波纹（XRP）供应的下降可能会导致价格上涨

波纹（XRP）的供应大幅下降，可能导致供应冲击，进而导致价格逆转。

The supply of Ripple (XRP) saw a substantial drop that could result in supply shock which could in turn cause price reversal.

波纹（XRP）的供应大幅下降，可能导致供应冲击，进而导致价格逆转。

XRP tokens reserved on exchanges declined to 2.73 Billion and maintained this same low seen in July 2023.

XRP令牌保留在交易所上的XRP代币下降到27.3亿，并在2023年7月可见。

The total XRP tokens held by Binance reached 2.73 Billion—a low point that exceeded 3.27 Billion in late 2024 showing 540 Million less tokens.

Binance持有的XRP代币达到了27.3亿，在2024年底，低点超过32.7亿，显示了少5.4亿个令牌。

Exchange reserves typically decreased as investors transferred their tokens into private wallets as this behavior showed interest in long-term storage along with decreased market selling.

由于投资者将其代币转移到私人钱包中，因此交换储量通常会减少，因为这种行为表现出对长期存储的兴趣以及市场销售的减少。

The continuous decline in XRP supply could possibly trigger a supply shock which might lead to an upward price reversal for XRP.

XRP供应的持续下降可能会引发供应冲击，这可能会导致XRP的上价逆转。

XRP price held steady after a reserve with no impact from macro market uncertainties. A decoupling between supply on hand and market pressure showed accumulation activity was driving market forces.

XRP价格在储备金后保持稳定，没有宏观市场不确定性影响。手头供应与市场压力之间的脱钩表明积累活动正在推动市场力量。

This means that XRP price could be on the verge of an upward movement, as the continued buying demand could have limited the exchange supply quantity.

这意味着XRP价格可能处于向上移动的边缘，因为持续的购买需求可能会限制交换供应数量。

The reduced exchange reserves may not create enough market strengthening as the majority displayed negative sentiment.

减少的交换储量可能不会产生足够的市场加强，因为大多数人都表现出负面情绪。

The future potential of XRP price could be supported by accumulating scarcity if owners continued buying the digital asset.

如果所有者继续购买数字资产，则可以通过积累稀缺性来支持XRP价格的未来潜力。

The bullish outlook requiring validation would require price to sustain its upward movement above critical barriers of resistance.

需要验证的看涨前景将需要价格以维持其向上的移动，而不是抵抗的关键障碍。

Ripple’s Open Interest Concides with Price Movement

波纹的开放兴趣与价格变动有关

However, XRP saw an essential shifts in open interest. The open interest level dropped by 70% from around $2.5B in late 2024 to $0.8B.

但是，XRP看到了开放兴趣的基本转变。开放利息水平从2024年底的2.5B美元左右下降了70％，至$ 0.8B。

XRP’s leverage also decreased alongside speculative interest diminished thus leading to the market drop. Also, the funding rates turned negative sometimes, indicating bearish sentiment.

XRP的杠杆作用也随着投机利益的减少而下降，从而导致市场下降。此外，资金率有时会变成负面影响，表明看跌情绪。

Additionally, XRP saw a price peak at the same time social engagement hit its highest point. Social engagement together with hype generated significant changes to the market price before its increase.

此外，XRP的价格峰同时达到了社会参与的最高点。社会参与以及炒作在上涨之前会对市场价格产生重大变化。

The decline of social engagement led to a simultaneous price decrease which established the vital role of social metrics.

社会参与的下降导致同时价格下降，从而确立了社会指标的重要作用。

Future open interest decreases may lead to less price volatility yet showed indications of price stability.

未来的开放利息下降可能会导致价格波动较小，但显示出价格稳定的迹象。

A strong market reset might happen now as the open interest rates remained low while prices were rising as long as the social industry picked up momentum again.

随着开放利率仍然很低，只要社会工业再次获得动力，就可能会发生强大的市场重置。

However, the altcoin faced potential hurdles to maintain bullish price growth as both metrics showed a lack of fresh momentum.

但是，由于两个指标都缺乏新的动力，因此Altcoin面临维持看涨价格增长的潜在障碍。

XRP Price Prediction Going Forward

XRP价格预测未来

XRP price has been in a declining trend since January when it started from its first peak point at $3.29.

XRP价格从1月开始的第一个峰值点开始为3.29美元以来，XRP价格一直在下降。

The asset respected the trendline through multiple rejections which occurred at $2.80 and $2.45 levels.

该资产通过多次拒绝，以2.80美元和2.45美元的水平尊重趋势线。

The breakout distinguished itself as a key structural transformation which occurred above this four-month trendline.

突破将自己视为一个关键的结构转换，发生在这个四个月的趋势线上。

XRP price showed a corrective pullback behavior, which targeted the historically important $1.98 level.

XRP价格显示出一种纠正性的回调行为，其目标是历史上重要的$ 1.98水平。

XRP maintaining the $1.98 support level would validate its breakout thus allowing a bullish continuation.

XRP维持$ 1.98的支持水平将验证其突破，从而允许看涨。

After maintaining this, XRP price may start a deliberate approach towards $2.5685 as its next resistance peak.

在维护此之后，XRP价格可能会以2.5685的价格开始故意采用其下一个阻力峰。

A confirmation of the reversal would be a successful breakout retest. Breaking below $1.98 with sufficient momentum would pull XRP toward $1.8000 thus invalidating the breakout and confirming the false signal.

对逆转的确认将是成功的突破重新测试。以足够的动量为$ 1.98的$ 1.98以下的$ 1.98将XRP降低到$ 1.8000，从而使突破无效并确认虚假信号。

The $1.98 zone served as an essential observation point as it maintained a dual viability between bullish follow-up and bearish contrary movements.

1.98美元的区域是基本观察点，因为它在看涨的随访和看跌相反的运动之间保持了双重活力。