隨著美國 - 中國貿易緊張局勢繼續彌補全球市場，美國傳統資產正在乾草

密歇根大學的最新調查於週五發布，發現消費者情緒從570年降至50.8，在三年內接近最沮喪的水平，遠低於2020年Covid關機時所看到的。

U.S. economic pessimism hit a three-year high in August, according to the University of Michigan's final reading of its consumer sentiment index, which fell to 50.8 from July's 57.0. The index is now at its lowest level since August 2020, and economists had expected a reading of 55.1.

根據密歇根大學對消費者情感指數的最終讀取，美國的經濟悲觀情緒在8月份達到了三年，該指數從7月的57.0開始降至50.8。該指數現在處於自2020年8月以來的最低水平，經濟學家預計閱讀55.1。

The broadest measure of consumer spending, which is adjusted for inflation and seasonal variations, decreased by 0.3% in July, compared to economists' predictions of a 0.1% rise and June's flat reading, according to a report by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

根據美國經濟經濟分析局的一份報告，與經濟學家對0.1％上升和六月的坦率閱讀的預測相比，7月對消費者支出進行調整的最廣泛的量度降低了0.3％。

The University of Michigan survey also showed that year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 6.7%, the highest since 1981. Economists had anticipated a reading of 5%.

密歇根大學的調查還表明，一年一度的通貨膨脹預期增長到6.7％，是1981年以來最高的。經濟學家預計讀數為5％。

"Consumers grew more pessimistic about the economic outlook in August, with the overall index falling to its lowest level since August 2020," said Paul A. Schons, Ph.D., director of the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. "The decline was driven by a worsening assessment of both the current economic conditions and the outlook for the year ahead."

密歇根大學消費者分校調查的總監Paul A. Schons博士說：“消費者對8月的經濟前景變得更加悲觀，總體指數降至2020年8月以來的最低水平。” “下降是由於對當前的經濟狀況和未來一年的前景的評估而造成的。”

"Inflation expectations also rose sharply, with consumers now expecting inflation to reach 3.3% over the next 12 months, the highest reading since July 2023. This is a significant increase from last month's expectation of 2.8% and reflects the ongoing pressure on prices."

“通貨膨脹預期也急劇上升，現在消費者預計通貨膨脹在未來12個月內將達到3.3％，這是自2023年7月以來的最高讀數。這比上個月預期的2.8％大幅增長，反映出價格持續的壓力。”

The survey's one-year inflation expectations slid to 3.3% from 2.8%, while permanent inflation expectations remained at 2.9%.

該調查的一年通貨膨脹預期從2.8％起下降到3.3％，而永久性通貨膨脹預期仍為2.9％。

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index is a monthly survey of 600 consumers conducted by the University of Michigan's Survey Research Center. The survey is used to track consumer confidence and pessimism about the U.S. economy.

密歇根大學的消費者情感指數是密歇根大學調查研究中心進行的600名消費者的每月調查。該調查用於跟踪消費者對美國經濟的信心和悲觀主義。

The survey's findings are released in two stages: a preliminary report, which is based on a sample of 500 consumers, and a final report, which is based on a full sample of 600 consumers. The final report is typically released on the Friday following the preliminary report.

調查的發現分為兩個階段：初步報告，該報告基於500名消費者的樣本和最終報告，該報告基於600名消費者的完整樣本。最終報告通常在初步報告後的星期五發布。

The consumer sentiment index is a valuable indicator of economic activity, as consumer spending accounts for the majority of U.S. GDP. When consumers are confident about the economy, they are more likely to spend money, which can boost economic growth. Conversely, when consumers are pessimistic about the economy, they are more likely to save money, which can dampen economic activity.

消費者情感指數是經濟活動的寶貴指標，因為消費者支出的大多數是美國GDP。當消費者對經濟充滿信心時，他們更有可能花錢，這可以促進經濟增長。相反，當消費者對經濟感到悲觀時，他們更有可能省錢，這可能會抑制經濟活動。

The survey's findings can also influence Federal Reserve policy. If the survey shows that consumers are expecting high inflation, the Fed may be more likely to raise interest rates to keep inflation in check.

調查的發現也可能影響美聯儲政策。如果調查顯示消費者期望通貨膨脹率很高，則美聯儲可能更有可能提高利率以保持通貨膨脹。

Overall, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index is a closely watched indicator of the health of the U.S. economy. The index's recent decline is a sign that consumers are becoming more pessimistic about the economy, which could have implications for consumer spending and economic growth in the months ahead.

總體而言，密歇根大學的消費者情感指數是美國經濟健康狀況的密切關注的指標。該指數最近的下降表明，消費者對經濟變得越來越悲觀，這可能會對未來幾個月的消費者支出和經濟增長產生影響。

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美國後的經濟悲觀情緒達到了3年的高度；消費者情感下降到50.8，首先出現在外匯新聞上|外匯信號|外匯文章| FXStreet。

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