FOMC 12 月降息可能性降低，比特币流动性指数下跌 10%

此次抛售恰逢美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔发表强硬言论，鲍威尔在达拉斯会议上强调对降息采取谨慎态度：

Major crypto sell-off as Powell statement curtails rate cut hopes, XRP surges on legal optimism.

由于鲍威尔声明削减了降息希望，加密货币遭受重大抛售，XRP 因法律乐观情绪而飙升。

A sell-off hit major cryptocurrencies on Friday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks and Middle East tensions tempered risk appetite, while XRP soared on optimism over legal challenges to the SEC.

由于美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的鹰派言论和中东紧张局势缓和了风险偏好，周五主要加密货币遭遇抛售，而 XRP 则因对美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 面临的法律挑战的乐观情绪而飙升。

Bitcoin fell 1.7% over the past 24 hours to $71,133 by 04:05 ET (08:05 GMT), while ether dropped 2.3% to $5,606. Both tokens were trading lower for the week.

截至东部时间 04:05（格林威治标准时间 08:05），比特币在过去 24 小时内下跌 1.7% 至 71,133 美元，而以太币下跌 2.3% 至 5,606 美元。这两种代币本周均走低。

The sell-off coincided with hawkish remarks from Powell, who, at a Dallas conference, emphasized a cautious approach to rate cuts.

这次抛售恰逢鲍威尔发表鹰派言论，鲍威尔在达拉斯的一次会议上强调对降息采取谨慎态度。

“The economy is not signaling urgency to lower rates,” he said, curbing hopes for rapid easing.

他表示，“经济并未发出降息的紧迫信号”，这抑制了人们对快速宽松政策的希望。

This rhetoric spooked markets, dampening speculative fervor.

这种言论吓坏了市场，抑制了投机热情。

As of Friday, traders are pricing in a 66% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut at the December FOMC meeting, a notable drop from the previous day’s 83%.

截至周五，交易员预计 12 月 FOMC 会议降息 25 个基点的可能性为 66%，较前一天的 83% 显着下降。

Powell’s comments reflect the Fed’s confidence in the economy’s resilience, suggesting no immediate need for aggressive monetary easing.

鲍威尔的言论反映了美联储对经济韧性的信心，表明不需要立即采取激进的货币宽松政策。

The Fed’s hawkish tone sent ripples beyond crypto. The CME FedWatch tool now places the odds of a December rate cut at 62%, down from 83% just a day prior.

美联储的强硬语气在加密货币领域之外引发了涟漪。 CME FedWatch 工具目前将 12 月降息的可能性定为 62%，低于前一天的 83%。

On the other hand, XRP surged 17%, hitting $0.82 in early Asian trading. This rally marks a 50% gain over the past week, fueled by optimism around legal challenges to the SEC.

另一方面，XRP 飙升 17%，在亚洲早盘交易中触及 0.82 美元。受美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 面临的法律挑战的乐观情绪推动，此次上涨标志着过去一周上涨 50%。

A coalition of 18 U.S. states recently filed a lawsuit against the regulator, accusing it of unconstitutional overreach.

美国 18 个州组成的联盟最近对该监管机构提起诉讼，指控其越权违宪。

This development has breathed new life into XRP, which had faced an uphill battle following the SEC’s 2020 lawsuit against Ripple Labs.

这一发展为 XRP 注入了新的活力，在 SEC 2020 年对 Ripple Labs 提起诉讼后，XRP 面临着一场艰苦的战斗。

Traders are speculating that a potential Trump re-election could usher in a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment, benefiting tokens like XRP and Uniswap (UNI).

交易员猜测，特朗普可能连任可能会带来一个对加密货币更加友好的监管环境，从而有利于 XRP 和 Uniswap (UNI) 等代币。

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, who is personally named in the SEC lawsuit, also attended the Cantor event.

Ripple 首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯 (Brad Garlinghouse) 在 SEC 诉讼中被点名，他也出席了 Cantor 活动。

“Safe to say that the US is ready to be the crypto capital of the world with the next Trump Administration,” Garlinghouse said in a tweet from the conference.

加林豪斯在会议的推文中表示：“可以肯定地说，在下一届特朗普政府的领导下，美国已准备好成为世界加密货币之都。”

“Also, an apt shirt to wear on perhaps what are Gary Gensler’s last days in office?!” he added, referring to the SEC chair.

“还有，一件适合加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 任期最后几天穿的衬衫？！”他补充说，指的是美国证券交易委员会主席。

Bitcoin’s slip also comes amid ongoing Middle East tensions, which have historically created mixed market signals for risk assets like crypto.

比特币的下滑也是在中东持续紧张局势的背景下发生的，这种紧张局势历来为加密货币等风险资产创造了复杂的市场信号。

Meanwhile, gold continues its upward trajectory, signaling a flight to safety.

与此同时，金价继续上涨，预示着黄金将转向安全。

The market’s gyrations underscore the dual influence of macroeconomic policy and regulatory shifts, setting the stage for a volatile end to the year.

市场的波动凸显了宏观经济政策和监管转变的双重影响，为年底的波动奠定了基础。