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加密货币新闻

比特币ETF提供稳定性,因为加密货币市场经历严重的衰退

2025/04/21 10:44

加密货币市场最近经历了严重的下滑,投资者的情绪处于持续的恐惧和不确定性状态。

比特币ETF提供稳定性,因为加密货币市场经历严重的衰退

The cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a severe downturn recently, with investor sentiment hanging in a constant state of fear and uncertainty. In just two weeks, capital inflows into the market have plummeted by over 70%, collapsing from $8.2 billion to just $2.38 billion by mid-April. This sharp decline reflects growing investor caution amid heightened market volatility and increasing macroeconomic pressures.

加密货币市场最近经历了严重的下滑,投资者的情绪处于持续的恐惧和不确定性状态。在短短的两个星期内,进入市场的资本流入下降了70%以上,到4月中旬跌至82亿美元到仅23.8亿美元。这种急剧下降反映了投资者在市场波动的提高和宏观经济压力增加的情况下的增长。

However, despite this broad retreat, Bitcoin has managed to maintain its momentum, particularly in the form of strong institutional support through Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). While most of the crypto market grapples with fear, Bitcoin continues to attract investor capital, demonstrating its resilience and the strength of its institutional backing.

然而,尽管务虚会进行了广泛的撤退,但比特币还是设法保持了其动力,尤其是通过比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的强大机构支持的形式。尽管大多数加密货币市场都与恐惧陷入困境,但比特币继续吸引投资者资本,证明其韧性和机构支持的实力。

Fear and Caution Grip the Market

恐惧和谨慎抓住市场

The abrupt contraction in capital inflows signals a shift in market dynamics. Retail investors and institutional players alike are scaling back their exposure to riskier assets, especially those in the cryptocurrency sector.

资本流入的突然收缩信号标志着市场动态的变化。散户投资者和机构参与者都在扩大其风险较高的资产,尤其是加密货币领域的资产。

The heightened caution comes as global inflation concerns rise, with the U.S. experiencing a surge in inflation expectations. The fear and greed index, which tracks investor sentiment, has remained in “Fear” territory for several weeks, hovering between 31 and 33. This persistent fear indicates a market trapped in a psychological standoff, where investors are hesitant to make bold moves without stronger signals from the broader economic environment.

随着全球通货膨胀的关注,美国的谨慎态度加剧了,美国的通货膨胀期望激增。追踪投资者情绪的恐惧和贪婪指数一直在“恐惧”领域中持续了数周,徘徊在31至33之间。这种持续的恐惧表明,一个被困在心理僵局中的市场,投资者犹豫不决地在没有更广泛的经济环境的情况下进行大胆的行动而没有​​更强有力的信号。

Historically, extended periods of fear have often been followed by sharp rebounds or deeper corrections. The lack of volatility in sentiment suggests that the market is waiting for either a positive shift in macroeconomic indicators or a more favorable price trend before committing more capital.

从历史上看,长期的恐惧经常是急切的篮板或更深层的纠正。情绪中缺乏波动表明,在投入更多资本之前,市场正在等待宏观经济指标的积极转变或更有利的价格趋势。

Macro Pressures and Inflation Fears

宏压力和通货膨胀恐惧

One of the key factors weighing on the crypto market’s confidence is the rise in inflation expectations. As of April, U.S. inflation expectations for the next year surged by 1.7 percentage points, hitting a level not seen since 1981. Inflation expectations for the next five years are also high, reaching 4.4%, the highest since 1991.

权衡加密货币市场信心的关键因素之一是通货膨胀期望的上升。截至4月,美国对明年的通货膨胀期望飙升了1.7个百分点,达到了自1981年以来未见的水平。未来五年的通货膨胀期望也很高,达到4.4%,是1991年以来最高的。

This inflationary pressure has been accompanied by a decline in consumer sentiment, which has dropped to its second-lowest level on record. These macroeconomic conditions, combined with the fear of stagflation—a period of high inflation and stagnant economic growth—have put additional pressure on the cryptocurrency market.

这种通货膨胀压力伴随着消费者情绪的下降,这已降至其第二高的水平。这些宏观经济状况,加上对停滞的恐惧(高通货膨胀和停滞的经济增长),给加密货币市场带来了额外的压力。

Cryptocurrencies, being seen as high-risk, speculative assets, are naturally vulnerable to such economic stresses. As a result, many investors are scaling back their exposure to the sector, waiting for signs of stabilization in inflation and market sentiment.

