萨尔瓦多的比特币押注推迟了国际货币基金组织贷款批准

国际货币基金组织（IMF）认为比特币的风险是与萨尔瓦多正在进行的信贷计划谈判的关键因素。由于讨论的重点是加强财政可持续性、生产力和经济治理，解决与比特币法律地位相关的风险是一个关键因素。

El Salvador's Bitcoin Gamble Raises Concerns for IMF Loan

萨尔瓦多的比特币赌博引发了对国际货币基金组织贷款的担忧

Washington, D.C. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has identified El Salvador's adoption of Bitcoin as a "key element" in the ongoing negotiations regarding a $1.3 billion credit program. The admission, made by IMF communications director Julie Kozack, underscores the heightened scrutiny surrounding the cryptocurrency's role in El Salvador's economy.

华盛顿特区 - 国际货币基金组织 (IMF) 已将萨尔瓦多采用比特币视为正在进行的 13 亿美元信贷计划谈判的“关键要素”。国际货币基金组织通讯主管朱莉·科扎克(Julie Kozack)的这一承认强调了围绕加密货币在萨尔瓦多经济中的作用的严格审查。

Since 2021, Salvadoran authorities have been engaged in talks with the IMF to secure the loan, but an agreement has yet to be reached. Kozack emphasized that the discussions center on "policies to strengthen fiscal and external sustainability, boost productivity growth, and strengthen economic governance." She further emphasized that "addressing the risks derived from Bitcoin is a key element of our discussions."

自2021年以来，萨尔瓦多当局一直与国际货币基金组织就获得贷款进行谈判，但尚未达成协议。科扎克强调，讨论的重点是“加强财政和外部可持续性、促进生产率增长和加强经济治理的政策”。她进一步强调，“解决比特币带来的风险是我们讨论的关键要素。”

El Salvador's decision to make Bitcoin legal tender alongside the US dollar in 2021 made it the first country in the world to embrace the cryptocurrency at such a level. However, the adoption has faced significant challenges, with recent surveys indicating that approximately 88% of Salvadorans do not use Bitcoin.

萨尔瓦多决定在 2021 年将比特币与美元并列法定货币，使其成为世界上第一个在这种水平上接受加密货币的国家。然而，比特币的采用面临着重大挑战，最近的调查表明，大约 88% 的萨尔瓦多人不使用比特币。

Despite the mixed reception of Bitcoin, President Nayib Bukele remains a popular figure in the country, primarily due to his efforts to combat gang violence, which have significantly improved public safety. This success has had positive economic repercussions, according to Kozack, with "real GDP growth strengthening in 2023, driven by tourism and construction" and supported by remittances and improved security conditions.

尽管人们对比特币的评价褒贬不一，但总统纳伊布·布克莱(Nayib Bukele)在该国仍然是一个受欢迎的人物，这主要是因为他为打击帮派暴力所做的努力，极大地改善了公共安全。科扎克表示，这一成功产生了积极的经济影响，“在旅游业和建筑业的推动下，2023 年实际 GDP 增长将加强”，并得到汇款和安全条件改善的支持。

The IMF spokesperson acknowledged that the Salvadoran economy grew 3.5% last year, accompanied by declines in inflation and the current account deficit. However, the negotiations between the Fund and El Salvador on the credit plan appear to be facing obstacles.

国际货币基金组织发言人承认，萨尔瓦多去年经济增长了3.5%，通货膨胀和经常账户赤字也有所下降。然而，国际货币基金组织与萨尔瓦多关于信贷计划的谈判似乎面临障碍。

Independent economist César Villalona has attributed the impasse to Bukele's reluctance to accept IMF conditions, which include cuts to public spending and subsidies, as well as tax increases. Villalona maintains that such measures "have a political cost" and could erode Bukele's popularity.

独立经济学家塞萨尔·维拉洛纳(César Villalona)将僵局归因于布克莱不愿接受国际货币基金组织的条件，其中包括削减公共支出和补贴以及增加税收。维拉洛纳坚称，此类措施“会产生政治成本”，并可能削弱布克莱的支持率。

Bukele's recent landslide re-election victory, with 84.65% of the vote, could potentially ease the path for negotiations with the IMF. However, the skepticism surrounding Bitcoin's role in El Salvador's economy is likely to remain a significant factor in the discussions.

布克莱最近以 84.65% 的选票取得压倒性连任胜利，可能会为与国际货币基金组织的谈判铺平道路。然而，围绕比特币在萨尔瓦多经济中的作用的怀疑可能仍然是讨论中的一个重要因素。

As the negotiations continue, the IMF and El Salvador will need to find a balance between addressing the risks associated with Bitcoin and supporting the country's economic growth and stability. The outcome of these talks will have important implications for both El Salvador and the global economy's embrace of cryptocurrencies.

随着谈判的继续，国际货币基金组织和萨尔瓦多将需要在解决与比特币相关的风险和支持该国的经济增长和稳定之间找到平衡。这些会谈的结果将对萨尔瓦多和全球经济对加密货币的接受产生重要影响。