FOMC 12 月降息可能性降低，比特幣流動性指數下跌 10%

這次拋售恰逢聯準會主席鮑威爾發表強硬言論，鮑威爾在達拉斯會議上強調對降息採取謹慎態度：

Major crypto sell-off as Powell statement curtails rate cut hopes, XRP surges on legal optimism.

由於鮑威爾聲明削減了降息希望，加密貨幣遭受重大拋售，XRP 因法律樂觀情緒而飆升。

A sell-off hit major cryptocurrencies on Friday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks and Middle East tensions tempered risk appetite, while XRP soared on optimism over legal challenges to the SEC.

由於聯準會主席鮑威爾的鷹派言論和中東緊張局勢緩和了風險偏好，週五主要加密貨幣遭遇拋售，而XRP 則因對美國證券交易委員會(SEC) 面臨的法律挑戰的樂觀情緒而飆升。

Bitcoin fell 1.7% over the past 24 hours to $71,133 by 04:05 ET (08:05 GMT), while ether dropped 2.3% to $5,606. Both tokens were trading lower for the week.

截至東部時間 04:05（格林威治標準時間 08:05），比特幣在過去 24 小時內下跌 1.7% 至 71,133 美元，而以太幣下跌 2.3% 至 5,606 美元。這兩種代幣本週均走低。

The sell-off coincided with hawkish remarks from Powell, who, at a Dallas conference, emphasized a cautious approach to rate cuts.

這次拋售恰逢鮑威爾發表鷹派言論，鮑威爾在達拉斯的一次會議上強調對降息採取謹慎態度。

“The economy is not signaling urgency to lower rates,” he said, curbing hopes for rapid easing.

他表示，“經濟並未發出降息的緊迫信號”，這抑制了人們對快速寬鬆政策的希望。

This rhetoric spooked markets, dampening speculative fervor.

這種言論嚇壞了市場，抑制了投機熱情。

As of Friday, traders are pricing in a 66% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut at the December FOMC meeting, a notable drop from the previous day’s 83%.

截至週五，交易員預計 12 月 FOMC 會議降息 25 個基點的可能性為 66%，較前一天的 83% 顯著下降。

Powell’s comments reflect the Fed’s confidence in the economy’s resilience, suggesting no immediate need for aggressive monetary easing.

鮑威爾的言論反映了聯準會對經濟韌性的信心，表明不需要立即採取激進的貨幣寬鬆政策。

The Fed’s hawkish tone sent ripples beyond crypto. The CME FedWatch tool now places the odds of a December rate cut at 62%, down from 83% just a day prior.

聯準會的強硬語氣在加密貨幣領域之外引發了漣漪。 CME FedWatch 工具目前將 12 月降息的可能性定為 62%，低於前一天的 83%。

On the other hand, XRP surged 17%, hitting $0.82 in early Asian trading. This rally marks a 50% gain over the past week, fueled by optimism around legal challenges to the SEC.

另一方面，XRP 飆升 17%，在亞洲早盤交易中觸及 0.82 美元。受美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 面臨的法律挑戰的樂觀情緒推動，此次上漲標誌著過去一周上漲 50%。

A coalition of 18 U.S. states recently filed a lawsuit against the regulator, accusing it of unconstitutional overreach.

美國 18 個州組成的聯盟最近對該監管機構提起訴訟，指控越權違憲。

This development has breathed new life into XRP, which had faced an uphill battle following the SEC’s 2020 lawsuit against Ripple Labs.

這一發展為 XRP 注入了新的活力，在 SEC 2020 年對 Ripple Labs 提起訴訟後，XRP 面臨著一場艱苦的戰鬥。

Traders are speculating that a potential Trump re-election could usher in a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment, benefiting tokens like XRP and Uniswap (UNI).

交易員猜測，川普可能連任可能會帶來一個對加密貨幣更友善的監管環境，有利於 XRP 和 Uniswap (UNI) 等代幣。

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, who is personally named in the SEC lawsuit, also attended the Cantor event.

Ripple 執行長 Brad Garlinghouse 在 SEC 訴訟中被點名，他也出席了 Cantor 活動。

“Safe to say that the US is ready to be the crypto capital of the world with the next Trump Administration,” Garlinghouse said in a tweet from the conference.

加林豪斯在會議的推文中表示：“可以肯定地說，在下一屆川普政府的領導下，美國已準備好成為世界加密貨幣之都。”

“Also, an apt shirt to wear on perhaps what are Gary Gensler’s last days in office?!” he added, referring to the SEC chair.

“還有，一件適合加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 任期最後幾天穿的襯衫？！”他補充說，指的是美國證券交易委員會主席。

Bitcoin’s slip also comes amid ongoing Middle East tensions, which have historically created mixed market signals for risk assets like crypto.

比特幣的下滑也是在中東持續緊張局勢的背景下發生的，這種緊張局勢歷來為加密貨幣等風險資產創造了複雜的市場訊號。

Meanwhile, gold continues its upward trajectory, signaling a flight to safety.

同時，金價繼續上漲，預示著黃金將轉向安全。

The market’s gyrations underscore the dual influence of macroeconomic policy and regulatory shifts, setting the stage for a volatile end to the year.

市場的波動凸顯了宏觀經濟政策和監管轉變的雙重影響，為年底的波動奠定了基礎。