哈爾芬尼 (Hal Finney) 的比特幣價值 1000 萬美元的預測在 16 年後再次出現

最著名的早期比特幣先驅之一 Hal Finney 的一項非凡預測在 16 年後重新浮出水面。

Bitcoin historian Pete Rizzo has reignited interest in an iconic prediction made by Hal Finney 16 years ago.

比特幣歷史學家 Pete Rizzo 重新點燃了人們對 Hal Finney 16 年前做出的標誌性預測的興趣。

In a recent tweet, Rizzo shared a remarkable email from Finney, sent on Jan. 10, 2009, as he contemplated how to value Bitcoin, which was then priced at $0.

在最近的一條推文中，里佐分享了芬尼於2009 年1 月10 日發送的一封引人注目的電子郵件，當時他正在考慮如何對比特幣進行估值，當時比特幣的價格為0 美元。

✨ Hal Finney predicting $10 million #Bitcoin when the price was $0, exactly 16 years ago

✨ Hal Finney 預測 1000 萬美元 #Bitcoin，當時價格為 0 美元，整整 16 年前

Absolutely LEGENDARY 💫 pic.twitter.com/0rrm6LDGvs

絕對傳奇💫 pic.twitter.com/0rrm6LDGvs

Finney, a computer scientist, famously received the first Bitcoin transaction and tweeted about Bitcoin on Jan. 11, 2009. He is also a leading contender to be Satoshi despite denying it until his death in 2014. Satoshi Nakamoto's true identity remains a mystery to this day.

電腦科學家芬尼(Finney) 因收到第一筆比特幣交易而聞名，並於2009 年1 月11 日發布了有關比特幣的推文。年去世才否認這一點。

Finney's email delves into a thought experiment to determine Bitcoin's potential value if it becomes the world's dominant payment system.

芬尼的電子郵件深入探討了一項思想實驗，以確定比特幣如果成為世界主導支付系統的潛在價值。

According to his calculations, factoring in當時Bitcoin的上限為 2000 萬枚，如果比特幣真的成功成為全球主要支付貨幣，那麼比特幣的總價值就等於全世界財富的總價值。

當時我找到的全世界家庭財富總估計值在 100 兆至 300 兆美元之間，而比特幣的上限為 2000 萬枚，這樣算下來每枚比特幣的價值大約為 1000 万美元。 the當時Bitcoin的上限為 2000 萬枚, if the cryptocurrency became the world's dominant payment system, its total value "should be equal to the total value of all the wealth in the world."

Extending this logic, and considering當時Bitcoin的上限為 2000 萬枚, Finney arrived at a value of $10 million per Bitcoin.

Extending this logic, and considering當時Bitcoin的上限為 2000 萬枚, Finney arrived at a value of $10 million per Bitcoin.

"As an amusing thought experiment, imagine that Bitcoin is successful and becomes the dominant payment system in use throughout the world," Finney wrote in the email Rizzo shared.

芬尼在里佐分享的電子郵件中寫道：“作為一個有趣的思想實驗，想像一下比特幣是成功的，並成為全世界使用的主要支付系統。”

"Then the total value of the currency should be equal to the total value of all the wealth in the world. Current estimates of total worldwide household wealth that I have found range from $100 trillion to $300 trillion."

「那麼貨幣的總價值應該等於世界上所有財富的總價值。我發現目前對全球家庭財富總額的估計範圍在 100 萬億美元到 300 萬億美元之間。”

"With 20 million coins, that gives each coin a value of about $10 million."

“如果有 2000 萬枚硬幣，那麼每枚硬幣的價值約為 1000 萬美元。”

Finney's prediction continues to inspire long-term faith in Bitcoin, despite its current price of $93,726, which is far from his $10 million target.

芬尼的預測繼續激發人們對比特幣的長期信心，儘管比特幣目前的價格為 93,726 美元，距離他的 1000 萬美元目標還很遠。