随着看涨分析师预测与看跌鲸活动的冲突，Cardano（ADA）价格正在闪烁混合信号。

在加密货币波动的情况下，市场正在努力争取方向，最高山寨币在过去24小时内进行集会。尽管最高分析师乐观，但最近出售的1.8亿ADA捕鲸仍引起了人们对价格强度和延续的担忧。

Crypto analyst ALLINCRYPTO shared a bullish Cardano (ADA) forecast, predicting a potential rally toward $4, based on a recurring price cycle from 2020 to mid-2021, when top meme coin prices consolidated before surging to $3 in a historic breakout.

加密分析师Allincrypto分享了看涨的Cardano（ADA）预测，根据2020年至2021年中期的经常出现的价格周期，预测潜在的集会向4美元，当时最高的Meme Coin价格合并，然后在历史性的突破中飙升至3美元。

According to his analysis, ADA’s current market setup closely mirrors that pre-breakout structure from the last cycle.

根据他的分析，ADA目前的市场设置与上一个周期的突破性结构紧密相似。

Annually repeating pattern on the meme coin price chart

每年在模因硬币价格图表上重复模式

Specifically, the analyst highlighted a clear pattern of accumulation and expansion repeating over time. He argued that ADA price could reach $4 if the final phase of consolidation ends in a similar breakout, adding that although Cardano price is currently far from its all-time high, the historical roadmap remains valid.

具体而言，分析师突出了一种清晰的积累和扩展模式，随着时间的推移重复。他认为，如果合并的最后阶段在类似的突破中结束，ADA价格可能会达到4美元，并补充说，尽管Cardano Price目前距离其历史最高高，但历史路线图仍然有效。

However, market conditions have changed significantly since ADA’s previous cycle. While the analysis is data-driven, factors such as macroeconomic risk and broader market liquidity may limit upside potential.

但是，自ADA上一次周期以来，市场状况发生了很大变化。尽管该分析是数据驱动的，但宏观经济风险和更广泛的市场流动性等因素可能会限制上升潜力。

Even with similar chart patterns, traders must observe confirmation through increased volume and structural resistance tests for a breakout to occur.

即使有类似的图表模式，交易者也必须通过增加体积和结构性阻力测试来观察确认，以便发生突破。

Analyst Identified Triangle Consolidation

分析师确定了三角合并

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Ali Martinez offered a complementary technical perspective, identifying a symmetrical triangle pattern on ADA’s daily chart.

同时，加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）提供了互补的技术观点，并在ADA的每日图表上确定了对称的三角形模式。

Usually, triangle formations suggest a balance between buyers and sellers, setting the stage for a significant breakout.

通常，三角形地层表明买卖双方之间保持平衡，为重大突破奠定了基础。

Martinez noted this tightening range in an April 18 update, predicting a potential 30% move once ADA exits the pattern.

马丁内斯（Martinez）在4月18日的更新中指出了这一紧缩范围，预测，一旦ADA退出模式，潜在的30％的移动。

Interestingly, the top altcoin position inside this triangle aligns with recent price action. The asset was holding above $0.61 at the time of analysis, gradually pushing toward the upper boundary of the triangle.

有趣的是，该三角形内部的顶级替补位置与最近的价格行动保持一致。在分析时，该资产的持有高于0.61美元，逐渐向三角形的上边界推向上限。

A clean breakout could push the ADA price to $0.82, assuming the 30% projection plays out.

假设有30％的投影播放，那么干净的突破可能会将ADA价格提高到0.82美元。

30% Move Expected After Symmetrical Triangle Plays Out

对称三角弹奏后预期30％的移动

“The symmetrical triangle pattern on #Cardano's daily chart suggests a 30% move is brewing. The crypto giant is still operating in a lower-high, lower-low pattern as it trades at $0.61. A breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could propel #ADA to $0.82.”

“＃Cardano的每日图表上的对称三角形模式表明，酿造30％的动作。加密巨头仍处于低调，低点的运行方式，因为它的交易价格为0.61美元。三角形上边界上方的突破可能会使#ADA提高到0.82美元。”

However, despite these bullish projections, on-chain data reveals a bearish trend. Recently, Ali Martinez reported that whales dumped 180 million ADA within five days, indicating a lack of long-term conviction from major holders.

但是，尽管有这些看涨的预测，但链上的数据揭示了看跌趋势。最近，阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）报道说，鲸鱼在五天内倾倒了1.8亿ADA，表明主要持有人缺乏长期定罪。

These sales occurred even as Cadano price rose nearly 10% from earlier lows, reflecting a strategic exit by some whales.

这些销售也发生了，即使卡达诺的价格从早期低点上涨了近10％，这反映了某些鲸鱼的战略退出。

The on-chain chart showed decreasing whale balances during ADA’s recent bounce, which commonly signals distribution.

链上图显示，在ADA最近反弹期间，鲸鱼平衡的降低，这通常是标志着分布的信号。

Such large transactions can suppress bullish momentum, especially in low-liquidity conditions. Historically, whale exits precede price corrections, creating headwinds for further gains.

如此大的交易可以抑制看涨的动力，尤其是在低流动性条件下。从历史上看，鲸鱼退出之前的价格更正之前，为进一步的收益带来了逆风。

If whale sell pressure continues, ADA price may struggle to attract enough retail volume to break resistance.

如果鲸鱼出售压力仍在继续，ADA价格可能难以吸引足够的零售量以打破抵抗力。

This dynamic complicates the bullish setup, especially with ADA still operating below key technical levels.

这种动态使看涨的设置复杂化，尤其是ADA仍在关键技术水平以下。

For the top altcoin price to maintain an upward trajectory, both whale sentiment and spot volume must improve.

为了维持上币的最高价格，鲸鱼情绪和斑点量都必须提高。