彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）警告我们要比大萧条更深入衰退

经济学家和黄金倡导者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）在4月18日在Schwab网络的一次采访中发出了可怕的警告，警告说，美国的经济政策正在为灾难性的衰退奠定基础。

Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has issued a stark warning, predicting that the U.S. is headed for a recession deeper than the Great Depression due to soaring debt, rising inflation, and systemic banking risks. In an interview on April 18 with the Schwab Network, Schiff placed the blame on tariffs implemented by President Donald Trump's administration.

经济学家和黄金倡导者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）发布了一个明显的警告，预测，由于债务飙升，通货膨胀率上升和系统性的银行业务风险，美国将遭受比大萧条更深的衰退。在4月18日对Schwab网络的采访中，Schiff将责任归咎于唐纳德·特朗普总统政府实施的关税。

"The recession that Trump inherited is already much worse and is going to get much worse as a result of these misguided tariffs," Schiff stated.

席夫说：“特朗普继承的经济衰退已经变得更糟，由于这些误导的关税，将会变得更糟。”

According to Schiff, unless the tariffs are removed and the administration backs down, the situation will deteriorate into a historical downturn.

根据席夫（Schiff）的说法，除非撤销关税并退缩，否则这种情况将会恶化为历史上的经济低迷。

"This is going to be the worst recession since the Great Depression. It may be worse than the Great Depression. It depends on the mistakes that we make during this recession. It’ll certainly be worse than 2008–2009, the Great Recession, and it’s probably going to include a financial crisis that will be worse than the 2008 financial crisis," the economist asserted.

“这将是自大萧条以来最严重的衰退。这可能比大萧条更糟。这取决于我们在这次衰退期间犯的错误。这肯定会比2008 - 2009年更糟糕的是，这是大衰退，大萧条，而且可能包括一场金融危机，而金融危机可能会比2008年的金融危机更糟糕，”经济学统治。”

Schiff also dismissed recent employment data as a sign of economic growth, arguing that the labor gains are deceptive. He claimed all jobs created last year were part-time positions filled by individuals who could no longer cover expenses with a single job.

希夫还驳回了最近的雇佣数据，这是经济增长的标志，认为劳动力收益具有欺骗性。他声称，去年创造的所有工作都是由个人不再用一份工作支付支出的个人填补的兼职职位。

The gold advocate added that many Americans are juggling multiple jobs and maxed-out credit cards not to improve their lifestyles, but to make ends meet.

黄金倡导者补充说，许多美国人正在兼顾多个工作，并最大程度地发挥了信用卡，而不是改善他们的生活方式，而是要维持生计。

In his view, tariffs will worsen inflation by driving up the cost of imported goods, leading to a collapse in retail spending.

他认为，关税将通过增加进口商品的成本而导致通货膨胀率加剧，从而导致零售支出崩溃。

"There’s going to be massive layoffs, bankruptcies, in the retail sector, a lot of defaults," he said.

他说：“在零售业中，将会有大量裁员，破产，许多违约。”

Schiff expressed major concern over capital flight from U.S. financial assets, which he said is pushing up interest rates. He believes this, in combination with surging prices, could lead to an "inflationary recession."

席夫对美国金融资产的资本飞行表示了重大关注，他说这正在提高利率。他认为这与价格上涨相结合，可能导致“通货膨胀衰退”。

The economist highlighted the U.S. economy’s dependence on imports and the potential repercussions if they cease.

这位经济学家强调了美国经济对进口的依赖以及如果停产的潜在影响。

Schiff explained that previous monetary policy pushed inflation outward while keeping domestic asset prices in check, but he believes that trend is now reversing. As inflation moves from Wall Street to Main Street, it will affect both low- and high-income groups, he said.

Schiff解释说，以前的货币政策将通货膨胀推向了支票，但他认为这种趋势正在逆转。他说，随着通货膨胀从华尔街转移到大街，这将影响低收入和高收入群体。

Commenting on Trump's policies, Schiff said: "He’s doing it even worse than I thought he would."

希夫在评论特朗普的政策时说：“他的行为比我想象的要糟。”

Predicting a sharp drop in the dollar if the Federal Reserve resumes quantitative easing, the gold advocate explained: "It’s going to be an even bigger decline but, for the dollar, the worst thing that can happen is the Fed steps in and goes back to QE to bail out the economy, to bail out the bond market, to stop this coming financial crisis. If the Fed does that, the dollar is going to implode, so it could drop another 20%-30% very quickly."

黄金倡导者解释说：“如果美联储恢复量化的量化，预测美元的急剧下降，这将是一个更大的下降，但是对于美元而言，最糟糕的事情是美联储进一步介入，然后返回QE来救助经济，以救助债券市场，以释放债券市场，停止了这一金融危机。

Schiff further warned:

希夫进一步警告：

Our entire banking system is insolvent … Every single bank in this country will fail if we have a recession with rising interest rates and that’s exactly what we’re going to have.

我们的整个银行体​​系都是无力偿债的……如果我们有利率上升的经济衰退，那么这个国家的每个银行都会失败，这正是我们要拥有的。