彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）警告我們要比大蕭條更深入衰退

經濟學家和黃金倡導者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）在4月18日在Schwab網絡的一次採訪中發出了可怕的警告，警告說，美國的經濟政策正在為災難性的衰退奠定基礎。

Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has issued a stark warning, predicting that the U.S. is headed for a recession deeper than the Great Depression due to soaring debt, rising inflation, and systemic banking risks. In an interview on April 18 with the Schwab Network, Schiff placed the blame on tariffs implemented by President Donald Trump's administration.

經濟學家和黃金倡導者彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）發布了一個明顯的警告，預測，由於債務飆升，通貨膨脹率上升和系統性的銀行業務風險，美國將遭受比大蕭條更深的衰退。在4月18日對Schwab網絡的採訪中，Schiff將責任歸咎於唐納德·特朗普總統政府實施的關稅。

"The recession that Trump inherited is already much worse and is going to get much worse as a result of these misguided tariffs," Schiff stated.

席夫說：“特朗普繼承的經濟衰退已經變得更糟，由於這些誤導的關稅，將會變得更糟。”

According to Schiff, unless the tariffs are removed and the administration backs down, the situation will deteriorate into a historical downturn.

根據席夫（Schiff）的說法，除非撤銷關稅並退縮，否則這種情況將會惡化為歷史上的經濟低迷。

"This is going to be the worst recession since the Great Depression. It may be worse than the Great Depression. It depends on the mistakes that we make during this recession. It’ll certainly be worse than 2008–2009, the Great Recession, and it’s probably going to include a financial crisis that will be worse than the 2008 financial crisis," the economist asserted.

“這將是自大蕭條以來最嚴重的衰退。這可能比大蕭條更糟。這取決於我們在這次衰退期間犯的錯誤。這肯定會比2008 - 2009年更糟糕的是，這是大衰退，大蕭條，而且可能包括一場金融危機，而金融危機可能會比2008年的金融危機更糟糕，”經濟學統治。 ”

Schiff also dismissed recent employment data as a sign of economic growth, arguing that the labor gains are deceptive. He claimed all jobs created last year were part-time positions filled by individuals who could no longer cover expenses with a single job.

希夫還駁回了最近的僱傭數據，這是經濟增長的標誌，認為勞動力收益具有欺騙性。他聲稱，去年創造的所有工作都是由個人不再用一份工作支付支出的個人填補的兼職職位。

The gold advocate added that many Americans are juggling multiple jobs and maxed-out credit cards not to improve their lifestyles, but to make ends meet.

黃金倡導者補充說，許多美國人正在兼顧多個工作，並最大程度地發揮了信用卡，而不是改善他們的生活方式，而是要維持生計。

In his view, tariffs will worsen inflation by driving up the cost of imported goods, leading to a collapse in retail spending.

他認為，關稅將通過增加進口商品的成本而導致通貨膨脹率加劇，從而導致零售支出崩潰。

"There’s going to be massive layoffs, bankruptcies, in the retail sector, a lot of defaults," he said.

他說：“在零售業中，將會有大量裁員，破產，許多違約。”

Schiff expressed major concern over capital flight from U.S. financial assets, which he said is pushing up interest rates. He believes this, in combination with surging prices, could lead to an "inflationary recession."

席夫對美國金融資產的資本飛行表示了重大關注，他說這正在提高利率。他認為這與價格上漲相結合，可能導致“通貨膨脹衰退”。

The economist highlighted the U.S. economy’s dependence on imports and the potential repercussions if they cease.

這位經濟學家強調了美國經濟對進口的依賴以及如果停產的潛在影響。

Schiff explained that previous monetary policy pushed inflation outward while keeping domestic asset prices in check, but he believes that trend is now reversing. As inflation moves from Wall Street to Main Street, it will affect both low- and high-income groups, he said.

Schiff解釋說，以前的貨幣政策將通貨膨脹推向了支票，但他認為這種趨勢正在逆轉。他說，隨著通貨膨脹從華爾街轉移到大街，這將影響低收入和高收入群體。

Commenting on Trump's policies, Schiff said: "He’s doing it even worse than I thought he would."

希夫在評論特朗普的政策時說：“他的行為比我想像的要糟。”

Predicting a sharp drop in the dollar if the Federal Reserve resumes quantitative easing, the gold advocate explained: "It’s going to be an even bigger decline but, for the dollar, the worst thing that can happen is the Fed steps in and goes back to QE to bail out the economy, to bail out the bond market, to stop this coming financial crisis. If the Fed does that, the dollar is going to implode, so it could drop another 20%-30% very quickly."

黃金倡導者解釋說：“如果美聯儲恢復量化的量化，預測美元的急劇下降，這將是一個更大的下降，但是對於美元而言，最糟糕的事情是美聯儲進一步介入，然後返回QE來救助經濟，以救助債券市場，以釋放債券市場，停止了這一金融危機。

Schiff further warned:

希夫進一步警告：

Our entire banking system is insolvent … Every single bank in this country will fail if we have a recession with rising interest rates and that’s exactly what we’re going to have.

我們的整個銀行體​​係都是無力償債的……如果我們有利率上升的經濟衰退，那麼這個國家的每個銀行都會失敗，這正是我們要擁有的。