比特币市场在减半和地缘政治中表现出弹性

尽管最近发生了减半事件，但截至格林威治标准时间周一下午，比特币价格仍稳定在 66,300 美元。 Zodia Markets 的 Mick Roche 表示，伊朗和以色列之间的地缘政治紧张局势对市场的影响比减半更为严重。专家指出，比特币与更广泛的股票市场的相关性正在增强，监管发展和零售交易活动等因素影响着其价格走势。

Bitcoin Market Exhibits Resilience Amidst Halving Event and Geopolitical Developments

比特币市场在减半事件和地缘政治发展中表现出弹性

London, February 14, 2023 (GMT) - The cryptocurrency market witnessed a relatively subdued impact from the scheduled Bitcoin halving event on Monday, February 13th. As of 1415 GMT, Bitcoin (BTC) traded at $66,300, showing a modest increase of 1.2% since the previous week's close and a 3.4% gain on Monday. This subdued performance defies the initial market expectations that the halving, a pre-programmed event that occurs every four years and reduces the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market, would lead to significant price volatility.

伦敦，2023 年 2 月 14 日（格林威治标准时间）——2 月 13 日星期一预定的比特币减半事件对加密货币市场的影响相对较小。截至格林威治标准时间 1415，比特币 (BTC) 交易价格为 66,300 美元，自上周收盘以来小幅上涨 1.2%，周一上涨 3.4%。这种低迷的表现违背了市场最初的预期，即每四年发生一次的预编程事件减半会减少进入市场的新比特币的供应，从而导致价格大幅波动。

Market analysts attribute the lack of pronounced impact from the halving primarily to the overshadowing influence of geopolitical events, particularly the recent easing of tensions between Iran and Israel. "The unfolding geopolitical landscape is exerting a more significant influence on the market than the halving event itself," observed Mick Roche, Senior Trader at Zodia Markets, the cryptocurrency arm of Standard Chartered.

市场分析师将减半没有产生明显影响主要归因于地缘政治事件的压倒性影响，特别是最近伊朗和以色列之间紧张局势的缓和。渣打银行加密货币部门 Zodia Markets 的高级交易员米克·罗奇 (Mick Roche) 表示：“不断发展的地缘政治格局对市场产生的影响比减半事件本身更重要。”

Meanwhile, global stock markets exhibited a recovery on Monday, as investors cautiously reversed their defensive positions taken amidst fears of a larger Middle East conflict. Eric Demuth, CEO of Austrian cryptocurrency broker Bitpanda, highlighted the growing correlation between Bitcoin and the broader market sentiment, noting the absence of discernible retail trading patterns specific to the halving event. "Cryptocurrencies are becoming increasingly intertwined with traditional financial markets," he remarked.

与此同时，全球股市周一出现复苏，投资者因担心中东冲突加剧而谨慎地扭转了防御立场。奥地利加密货币经纪商 Bitpanda 首席执行官埃里克·德穆斯 (Eric Demuth) 强调了比特币与更广泛市场情绪之间日益增强的相关性，并指出，减半事件缺乏明显的零售交易模式。 “加密货币与传统金融市场的联系越来越紧密，”他表示。

Last year, the excitement surrounding the potential approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States played a significant role in Bitcoin's recovery from a series of market downturns in 2022. Ben Laidler, Global Markets Strategist at eToro, believes that the focus for Bitcoin now lies in its "institutionalization." While retail investors currently dominate Bitcoin trading, Laidler anticipates that future regulatory changes could pave the way for companies, banks, and central banks to acquire and hold Bitcoin.

去年，围绕美国现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）可能获得批准的兴奋情绪，在比特币从 2022 年一系列市场低迷中复苏的过程中发挥了重要作用。eToro 全球市场策略师 Ben Laidler 认为，比特币现在的重点在于它的“制度化”。虽然散户投资者目前主导比特币交易，但莱德勒预计未来的监管变化可能为公司、银行和央行收购和持有比特币铺平道路。

Moreover, the combined value of all cryptocurrencies remains a relatively niche asset class, hovering around $2.5 trillion, according to data from CoinGecko. Regulators have consistently cautioned investors about the speculative and volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, emphasizing their limited practical applications.

此外，根据 CoinGecko 的数据，所有加密货币的总价值仍然是一个相对小众的资产类别，徘徊在 2.5 万亿美元左右。监管机构一直警告投资者注意加密货币的投机性和波动性，并强调其实际应用有限。

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, investors are keeping a close eye on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for potential approval of spot ETFs for Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency. However, both Demuth and Roche expressed skepticism that such approvals may materialize in the near future. "The hopes for May are diminishing," Demuth acknowledged.

随着加密货币市场的不断发展，投资者正在密切关注美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 是否可能批准第二大加密货币以太币 (ETH) 的现货 ETF。然而，德穆斯和罗氏都对此类批准在不久的将来能否实现表示怀疑。 “对五月的希望正在减弱，”德穆斯承认。