加密货币被视为高风险,投机性资产,自然容易受到这种经济压力的影响。结果,许多投资者正在扩大他们对该行业的接触,等待通货膨胀和市场情绪稳定的迹象。

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Provide Stability

比特币ETF流入提供稳定性

While many aspects of the crypto market are experiencing a retreat, Bitcoin has been benefiting from significant institutional support, primarily through Bitcoin ETFs. On April 17, Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $107 million, pushing the monthly total to $156 million.

尽管加密市场的许多方面正在经历务虚会,但比特币主要通过比特币ETF中的大量机构支持受益。 4月17日,比特币ETF的净流入量为1.07亿美元,每月将总计至1.56亿美元。

Over the past three months, net ETF inflows into Bitcoin have crossed the $1 billion mark, signaling that institutional investors continue to view Bitcoin as a relatively safer bet compared to other cryptocurrencies in these uncertain times.

在过去的三个月中,净ETF流入比特币已经跨越了10亿美元的商标,这表明与在这些不确定时期其他加密货币相比,机构投资者继续将比特币视为相对更安全的赌注。

This divergence between Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, which has seen flat ETF inflows, highlights Bitcoin’s perceived strength during turbulent periods. Despite the broader market’s retreat, the consistent ETF inflows into Bitcoin suggest that institutional investors believe in its long-term value and stability. Bitcoin’s status as a store of value, akin to digital gold, has likely contributed to this continued institutional interest.

比特币与其他加密货币(例如以太坊)之间的这种差异(以太坊都在ETF流入,都突出了比特币在湍流期间的感知强度。尽管市场的撤退更广泛,但ETF一致地流入比特币,这表明机构投资者相信其长期价值和稳定性。比特币作为价值存储的地位,类似于数字黄金,可能会导致这种持续的机构利益。

The Potential for a Short-Term Reset

短期重置的潜力

The sharp drop in capital inflows and the persistent state of fear indicate that the crypto market may be undergoing a short-term reset. However, the strong institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs provide a buffer against a full-blown market retreat.

资本流入的急剧下降和持续的恐惧状态表明,加密货币市场可能正在短期重置。但是,大量的机构流入比特币ETF为全面的市场撤退提供了缓冲。

The combination of macroeconomic pressures, including inflation fears, and market caution suggests that the crypto market is at a crossroads. Should inflation expectations stabilize or decline, and should the overall sentiment shift more positively, the market could find footing for a renewed rally.

宏观经济压力的结合,包括通货膨胀恐惧和市场谨慎,表明加密货币市场处于十字路口。如果通货膨胀的预期稳定或下降,并且如果总体情绪更加积极的转变,市场可能会发现重新集会的基础。

Given the strength of Bitcoin’s ETF inflows and institutional backing, Bitcoin is likely to remain a key player in any potential rebound. Moreover, if the broader macroeconomic environment improves, investors may once again seek the potential returns offered by cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin.

鉴于比特币的ETF流入和机构支持的实力,比特币可能仍然是任何潜在反弹的关键人物。此外,如果更广泛的宏观经济环境改善,投资者可能会再次寻求加密货币(尤其是比特币)提供的潜在回报。

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s Resilience Amidst Market Fear

结论:在市场恐惧中,比特币的弹性

The cryptocurrency market is undoubtedly facing significant challenges, with fear and caution dominating the sentiment. However, Bitcoin continues to stand out as a beacon of resilience, largely due to the continued institutional support through Bitcoin ETFs.

加密货币市场无疑面临着重大挑战,恐惧和谨慎主导了情绪。但是,比特币继续作为弹性的灯塔脱颖而出,这在很大程度上是由于通过比特币ETF持续的机构支持。

While the broader market grapples with fear and inflationary concerns, Bitcoin’s ability to attract institutional capital suggests that it remains a preferred asset in times of uncertainty.

尽管更广泛的市场与恐惧和通货膨胀的关注陷入困境,但比特币吸引机构资本的能力表明,在不确定性时期,它仍然是首选资产。

Ultimately, the crypto market may be in a state of temporary pause, but with strong institutional backing and the potential for a macroeconomic turnaround, Bitcoin could be well-positioned for a recovery if the fear

最终,加密货币市场可能处于暂时停顿的状态,但具有强烈的机构支持和宏观经济转变的潜力,如果担心恐惧,比特币可以很好地恢复

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