哈尔·芬尼 (Hal Finney) 的比特币价值 1000 万美元的预测在 16 年后再次出现

最著名的早期比特币先驱之一哈尔·芬尼 (Hal Finney) 的一项非凡预测在 16 年后重新浮出水面。

Bitcoin historian Pete Rizzo has reignited interest in an iconic prediction made by Hal Finney 16 years ago.

比特币历史学家 Pete Rizzo 重新点燃了人们对 Hal Finney 16 年前做出的标志性预测的兴趣。

In a recent tweet, Rizzo shared a remarkable email from Finney, sent on Jan. 10, 2009, as he contemplated how to value Bitcoin, which was then priced at $0.

在最近的一条推文中，里佐分享了芬尼于 2009 年 1 月 10 日发送的一封引人注目的电子邮件，当时他正在考虑如何对比特币进行估值，当时比特币的价格为 0 美元。

✨ Hal Finney predicting $10 million #Bitcoin when the price was $0, exactly 16 years ago

✨ Hal Finney 预测 1000 万美元 #Bitcoin，当时价格为 0 美元，整整 16 年前

Absolutely LEGENDARY 💫 pic.twitter.com/0rrm6LDGvs

绝对传奇💫 pic.twitter.com/0rrm6LDGvs

Finney, a computer scientist, famously received the first Bitcoin transaction and tweeted about Bitcoin on Jan. 11, 2009. He is also a leading contender to be Satoshi despite denying it until his death in 2014. Satoshi Nakamoto's true identity remains a mystery to this day.

计算机科学家芬尼 (Finney) 因收到第一笔比特币交易而闻名，并于 2009 年 1 月 11 日发布了有关比特币的推文。他也是中本聪的主要竞争者，尽管他直到 2014 年去世才否认这一点。中本聪的真实身份仍然是个谜天。

Finney's email delves into a thought experiment to determine Bitcoin's potential value if it becomes the world's dominant payment system.

芬尼的电子邮件深入研究了一项思想实验，以确定比特币如果成为世界主导支付系统的潜在价值。

According to his calculations, factoring in當時Bitcoin的上限為 2000 萬枚，如果比特幣真的成功成為全球主要支付貨幣，那麼比特幣的總價值就等於全世界財富的總價值。

According to his calculations, factoring in当时Bitcoin的上限为2000 万枚，如果比特币真的成功成为全球主要支付货币，那么比特币的总价值就等于全世界财富的总价值。

當時我找到的全世界家庭財富總估計值在 100 兆至 300 兆美元之間，而比特幣的上限為 2000 萬枚，這樣算下來每枚比特幣的價值大約為 1000 万美元。 the當時Bitcoin的上限為 2000 萬枚, if the cryptocurrency became the world's dominant payment system, its total value "should be equal to the total value of all the wealth in the world."

当时我找到的全世界家庭财富总估计值在100 兆至300 兆美元之间，而比特币的上限为2000 万枚，这样算下来每枚比特币的价值大约为1000 万美元。 the当时Bitcoin的上限为2000 万枚, if the cryptocurrency became the world's dominant payment system, its total value "should be equal to the total value of all the wealth in the world."

Extending this logic, and considering當時Bitcoin的上限為 2000 萬枚, Finney arrived at a value of $10 million per Bitcoin.

Extending this logic, and considering当时Bitcoin的上限为2000 万枚, Finney arrived at a value of $10 million per Bitcoin.

"As an amusing thought experiment, imagine that Bitcoin is successful and becomes the dominant payment system in use throughout the world," Finney wrote in the email Rizzo shared.

芬尼在里佐分享的电子邮件中写道：“作为一个有趣的思想实验，想象一下比特币是成​​功的，并成为全世界使用的主要支付系统。”

"Then the total value of the currency should be equal to the total value of all the wealth in the world. Current estimates of total worldwide household wealth that I have found range from $100 trillion to $300 trillion."

“那么货币的总价值应该等于世界上所有财富的总价值。我发现目前对全球家庭财富总额的估计范围在 100 万亿美元到 300 万亿美元之间。”

"With 20 million coins, that gives each coin a value of about $10 million."

“如果有 2000 万枚硬币，那么每枚硬币的价值约为 1000 万美元。”

Finney's prediction continues to inspire long-term faith in Bitcoin, despite its current price of $93,726, which is far from his $10 million target.

芬尼的预测继续激发人们对比特币的长期信心，尽管比特币目前的价格为 93,726 美元，距离他的 1000 万美元目标还很远。