密切关注的指标。该指数最近的下降表明，消费者对经济变得越来越悲观，这可能会对未来几个月的消费者支出和经济增长产生影响。

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美国后的经济悲观情绪达到了3年的高度；消费者情感下降到50.8，首先出现在外汇新闻上|外汇信号|外汇文章| FXStreet。

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