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在图表上持续下跌之后,世界币 [WLD] 在过去的一个月里出现了命运的转变。事实上,山寨币录得持续上涨趋势,触及三个月高点。
Worldcoin [WLD] has seen a sustained uptrend to hit its 3-months high. At the time of writing, the altcoin was trading at $2.34 following an 8.95% weekly hike. However, a recent surge in supply into exchanges hinted at a potential top on the price charts.
世界币 [WLD] 呈现持续上涨趋势,触及 3 个月高点。截至撰写本文时,山寨币交易价格为 2.34 美元,每周上涨 8.95%。然而,近期交易所供应量激增暗示价格图表上可能出现顶部。
Also Read: Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Analysis for March: Key Levels, Chart and RSI Impact
另请阅读:Shiba Inu (SHIB) 3 月份价格分析:关键水平、图表和 RSI 影响
Worldcoin whale deposits to exchanges soar
世界币鲸鱼向交易所的存款猛增
According to Santiment, the 100 largest Worldcoin wallets have moved $2.3 million or 0.16% of the total supply to Bybit. Based on the platform’s analysis, this is the largest dollar amount of transaction volume day that we’ve seen in recent history.
据 Santiment 称,世界币最大的 100 个钱包已向 Bybit 转移了 230 万美元,占总供应量的 0.16%。根据该平台的分析,这是我们近年来所见过的最大美元交易量日。
A surge in supply to exchanges increases the risk of a potential top – Signaling a potential decline. This, because when large holders transfer their tokens to exchanges, it instills fear among retail traders. Especially since it signals a lack of confidence in the crypto’s future value.
交易所供应量激增增加了潜在见顶的风险——预示着潜在的下跌。这是因为当大持有者将代币转移到交易所时,散户交易者会感到恐惧。特别是因为它表明人们对加密货币的未来价值缺乏信心。
Impact on WLD?
对WLD的影响?
While huge transfers are expected to have an immediate impact on the price charts, this is not the case. On the contrary, WLD was still green across its charts at press time. The worry highlighted above is that, these transfers may be the last signals before a decline.
虽然巨额转账预计将对价格图表产生直接影响,但事实并非如此。相反,截至发稿时,WLD 在其图表中仍呈绿色。上面强调的担忧是,这些转移可能是下跌之前的最后信号。
In most cases, a rise in supply into exchanges signals bearish sentiment, especially among large holders.
在大多数情况下,交易所供应量的增加预示着看跌情绪,尤其是大持有者。
We can see this bearishness among large holders through a rise in outflows. According to IntoTheBlock, large holders outflows have surged to hit a recent high of 62.25 million. This suggested that large holders have been closing their positions, mostly to maximize their profits with the recent upsurge.
我们可以通过资金外流的增加看到大持有者的这种看跌情绪。根据 IntoTheBlock 的数据,大户资金流出激增,达到 6225 万的近期高点。这表明大户一直在平仓,主要是为了在最近的上涨中实现利润最大化。
Additionally, Worldcoin’s MVRV long/short difference declined over the past week and flashed a negative reading of -7.67. This alluded to reduced confidence in long-term accumulation or a higher likelihood of large-term holders selling.
此外,世界币的 MVRV 多头/空头差值在过去一周有所下降,并出现负值 -7.67。这暗示着人们对长期积累的信心下降,或者长期持有者抛售的可能性更高。
Therefore, if both short-term and long-term holders are less profitable, it would mean oversupply in the market leading to price declines.
因此,如果短期和长期持有者的利润均减少,则意味着市场供过于求,导致价格下跌。
Finally, we can see the potential for a market correction with the rising NVT ratio (with circulation). When this is rising, it warns of a potential pullback, one implying that the market is pricing the asset optimistically. However, this optimism cannot be supported by transactional demand.
最后,我们可以看到随着 NVT 比率(含流通量)上升而出现市场调整的可能性。当这一数字上升时,它警告可能出现回调,这意味着市场正在乐观地定价该资产。然而,这种乐观情绪并不能得到交易需求的支持。
Simply put, large holders transferring their assets into exchanges suggested that they have been less optimistic and might sell. This might instill fear, resulting in volatility. Especially since an oversupply in the market usually results in a price decline.
简而言之,大股东将资产转移到交易所表明他们不太乐观,可能会出售资产。这可能会引发恐惧,导致波动。特别是因为市场供应过剩通常会导致价格下跌。
Therefore, if this trend continues, WLD will decline to $2.1. However, if the market absorbs the selling pressure from these wallets, the altcoin can reclaim $2.6 in the short term.
因此,如果这种趋势持续下去,WLD 将跌至 2.1 美元。然而,如果市场吸收这些钱包的抛售压力,山寨币可以在短期内收回 2.6 美元。
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