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随着领先的加密货币在大幅调整后努力重新站稳脚跟,布兰特最近向投资公众展示了一种他称之为“三只盲鼠和一块奶酪”的模式。
Bitcoin price recently hit a two-month high, but a market veteran has pointed out an unusual trading pattern that could spell trouble for the cryptocurrency.
比特币价格最近触及两个月高位,但一位市场资深人士指出,一种不寻常的交易模式可能会给加密货币带来麻烦。
As BTC struggles to regain its footing following a sharp correction, market veteran Peter Brandt recently presented the investing public with a pattern he calls the “Three Blind Mice and a Piece of Cheese.”
随着比特币在大幅回调后努力重新站稳脚跟,市场资深人士彼得·勃兰特(Peter Brandt)最近向投资大众展示了一种他称之为“三只盲鼠和一块奶酪”的模式。
Bitcoin faces sharp retracement
比特币面临大幅回调
Toward the end of September, Bitcoin hit a high of $66,508, marking its best performance in two months. However, the excitement was short-lived, as the first-born crypto retraced by more than 7.7% over the following days, dropping to around $60,221 on Friday.
9 月底,比特币触及 66,508 美元的高位,创下两个月来的最佳表现。然而,这种兴奋是短暂的,因为第一个诞生的加密货币在接下来的几天里回撤了 7.7% 以上,周五跌至 60,221 美元左右。
Brandt's one-day chart shows three consecutive bearish daily candles, with prices sliding below important technical levels. Amid the correction, analysts wonder if the worst is yet to come or if Bitcoin is preparing for another breakout.
布兰特的一日图表显示了连续三个看跌的每日蜡烛,价格跌破重要的技术水平。在调整期间,分析师想知道最糟糕的情况是否还没有到来,或者比特币是否正在为另一次突破做准备。
This downturn coincides with growing global uncertainty, especially surrounding tensions in the Middle East, which has led investors to shy away from riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. The bearish resolve has neutralized the bullish momentum expected in “Uptober.”
此次经济低迷恰逢全球不确定性不断增加,尤其是中东地区的紧张局势,这导致投资者回避加密货币等风险较高的资产。看跌决心抵消了《Uptober》中预期的看涨势头。
Brandt’s “three blind mice” pattern has further bolstered concerns around Bitcoin's price action. Although he has not fully explained this term, some analysts suggest it may refer to a continuation pattern, where the price is likely to follow the established bearish trend from the three bearish candles.
布兰特的“三只盲鼠”模式进一步加剧了人们对比特币价格走势的担忧。尽管他没有完全解释这个术语,但一些分析师认为它可能指的是一种持续模式,其中价格可能会遵循三个看跌蜡烛所建立的看跌趋势。
Analysts refer to similar setups, such as the “Three Black Crows” pattern, as a bearish signal that a market is losing steam and could face continued selling pressure. With Bitcoin now trading below two key moving averages, the short-term outlook appears dim.
分析师将类似的形态(例如“三只黑乌鸦”形态)视为看跌信号,表明市场正在失去动力,并可能面临持续的抛售压力。由于比特币目前交易价格低于两个关键移动平均线,短期前景显得黯淡。
Bitcoin technicals look dim
比特币技术面看起来黯淡
Brandt’s chart shows that Bitcoin's current price sits below the 8-day and 18-day moving averages. This signals weakness in the short term, implying that sellers have gained control. If Bitcoin does not recover above these levels soon, further losses could spring up.
Brandt 的图表显示,比特币当前价格低于 8 日和 18 日移动平均线。这标志着短期疲软,意味着卖家已经获得了控制权。如果比特币不能很快恢复到这些水平之上,可能会出现进一步的损失。
Meanwhile, the ADX is hovering around 21.37. This number suggests that the current trend lacks strength. The positioning indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase, but the risk of further downward movement remains high. Brandt previously suggested BTC is still in the bearish phase.
与此同时,ADX 徘徊在 21.37 附近。这个数字表明当前的趋势缺乏力量。该定位表明市场处于盘整阶段,但进一步下行的风险仍然很高。布兰特此前表示,比特币仍处于看跌阶段。
Despite the recent downturn, Bitcoin’s psychological and technical support at $60,000 remains intact for now. If the price breaks below this level, it could lead to another wave of selling. This new wave could push Bitcoin towards the $58,000 mark.
尽管最近出现低迷,但比特币 60,000 美元的心理和技术支撑目前仍然完好无损。如果价格跌破该水平,可能会导致另一波抛售。这一新浪潮可能会将比特币推向 58,000 美元大关。
However, the ATR shows rising volatility, which means traders should expect larger price swings in the coming days. Despite the difficulty in predicting Bitcoin’s next direction, indicators suggest that a deeper correction is still possible.
然而,ATR 显示波动性不断上升,这意味着交易者应该预计未来几天价格会出现更大波动。尽管很难预测比特币的下一个方向,但指标表明仍有可能进行更深入的调整。
While Bitcoin's decline has disappointed bulls, the market could still experience a reversal. Historically, October has been a strong month for crypto, and if Bitcoin can hold above $60,000, there’s potential for a rebound toward $65,000.
尽管比特币的下跌让多头感到失望,但市场仍可能出现逆转。从历史上看,10 月对于加密货币来说是一个强劲的月份,如果比特币能够保持在 60,000 美元以上,则有可能反弹至 65,000 美元。
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