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隨著領先的加密貨幣在大幅調整後努力重新站穩腳跟,布蘭特最近向投資公眾展示了一種他稱之為「三隻盲鼠和一塊起司」的模式。
Bitcoin price recently hit a two-month high, but a market veteran has pointed out an unusual trading pattern that could spell trouble for the cryptocurrency.
比特幣價格最近觸及兩個月高位,但一位市場資深人士指出,一種不尋常的交易模式可能會給加密貨幣帶來麻煩。
As BTC struggles to regain its footing following a sharp correction, market veteran Peter Brandt recently presented the investing public with a pattern he calls the “Three Blind Mice and a Piece of Cheese.”
隨著比特幣在大幅回檔後努力重新站穩腳跟,市場資深人士彼得·布蘭特(Peter Brandt)最近向投資大眾展示了一種他稱之為「三隻盲鼠和一塊起司」的模式。
Bitcoin faces sharp retracement
比特幣面臨大幅回調
Toward the end of September, Bitcoin hit a high of $66,508, marking its best performance in two months. However, the excitement was short-lived, as the first-born crypto retraced by more than 7.7% over the following days, dropping to around $60,221 on Friday.
9 月底,比特幣觸及 66,508 美元的高位,創下兩個月來的最佳表現。然而,這種興奮是短暫的,因為第一個誕生的加密貨幣在接下來的幾天裡回撤了 7.7% 以上,週五跌至 60,221 美元左右。
Brandt's one-day chart shows three consecutive bearish daily candles, with prices sliding below important technical levels. Amid the correction, analysts wonder if the worst is yet to come or if Bitcoin is preparing for another breakout.
布蘭特的一日圖表顯示了連續三個看跌的每日蠟燭,價格跌破重要的技術水平。在調整期間,分析師想知道最糟糕的情況是否還沒有到來,或者比特幣是否正在為另一次突破做準備。
This downturn coincides with growing global uncertainty, especially surrounding tensions in the Middle East, which has led investors to shy away from riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. The bearish resolve has neutralized the bullish momentum expected in “Uptober.”
這次經濟低迷恰逢全球不確定性不斷增加,特別是中東地區的緊張局勢,這導致投資者迴避加密貨幣等風險較高的資產。看跌決心抵消了《Uptober》中預期的看漲勢頭。
Brandt’s “three blind mice” pattern has further bolstered concerns around Bitcoin's price action. Although he has not fully explained this term, some analysts suggest it may refer to a continuation pattern, where the price is likely to follow the established bearish trend from the three bearish candles.
布蘭特的「三隻盲鼠」模式進一步加劇了人們對比特幣價格走勢的擔憂。儘管他沒有完全解釋這個術語,但一些分析師認為它可能指的是一種持續模式,其中價格可能會遵循三個看跌蠟燭所建立的看跌趨勢。
Analysts refer to similar setups, such as the “Three Black Crows” pattern, as a bearish signal that a market is losing steam and could face continued selling pressure. With Bitcoin now trading below two key moving averages, the short-term outlook appears dim.
分析師將類似的形態(例如「三隻黑烏鴉」形態)視為看跌訊號,表明市場正在失去動力,並可能面臨持續的拋售壓力。由於比特幣目前交易價格低於兩個關鍵移動平均線,短期前景顯得黯淡。
Bitcoin technicals look dim
比特幣技術面看起來黯淡
Brandt’s chart shows that Bitcoin's current price sits below the 8-day and 18-day moving averages. This signals weakness in the short term, implying that sellers have gained control. If Bitcoin does not recover above these levels soon, further losses could spring up.
Brandt 的圖表顯示,比特幣目前價格低於 8 日和 18 日移動平均線。這標誌著短期疲軟,這意味著賣家已經獲得了控制權。如果比特幣不能很快恢復到這些水平之上,可能會出現進一步的損失。
Meanwhile, the ADX is hovering around 21.37. This number suggests that the current trend lacks strength. The positioning indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase, but the risk of further downward movement remains high. Brandt previously suggested BTC is still in the bearish phase.
與此同時,ADX 徘徊在 21.37 附近。這個數字顯示當前的趨勢缺乏力量。此定位顯示市場處於盤整階段,但進一步下行的風險仍然很高。布蘭特先前表示,比特幣仍處於看跌階段。
Despite the recent downturn, Bitcoin’s psychological and technical support at $60,000 remains intact for now. If the price breaks below this level, it could lead to another wave of selling. This new wave could push Bitcoin towards the $58,000 mark.
儘管最近出現低迷,但比特幣 60,000 美元的心理和技術支撐目前仍然完好無損。如果價格跌破該水平,可能會導致另一波拋售。這一新浪潮可能會將比特幣推向 58,000 美元大關。
However, the ATR shows rising volatility, which means traders should expect larger price swings in the coming days. Despite the difficulty in predicting Bitcoin’s next direction, indicators suggest that a deeper correction is still possible.
然而,ATR 顯示波動性上升,這意味著交易者應該預期未來幾天價格波動會更大。儘管很難預測比特幣的下一個方向,但指標表明仍有可能進行更深入的調整。
While Bitcoin's decline has disappointed bulls, the market could still experience a reversal. Historically, October has been a strong month for crypto, and if Bitcoin can hold above $60,000, there’s potential for a rebound toward $65,000.
儘管比特幣的下跌讓多頭感到失望,但市場仍可能出現逆轉。從歷史上看,10 月對於加密貨幣來說是一個強勁的月份,如果比特幣能夠保持在 60,000 美元以上,則有可能反彈至 65,000 美元。
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