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矿业的肮脏声誉正成为pasthistor的矿物质,比特币因其采矿过程而受到批评。
As the biggest and most popular cryptocurrency, it's a surprise to nobody that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is subjected to all sorts of different trends, pressures, risks, and influences. It's easy to assume that all of the biggest factors that determine its price are already common knowledge.
作为最大,最受欢迎的加密货币,对任何人来说,比特币(Crypto:BTC)都受到各种不同趋势,压力,风险和影响力是一个惊喜。很容易假设确定价格的所有最大因素已经是常识。
But what might be surprising is that some of the coin's least-discussed risks are getting less scary instead of looming larger, particularly in one key area. In short, the future is looking even brighter for the coin, and, interestingly, it will probably also be easier on the conscience of some holders and future buyers. Here's why.
但是,可能令人惊讶的是,某些硬币最不讨论的风险越来越少,而不是迫在眉睫,尤其是在一个关键领域。简而言之,对于硬币而言,未来看起来更加明亮,有趣的是,对于某些持有人和未来的买家的良心,这也可能会更容易。这就是原因。
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Mining's dirty reputation is becoming a thing of the past
采矿的肮脏声誉已成为过去
Historically, Bitcoin has been criticized for its mining process.
从历史上看,比特币因其采矿过程而受到批评。
Mining requires a lot of computing power, which means that it requires a lot of energy. At the same time, miners experience reducing returns for each unit of effort as a result of the coin's protocol. Every four years in a process that's called halving, the reward that miners get for each block that's mined is reduced by half, so it takes much more effort -- and energy -- to get the same quantity of coin.
采矿需要大量的计算能力,这意味着它需要大量的能量。同时,由于硬币的协议,矿工经历了每单位努力的回报。每四年在一个称为减半的过程中,每个开采区的矿工获得的奖励减少了一半,因此获得相同数量的硬币需要更多的精力和精力。
Those factors put a strong pressure on miners to buy energy at the lowest cost they can, as every bit of money they save is more that they can throw into capital expenditures like buying more mining rigs or buying climate-controlled facilities to house them. So, in 2012, a few years after Bitcoin was launched, about 63% of the coin was mined using energy produced by coal power plants, according to a new report published by MiCa Crypto Alliance in collaboration with Nodiens, a data platform.
这些因素给矿工带来了巨大的压力,要求他们以最低的成本购买能源,因为他们节省的每一笔钱都可以投入资本支出,例如购买更多的采矿钻机或购买气候控制的设施来容纳他们。因此,根据Mica Crypto Alliance与数据平台Nodiens合作发表的一份新报告,在2012年,在比特币发射后的几年后,使用煤炭发电厂生产的能源进行了大约63%的硬币。
Aside from creating unwelcome headlines about the coin's environmental sustainability, relying so heavily on dirty coal power exposed Bitcoin to a galaxy of regulatory and policy risks across many different jurisdictions worldwide. After all, coal is a bigger environmental hazard than other fossil fuels, and it was in the process of being replaced with cleaner energy sources back when Bitcoin was just getting started -- a replacement process that some have rightfully alleged was interrupted by the pressure to mine cryptocurrency.
除了创建有关硬币环境可持续性的不受欢迎的头条新闻之外,依靠肮脏的煤炭能力暴露于全球许多不同司法管辖区的监管和政策风险的银河系。毕竟,与其他化石燃料相比,煤炭是一种更大的环境危害,并且在比特币刚刚开始时,煤炭在被更清洁的能源替换的过程中 - 有些替代过程被某些人所称的替代过程被挖掘加密货币的压力打断了。
In fact, in China, during early 2021 Bitcoin mining was banned altogether as part of one province's plans to reduce emissions; in late 2021, the rest of the country followed suit as a result of a ban advanced by the government, though without explicitly citing the same rationale. So the precedent that dirty mining operations represent a threat to the coin's value is well-established.
实际上,在中国,在2021年初,比特币采矿被完全禁止,这是一个省减少排放的计划的一部分;在2021年底,由于政府的禁令,该国其他地区也效仿,尽管没有明确援引同样的理由。因此,肮脏的采矿业务代表了对硬币价值的威胁的先例。
But, in 2024, per the MiCa report, just 20% of the energy used for mining Bitcoin was produced using coal power. Nearly 41% of the energy was produced by renewable sources, up from 24% in 2014. That's a very bullish trend for Bitcoin, and practically nobody is talking about it. Nor is there any sign that the growth of renewable sources as a proportion of the total energy used is slowing.
但是,在2024年,根据云母的报告,使用煤炭能源生产了用于采矿比特币的能源的20%。近41%的能源是由可再生能源产生的,从2014年的24%增加了。这是比特币的非常看涨的趋势,实际上没有人在谈论它。也没有任何迹象表明可再生能源的生长是所用总能量的一定比例正在放缓。
Don't underestimate the upside here
不要低估这里的上升空间
Bitcoin using less energy from coal and more from renewables over time is favorable because it means the regulatory and policy risks of mining it are declining over time rather than increasing. If it becomes an asset that's produced primarily using renewable power, which it's on track to do in just a couple of years, the risk of it being banned or heavily restricted for environmental reasons will be well on its way toward zero. There would still be other policy-related risks, of course -- but fewer than before.
随着时间的推移,比特币使用较少的煤炭能量,更多的可再生能源从可再生能源中使用的比特币是有利的,因为这意味着它随着时间的推移而不是增加的监管和政策风险正在下降。如果它成为主要使用可再生能源的资产,它可以在短短几年内进行,因此由于环境原因而被禁止或受到严重限制的风险将在零方向上。当然,仍然会有其他与政策有关的风险 - 但比以前少。
Aside from those declining risks, if Bitcoin fully sheds its reputation of being a burden on the environment in the coming years, it could also attract capital from investors who previously refused to buy it for environmental reasons. It's unclear if that would trigger rising prices, but it's hard to see how a larger pool of willing buyers could be a downside over the long run.
除了那些风险下降的风险之外,如果比特币在未来几年完全忽略了对环境负担的声誉,那么它也可以吸引以前出于环境原因拒绝购买的投资者的资本。目前尚不清楚这是否会触发价格上涨,但是很难看到从长远来看,更大的愿意买家如何成为缺点。
What should investors do about this trend? On the off chance that you weren't invested in Bitcoin because you thought it was bad for the environment, it's worth reevaluating your opinion now, at least preliminarily. For everyone else, consider this as another ancillary reason the coin is worth buying and holding forever. It probably shouldn't be the thing that makes you invest more than you were already planning, but it's certainly a reason to avoid selling it if you were concerned about the regulatory consequences for coal-powered mining operations.
投资者应该如何处理这一趋势?由于您认为这对环境不利,因此您没有投资比特币,因此现在值得重新评估您的意见,至少是初步的。对于其他所有人来说,将其视为硬币值得购买和持有的另一个辅助原因。这可能不应该使您的投资比已经计划的要多,但是如果您担心您对煤矿开采业务的监管后果,那肯定是避免出售它的原因。
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