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在週一的一段時間裡,儘管世界上大部分地區都在慶祝復活節週一下班,但比特幣 (BTC) 似乎正朝著 30,000 美元以上的樂土邁進。
Bitcoin price crossed the psychologically important level of $30,000 on Monday as cryptocurrency markets enjoyed a largely positive session, although the reason for the move was unclear and some analysts were pessimistic about its sustainability.
週一,比特幣價格突破了 30,000 美元的重要心理關口,加密貨幣市場整體表現積極,但這一趨勢的原因尚不清楚,而且一些分析師對其可持續性持悲觀態度。
The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization rose to a high of $30,057 during the afternoon, its highest since early June, before easing back to about $29,616 at the time of writing, according to data from CoinDesk.
根據 CoinDesk 的數據,全球市值最大的加密貨幣在下午升至 30,057 美元的高點,為 6 月初以來的最高點,然後在撰寫本文時回落至約 29,616 美元。
BTC had been teasing a run toward this threshold for about three weeks, having broken above $28,000 on March 14 following a largely upbeat U.S. inflation report. But the cause of Monday’s move was difficult to pinpoint, especially given that large parts of the world were off work celebrating Easter Monday.
大約三週以來,比特幣一直在朝著這一門檻邁進,在美國通膨報告基本樂觀之後,比特幣於 3 月 14 日突破 28,000 美元。但周一此舉的原因很難確定,特別是考慮到世界大部分地區週一都在慶祝復活節。
“There isn't a clear catalyst for this spike, but we could be seeing some buying from crypto traders who were frustrated by a one-sided New York Times article that took issue with [bitcoin's] energy consumption,” Edward Moya, senior market analyst for foreign exchange market maker Oanda, wrote in an email to CoinDesk.
「這種飆升沒有明顯的催化劑,但我們可能會看到加密貨幣交易者的一些購買,他們對《紐約時報》一篇片面的文章感到沮喪,該文章對比特幣的能源消耗提出了質疑,”高級市場人士愛德華·莫亞(Edward Moya)外匯做市商 Oanda 的分析師在給 CoinDesk 的電子郵件中寫道。
“This move higher also occurred around the release of news that Federal Home Loan Bank debt issuance had lessened, signaling that the banking crisis was easing.”
“這一上漲也是在聯邦住房貸款銀行債務發行減少的消息發布後發生的,這表明銀行業危機正在緩解。”
Bitcoin rose nearly 4% from about 10 a.m to 11 a.m. ET (14:00-15:00 UTC). It had been lingering closer to $28,000 since mid-March, when fears about the conventional banking system began to diminish.
從上午 10 點到上午 11 點(世界標準時間 14:00-15:00),比特幣上漲了近 4%。自 3 月中旬以來,對傳統銀行體系的擔憂開始減弱,該價格一直徘徊在 28,000 美元附近。
The second-largest cryptocurrency, ether, also jumped on Monday, crossing the $1,900 level before retreating. It was recently up about 1.7% versus 24 hours earlier.
第二大加密貨幣以太幣週一也大幅上漲,突破 1,900 美元水平,然後回落。最近較 24 小時前上漲約 1.7%。
Other major cryptos were largely in the green, albeit light shades. ARB, the token of layer 2 blockchain Arbitrum, was recently up more than 2.8%, while XRP rose about 1%. The CoinDesk Market Index, a measure of the crypto market's overall performance, recently rose 2.3%.
其他主要的加密貨幣大多是綠色的,儘管是淺色的。 Layer 2 區塊鏈 Arbitrum 的代幣 ARB 近期上漲超過 2.8%,而 XRP 上漲約 1%。衡量加密貨幣市場整體表現的 CoinDesk 市場指數最近上漲了 2.3%。
Among crypto-related equities, shares of crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) rose about 7.5%, while corporate bitcoin vault MicroStrategy (MSTR) gained more than 8%.
在加密貨幣相關股票中,加密貨幣交易所 Coinbase (COIN) 的股價上漲約 7.5%,而企業比特幣金庫 MicroStrategy (MSTR) 的股價上漲超過 8%。
U.S. stock indexes closed mixed on Monday with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rising a few ticks of a percentage point, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite losing 0.03%.
美國股指週一收盤漲跌互現,標準普爾 500 指數和道瓊工業指數上漲幾個百分點,以科技股為主的那斯達克指數下跌 0.03%。
Markets will be keeping an eye on the March Consumer Price March Index (CPI) report this week for signs that inflation is continuing its recent trudge downward.
市場本週將密切關注 3 月消費者物價指數 (CPI) 報告,尋找通膨持續近期下行趨勢的跡象。
In February, inflation in the U.S. slowed to 0.4% from 0.5% a month earlier and 6% on a yearly basis from 6.4% the previous month. Bitcoin jumped past $26,000 following that report, on March 14.
2 月份,美國通膨率從上月的 0.5% 放緩至 0.4%,年率從上月的 6.4% 放緩至 6%。 3 月 14 日該報告發布後,比特幣價格躍升至 26,000 美元以上。
A continued slowdown could embolden central bankers to scale back their year-long regime of harsh interest rate hikes, although the impact on bitcoin is uncertain. The crypto seemed to gain momentum following the recent U.S. bank failures that caused worries about the conventional financial system, as investors shifted toward assets that retain value through good times and bad.
經濟持續放緩可能鼓勵央行官員縮減長達一年的嚴厲升息制度,儘管對比特幣的影響尚不確定。最近美國銀行倒閉引發了人們對傳統金融體系的擔憂,加密貨幣似乎獲得了動力,因為投資者轉向了無論順境或逆境都能保值的資產。
“BTC is also being seen as a reliable store of value that lacks the issues that come with storing your money by way of a third-party intermediary, or a bank,” Richard Mico, the U.S. CEO and chief legal officer of Banxa, a payment-and-compliance infrastructure provider to the crypto industry, wrote in an email to CoinDesk.
Banxa 的美國執行長兼首席法律長 Richard Mico 表示:「比特幣也被視為一種可靠的價值儲存手段,不會出現透過第三方中介機構或銀行儲存資金所帶來的問題。
“This is further supported by the decreasing correlation with the equity markets since 2021 – BTC is now properly starting to be perceived as a risk-off asset.”
「自 2021 年以來,比特幣與股市的相關性不斷下降,進一步支持了這一點——比特幣現在開始被正確地視為一種避險資產。”
Joe DiPasquale, the CEO of crypto fund manager BitBull Capital, was cautiously optimistic about the sustainability of bitcoin’s Monday surge.
加密貨幣基金管理公司 BitBull Capital 的執行長 Joe DiPasquale 對比特幣週一飆升的可持續性持謹慎樂觀態度。
“Bitcoin is likely to find resistance at $30,000,” DiPasquale noted in an email to CoinDesk. From a technical-analysis perspective, the current move is “a retest of the range high established in March after the initial surge from under $20,000. Success of this test would see the price claiming $30,000 while a failure here should see BTC drop to $25,000, followed by $23,000.”
DiPasquale 在給 CoinDesk 的電子郵件中指出:“比特幣可能會在 30,000 美元處遇到阻力。”從技術分析的角度來看,目前的走勢是「在最初從 2 萬美元以下飆升後,重新測試 3 月建立的區間高點。如果測試成功,價格將達到 30,000 美元,而如果測試失敗,BTC 的價格將跌至 25,000 美元,然後是 23,000 美元。
But he added: “The current price is also testing the lows of July 2021, where the market bounced back into another big rally.”
但他補充說:“目前的價格也在測試 2021 年 7 月的低點,當時市場反彈進入另一次大幅上漲。”
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