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周一的一段时间里,尽管全球大部分地区都在庆祝复活节周一下班,但比特币 (BTC) 似乎正朝着 30,000 美元以上的乐土迈进。
Bitcoin price crossed the psychologically important level of $30,000 on Monday as cryptocurrency markets enjoyed a largely positive session, although the reason for the move was unclear and some analysts were pessimistic about its sustainability.
周一,比特币价格突破了 30,000 美元的重要心理关口,加密货币市场整体表现积极,但这一走势的原因尚不清楚,而且一些分析师对其可持续性持悲观态度。
The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization rose to a high of $30,057 during the afternoon, its highest since early June, before easing back to about $29,616 at the time of writing, according to data from CoinDesk.
根据 CoinDesk 的数据,全球市值最大的加密货币下午升至 30,057 美元的高点,为 6 月初以来的最高点,然后在撰写本文时回落至约 29,616 美元。
BTC had been teasing a run toward this threshold for about three weeks, having broken above $28,000 on March 14 following a largely upbeat U.S. inflation report. But the cause of Monday’s move was difficult to pinpoint, especially given that large parts of the world were off work celebrating Easter Monday.
大约三周以来,比特币一直在向这一门槛迈进,在美国通胀报告基本乐观之后,比特币于 3 月 14 日突破 28,000 美元。但周一此举的原因很难确定,特别是考虑到世界大部分地区周一都在庆祝复活节。
“There isn't a clear catalyst for this spike, but we could be seeing some buying from crypto traders who were frustrated by a one-sided New York Times article that took issue with [bitcoin's] energy consumption,” Edward Moya, senior market analyst for foreign exchange market maker Oanda, wrote in an email to CoinDesk.
“这种飙升没有明显的催化剂,但我们可能会看到加密货币交易者的一些购买,他们对《纽约时报》一篇片面的文章感到沮丧,该文章对比特币的能源消耗提出了质疑,”高级市场人士爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)外汇做市商 Oanda 的分析师在给 CoinDesk 的电子邮件中写道。
“This move higher also occurred around the release of news that Federal Home Loan Bank debt issuance had lessened, signaling that the banking crisis was easing.”
“这一上涨也是在联邦住房贷款银行债务发行减少的消息发布后发生的,这表明银行业危机正在缓解。”
Bitcoin rose nearly 4% from about 10 a.m to 11 a.m. ET (14:00-15:00 UTC). It had been lingering closer to $28,000 since mid-March, when fears about the conventional banking system began to diminish.
从上午 10 点到上午 11 点(世界标准时间 14:00-15:00),比特币上涨了近 4%。自 3 月中旬以来,对传统银行体系的担忧开始减弱,该价格一直徘徊在 28,000 美元附近。
The second-largest cryptocurrency, ether, also jumped on Monday, crossing the $1,900 level before retreating. It was recently up about 1.7% versus 24 hours earlier.
第二大加密货币以太币周一也大幅上涨,突破 1,900 美元水平,然后回落。最近较 24 小时前上涨约 1.7%。
Other major cryptos were largely in the green, albeit light shades. ARB, the token of layer 2 blockchain Arbitrum, was recently up more than 2.8%, while XRP rose about 1%. The CoinDesk Market Index, a measure of the crypto market's overall performance, recently rose 2.3%.
其他主要的加密货币大多是绿色的,尽管是浅色的。 Layer 2 区块链 Arbitrum 的代币 ARB 近期上涨超过 2.8%,而 XRP 上涨约 1%。衡量加密货币市场整体表现的 CoinDesk 市场指数最近上涨了 2.3%。
Among crypto-related equities, shares of crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) rose about 7.5%, while corporate bitcoin vault MicroStrategy (MSTR) gained more than 8%.
在加密货币相关股票中,加密货币交易所 Coinbase (COIN) 的股价上涨约 7.5%,而企业比特币金库 MicroStrategy (MSTR) 的股价上涨超过 8%。
U.S. stock indexes closed mixed on Monday with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rising a few ticks of a percentage point, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite losing 0.03%.
美国股指周一收盘涨跌互现,标准普尔 500 指数和道琼斯工业平均指数上涨几个百分点,以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.03%。
Markets will be keeping an eye on the March Consumer Price March Index (CPI) report this week for signs that inflation is continuing its recent trudge downward.
市场本周将密切关注 3 月消费者价格指数 (CPI) 报告,寻找通胀持续近期下行趋势的迹象。
In February, inflation in the U.S. slowed to 0.4% from 0.5% a month earlier and 6% on a yearly basis from 6.4% the previous month. Bitcoin jumped past $26,000 following that report, on March 14.
2 月份,美国通胀率从上月的 0.5% 放缓至 0.4%,年率从上月的 6.4% 放缓至 6%。 3 月 14 日该报告发布后,比特币价格跃升至 26,000 美元以上。
A continued slowdown could embolden central bankers to scale back their year-long regime of harsh interest rate hikes, although the impact on bitcoin is uncertain. The crypto seemed to gain momentum following the recent U.S. bank failures that caused worries about the conventional financial system, as investors shifted toward assets that retain value through good times and bad.
经济持续放缓可能会鼓励央行官员缩减长达一年的严厉加息制度,尽管对比特币的影响尚不确定。最近美国银行倒闭引发了人们对传统金融体系的担忧,加密货币似乎获得了动力,因为投资者转向了无论顺境还是逆境都能保值的资产。
“BTC is also being seen as a reliable store of value that lacks the issues that come with storing your money by way of a third-party intermediary, or a bank,” Richard Mico, the U.S. CEO and chief legal officer of Banxa, a payment-and-compliance infrastructure provider to the crypto industry, wrote in an email to CoinDesk.
Banxa 的美国首席执行官兼首席法律官理查德·米科 (Richard Mico) 表示:“比特币也被视为一种可靠的价值储存手段,不会出现通过第三方中介机构或银行存储资金所带来的问题。”加密货币行业的支付和合规基础设施提供商,在给 CoinDesk 的电子邮件中写道。
“This is further supported by the decreasing correlation with the equity markets since 2021 – BTC is now properly starting to be perceived as a risk-off asset.”
“自 2021 年以来,比特币与股市的相关性不断下降,进一步支持了这一点——比特币现在开始被正确地视为一种避险资产。”
Joe DiPasquale, the CEO of crypto fund manager BitBull Capital, was cautiously optimistic about the sustainability of bitcoin’s Monday surge.
加密货币基金管理公司 BitBull Capital 的首席执行官 Joe DiPasquale 对比特币周一飙升的可持续性持谨慎乐观态度。
“Bitcoin is likely to find resistance at $30,000,” DiPasquale noted in an email to CoinDesk. From a technical-analysis perspective, the current move is “a retest of the range high established in March after the initial surge from under $20,000. Success of this test would see the price claiming $30,000 while a failure here should see BTC drop to $25,000, followed by $23,000.”
DiPasquale 在给 CoinDesk 的电子邮件中指出:“比特币可能会在 30,000 美元处遇到阻力。”从技术分析的角度来看,当前的走势是“在最初从 20,000 美元以下飙升后,重新测试 3 月份建立的区间高点。如果测试成功,价格将达到 30,000 美元,而如果测试失败,BTC 的价格将跌至 25,000 美元,然后是 23,000 美元。”
But he added: “The current price is also testing the lows of July 2021, where the market bounced back into another big rally.”
但他补充道:“目前的价格也在测试 2021 年 7 月的低点,当时市场反弹进入另一次大幅上涨。”
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