波紋（XRP）供應的下降可能會導致價格上漲

波紋（XRP）的供應大幅下降，可能導致供應衝擊，進而導致價格逆轉。

The supply of Ripple (XRP) saw a substantial drop that could result in supply shock which could in turn cause price reversal.

波紋（XRP）的供應大幅下降，可能導致供應衝擊，進而導致價格逆轉。

XRP tokens reserved on exchanges declined to 2.73 Billion and maintained this same low seen in July 2023.

XRP令牌保留在交易所上的XRP代幣下降到27.3億，並在2023年7月可見。

The total XRP tokens held by Binance reached 2.73 Billion—a low point that exceeded 3.27 Billion in late 2024 showing 540 Million less tokens.

Binance持有的XRP代幣達到了27.3億，在2024年底，低點超過32.7億，顯示了少5.4億個令牌。

Exchange reserves typically decreased as investors transferred their tokens into private wallets as this behavior showed interest in long-term storage along with decreased market selling.

由於投資者將其代幣轉移到私人錢包中，因此交換儲量通常會減少，因為這種行為表現出對長期存儲的興趣以及市場銷售的減少。

The continuous decline in XRP supply could possibly trigger a supply shock which might lead to an upward price reversal for XRP.

XRP供應的持續下降可能會引發供應衝擊，這可能會導致XRP的上價逆轉。

XRP price held steady after a reserve with no impact from macro market uncertainties. A decoupling between supply on hand and market pressure showed accumulation activity was driving market forces.

XRP價格在儲備金後保持穩定，沒有宏觀市場不確定性影響。手頭供應與市場壓力之間的脫鉤錶明積累活動正在推動市場力量。

This means that XRP price could be on the verge of an upward movement, as the continued buying demand could have limited the exchange supply quantity.

這意味著XRP價格可能處於向上移動的邊緣，因為持續的購買需求可能會限制交換供應數量。

The reduced exchange reserves may not create enough market strengthening as the majority displayed negative sentiment.

減少的交換儲量可能不會產生足夠的市場加強，因為大多數人都表現出負面情緒。

The future potential of XRP price could be supported by accumulating scarcity if owners continued buying the digital asset.

如果所有者繼續購買數字資產，則可以通過積累稀缺性來支持XRP價格的未來潛力。

The bullish outlook requiring validation would require price to sustain its upward movement above critical barriers of resistance.

需要驗證的看漲前景將需要價格以維持其向上的移動，而不是抵抗的關鍵障礙。

Ripple’s Open Interest Concides with Price Movement

波紋的開放興趣與價格變動有關

However, XRP saw an essential shifts in open interest. The open interest level dropped by 70% from around $2.5B in late 2024 to $0.8B.

但是，XRP看到了開放興趣的基本轉變。開放利息水平從2024年底的2.5B美元左右下降了70％，至$ 0.8B。

XRP’s leverage also decreased alongside speculative interest diminished thus leading to the market drop. Also, the funding rates turned negative sometimes, indicating bearish sentiment.

XRP的槓桿作用也隨著投機利益的減少而下降，從而導致市場下降。此外，資金率有時會變成負面影響，表明看跌情緒。

Additionally, XRP saw a price peak at the same time social engagement hit its highest point. Social engagement together with hype generated significant changes to the market price before its increase.

此外，XRP的價格峰同時達到了社會參與的最高點。社會參與以及炒作在上漲之前會對市場價格產生重大變化。

The decline of social engagement led to a simultaneous price decrease which established the vital role of social metrics.

社會參與的下降導致同時價格下降，從而確立了社會指標的重要作用。

Future open interest decreases may lead to less price volatility yet showed indications of price stability.

未來的開放利息下降可能會導致價格波動較小，但顯示出價格穩定的跡象。

A strong market reset might happen now as the open interest rates remained low while prices were rising as long as the social industry picked up momentum again.

隨著開放利率仍然很低，只要社會工業再次獲得動力，就可能會發生強大的市場重置。

However, the altcoin faced potential hurdles to maintain bullish price growth as both metrics showed a lack of fresh momentum.

但是，由於兩個指標都缺乏新的動力，因此Altcoin面臨維持看漲價格增長的潛在障礙。

XRP Price Prediction Going Forward

XRP價格預測未來

XRP price has been in a declining trend since January when it started from its first peak point at $3.29.

XRP價格從1月開始的第一個峰值點開始為3.29美元以來，XRP價格一直在下降。

The asset respected the trendline through multiple rejections which occurred at $2.80 and $2.45 levels.

該資產通過多次拒絕，以2.80美元和2.45美元的水平尊重趨勢線。

The breakout distinguished itself as a key structural transformation which occurred above this four-month trendline.

突破將自己視為一個關鍵的結構轉換，發生在這個四個月的趨勢線上。

XRP price showed a corrective pullback behavior, which targeted the historically important $1.98 level.

XRP價格顯示出一種糾正性的回調行為，其目標是歷史上重要的$ 1.98水平。

XRP maintaining the $1.98 support level would validate its breakout thus allowing a bullish continuation.

XRP維持$ 1.98的支持水平將驗證其突破，從而允許看漲。

After maintaining this, XRP price may start a deliberate approach towards $2.5685 as its next resistance peak.

在維護此之後，XRP價格可能會以2.5685的價格開始故意採用其下一個阻力峰。

A confirmation of the reversal would be a successful breakout retest. Breaking below $1.98 with sufficient momentum would pull XRP toward $1.8000 thus invalidating the breakout and confirming the false signal.

對逆轉的確認將是成功的突破重新測試。以足夠的動量為$ 1.98的$ 1.98以下的$ 1.98將XRP降低到$ 1.8000，從而使突破無效並確認虛假信號。

The $1.98 zone served as an essential observation point as it maintained a dual viability between bullish follow-up and bearish contrary movements.

1.98美元的區域是基本觀察點，因為它在看漲的隨訪和看跌相反的運動之間保持了雙重活力。