伊隆馬斯克警告美國即將破產，在陷入困境的經濟體中比特幣的採用率可能會飆升

儘管比特幣的價格近幾個月來迅速上漲，一度突破 68,000 美元，但一個新的令人震驚的警告剛剛震動了投資者。

As the price of Bitcoin continues its meteoric rise, briefly surpassing $68,000, a new alarming warning has just shaken investors. Elon Musk, the famous billionaire at the helm of Tesla, has raised the alarm about an imminent bankruptcy of the United States. According to him, uncontrolled government spending is leading the country straight toward a financial precipice, creating a climate of uncertainty that heavily weighs on the future of Bitcoin.

隨著比特幣價格繼續快速上漲，短暫突破 68,000 美元，一個新的令人震驚的警告剛剛震動了投資者。特斯拉掌舵者、著名億萬富翁伊隆馬斯克對美國即將破產發出了警報。他表示，不受控制的政府支出正在導致該國直接走向金融懸崖，造成不確定的氣氛，嚴重影響比特幣的未來。

The link between American debt and Bitcoin volatility is becoming increasingly clear. As Elon Musk recently pointed out, the national debt has swollen by $500 billion in just three weeks. This accumulation, which is easily overlooked by the average person, could serve as a potential catalyst for a major financial crisis.

美國債務與比特幣波動之間的關聯正變得越來越明顯。正如馬斯克最近指出的那樣，國債在短短三週內就膨脹了 5000 億美元。這種累積很容易被一般人忽視，可能成為重大金融危機的潛在催化劑。

This link becomes more tangible as the debt accumulates. For instance, inflation is climbing, which could force the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. An uncontrolled inflationary spiral could thus weaken the dollar and strengthen the safe-haven value that Bitcoin represents for some investors.

隨著債務的積累，這種關聯變得更加明顯。例如，通貨膨脹正在攀升，這可能迫使聯準會升息。因此，不受控制的通膨螺旋可能會削弱美元，並加強比特幣對某些投資者所代表的避險價值。

But it also has a downside: by transferring $750 million worth of Bitcoin to new addresses after two years of inactivity, Tesla has panicked traders. Musk’s action immediately sparked rumors of a massive Bitcoin sale, exacerbating instability.

但它也有一個缺點：在兩年不活動後，特斯拉將價值 7.5 億美元的比特幣轉移到新地址，這讓交易員感到恐慌。馬斯克的舉動立即引發了大規模出售比特幣的傳言，加劇了不穩定。

Musk didn’t just alert about the state of American finances. He also reiterated his warning about the Federal Reserve’s management of the economy. According to him, excessive public spending creates an unprecedented systemic risk. In other words, the United States is getting into debt faster than it can pay back, and it’s this, according to Musk, that leads to an unsustainable situation.

馬斯克不僅對美國的財政狀況發出警報。他也重申了對聯準會經濟管理的警告。他認為，過度的公共支出造成了前所未有的系統性風險。換句話說，美國陷入債務的速度快於償還債務的速度，馬斯克認為，正是這一點導致了不可持續的局面。

In a context where gold and Bitcoin are perceived as safe havens, a devaluation of the dollar could lead to a rush towards these assets. This could boost the price of Bitcoin, as some JPMorgan analysts have suggested.

在黃金和比特幣被視為避風港的背景下，美元貶值可能會導致人們湧向這些資產。正如一些摩根大通分析師所暗示的那樣，這可能會推高比特幣的價格。

However, such a scenario would not unfold without turmoil. A potential bankruptcy or widespread financial crisis in the United States could cause extreme volatility in the markets. Bitcoin, often praised for its ability to resist inflation, could face downward pressure if investors panic in the face of a global shock.

然而，如果沒有動盪，這種情況就不會發生。美國潛在的破產或廣泛的金融危機可能會導致市場極度波動。比特幣因其抵禦通膨的能力而經常受到稱讚，如果投資者面對全球衝擊感到恐慌，比特幣可能會面臨下行壓力。

The role of Bitcoin in this equation is thus double-edged. On one hand, the depreciation of the dollar could favor even wider adoption of the cryptocurrency as a store of value. Musk himself has suggested that currencies like Bitcoin could become credible alternatives to traditional fiat currencies, especially in countries where trust in central banks is collapsing.

因此，比特幣在這個等式中的作用是一把雙面刃。一方面，美元貶值可能有利於更廣泛地採用加密貨幣作為價值儲存手段。馬斯克本人表示，比特幣等貨幣可能成為傳統法定貨幣的可靠替代品，尤其是在對央行信任度崩潰的國家。

However, as demonstrated by Tesla’s recent transfers, the decisions of large companies and influential figures like Musk can also amplify market volatility. In a financial environment where uncertainty reigns, every move can trigger chain reactions.

然而，正如特斯拉最近的轉讓所證明的那樣，大公司和馬斯克等有影響力人物的決策也會放大市場波動。在充滿不確定性的金融環境中，一舉一動都可能引發連鎖反應。

Last month, Musk met with Nayib Bukele, President of Salvador and a staunch defender of Bitcoin, to discuss the future of this cryptocurrency. This symbolic meeting reinforces the idea that Bitcoin could play a major role in struggling economies, but it also raises the question: how stable can this cryptocurrency remain in the face of a global economic crisis?

上個月，馬斯克會見了薩爾瓦多總統、比特幣的堅定捍衛者納伊布·布克萊(Nayib Bukele)，討論了這種加密貨幣的未來。這次象徵性的會議強化了比特幣可以在陷入困境的經濟中發揮重要作用的想法，但它也提出了一個問題：面對全球經濟危機，這種加密貨幣能夠保持多穩定？