薩爾瓦多的比特幣押注推遲了國際貨幣基金組織貸款批准

國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）認為比特幣的風險是與薩爾瓦多正在進行的信貸計畫談判的關鍵因素。由於討論的重點是加強財政可持續性、生產力和經濟治理，解決與比特幣法律地位相關的風險是關鍵因素。

El Salvador's Bitcoin Gamble Raises Concerns for IMF Loan

薩爾瓦多的比特幣賭博引發了對國際貨幣基金組織貸款的擔憂

Washington, D.C. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has identified El Salvador's adoption of Bitcoin as a "key element" in the ongoing negotiations regarding a $1.3 billion credit program. The admission, made by IMF communications director Julie Kozack, underscores the heightened scrutiny surrounding the cryptocurrency's role in El Salvador's economy.

華盛頓特區 - 國際貨幣基金組織 (IMF) 已將薩爾瓦多採用比特幣視為正在進行的 13 億美元信貸計劃談判的「關鍵要素」。國際貨幣基金組織通訊主管朱莉·科扎克(Julie Kozack)的這一承認強調了圍繞加密貨幣在薩爾瓦多經濟中的作用的嚴格審查。

Since 2021, Salvadoran authorities have been engaged in talks with the IMF to secure the loan, but an agreement has yet to be reached. Kozack emphasized that the discussions center on "policies to strengthen fiscal and external sustainability, boost productivity growth, and strengthen economic governance." She further emphasized that "addressing the risks derived from Bitcoin is a key element of our discussions."

自2021年以來，薩爾瓦多當局一直與國際貨幣基金組織就獲得貸款進行談判，但尚未達成協議。科扎克強調，討論的重點是「加強財政和外部永續性、促進生產力成長和加強經濟治理的政策」。她進一步強調，“解決比特幣帶來的風險是我們討論的關鍵要素。”

El Salvador's decision to make Bitcoin legal tender alongside the US dollar in 2021 made it the first country in the world to embrace the cryptocurrency at such a level. However, the adoption has faced significant challenges, with recent surveys indicating that approximately 88% of Salvadorans do not use Bitcoin.

薩爾瓦多決定在 2021 年將比特幣與美元並列法定貨幣，使其成為世界上第一個在這種水平上接受加密貨幣的國家。然而，比特幣的採用面臨重大挑戰，最近的調查表明，大約 88% 的薩爾瓦多人不使用比特幣。

Despite the mixed reception of Bitcoin, President Nayib Bukele remains a popular figure in the country, primarily due to his efforts to combat gang violence, which have significantly improved public safety. This success has had positive economic repercussions, according to Kozack, with "real GDP growth strengthening in 2023, driven by tourism and construction" and supported by remittances and improved security conditions.

儘管人們對比特幣的評價褒貶不一，但總統納伊布·布克萊(Nayib Bukele)在該國仍然是一個受歡迎的人物，這主要是因為他為打擊幫派暴力所做的努力，極大地改善了公共安全。科扎克表示，這一成功產生了積極的經濟影響，“在旅遊業和建築業的推動下，2023 年實際 GDP 增長將加強”，並得到匯款和安全條件改善的支持。

The IMF spokesperson acknowledged that the Salvadoran economy grew 3.5% last year, accompanied by declines in inflation and the current account deficit. However, the negotiations between the Fund and El Salvador on the credit plan appear to be facing obstacles.

國際貨幣基金組織發言人承認，薩爾瓦多去年經濟成長了3.5%，通貨膨脹和經常帳赤字也有所下降。然而，國際貨幣基金組織與薩爾瓦多關於信貸計畫的談判似乎面臨障礙。

Independent economist César Villalona has attributed the impasse to Bukele's reluctance to accept IMF conditions, which include cuts to public spending and subsidies, as well as tax increases. Villalona maintains that such measures "have a political cost" and could erode Bukele's popularity.

獨立經濟學家塞薩爾·維拉洛納(César Villalona)將僵局歸因於布克萊不願接受國際貨幣基金組織的條件，其中包括削減公共支出和補貼以及增加稅收。維拉洛納堅稱，此類措施“會產生政治成本”，並可能削弱布克萊的支持率。

Bukele's recent landslide re-election victory, with 84.65% of the vote, could potentially ease the path for negotiations with the IMF. However, the skepticism surrounding Bitcoin's role in El Salvador's economy is likely to remain a significant factor in the discussions.

布克萊最近以 84.65% 的選票取得壓倒性連任勝利，可能會為與國際貨幣基金組織的談判鋪平道路。然而，圍繞比特幣在薩爾瓦多經濟中的作用的懷疑可能仍然是討論中的一個重要因素。

As the negotiations continue, the IMF and El Salvador will need to find a balance between addressing the risks associated with Bitcoin and supporting the country's economic growth and stability. The outcome of these talks will have important implications for both El Salvador and the global economy's embrace of cryptocurrencies.

隨著談判的繼續，國際貨幣基金組織和薩爾瓦多將需要在解決與比特幣相關的風險和支持該國的經濟成長和穩定之間找到平衡。這些會談的結果將對薩爾瓦多和全球經濟對加密貨幣的接受度產生重要影響。