埃隆·马斯克警告美国即将破产，在陷入困境的经济体中比特币的采用率可能会飙升

尽管比特币的价格近几个月来迅速上涨，一度突破 68,000 美元，但一个新的令人震惊的警告刚刚震动了投资者。

As the price of Bitcoin continues its meteoric rise, briefly surpassing $68,000, a new alarming warning has just shaken investors. Elon Musk, the famous billionaire at the helm of Tesla, has raised the alarm about an imminent bankruptcy of the United States. According to him, uncontrolled government spending is leading the country straight toward a financial precipice, creating a climate of uncertainty that heavily weighs on the future of Bitcoin.

随着比特币价格继续快速上涨，短暂突破 68,000 美元，一个新的令人震惊的警告刚刚震动了投资者。特斯拉掌舵人、著名亿万富翁埃隆·马斯克对美国即将破产发出了警报。他表示，不受控制的政府支出正在导致该国直接走向金融悬崖，造成不确定的气氛，严重影响比特币的未来。

The link between American debt and Bitcoin volatility is becoming increasingly clear. As Elon Musk recently pointed out, the national debt has swollen by $500 billion in just three weeks. This accumulation, which is easily overlooked by the average person, could serve as a potential catalyst for a major financial crisis.

美国债务与比特币波动之间的联系正变得越来越明显。正如埃隆·马斯克最近指出的那样，国债在短短三周内就膨胀了 5000 亿美元。这种积累很容易被普通人忽视，可能成为重大金融危机的潜在催化剂。

This link becomes more tangible as the debt accumulates. For instance, inflation is climbing, which could force the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates. An uncontrolled inflationary spiral could thus weaken the dollar and strengthen the safe-haven value that Bitcoin represents for some investors.

随着债务的积累，这种联系变得更加明显。例如，通货膨胀正在攀升，这可能迫使美联储加息。因此，不受控制的通胀螺旋可能会削弱美元，并加强比特币对一些投资者来说所代表的避险价值。

But it also has a downside: by transferring $750 million worth of Bitcoin to new addresses after two years of inactivity, Tesla has panicked traders. Musk’s action immediately sparked rumors of a massive Bitcoin sale, exacerbating instability.

但它也有一个缺点：在两年不活动后，特斯拉将价值 7.5 亿美元的比特币转移到新地址，这让交易员感到恐慌。马斯克的举动立即引发了大规模出售比特币的传言，加剧了不稳定。

Musk didn’t just alert about the state of American finances. He also reiterated his warning about the Federal Reserve’s management of the economy. According to him, excessive public spending creates an unprecedented systemic risk. In other words, the United States is getting into debt faster than it can pay back, and it’s this, according to Musk, that leads to an unsustainable situation.

马斯克不仅仅对美国的财政状况发出警报。他还重申了对美联储经济管理的警告。他认为，过度的公共支出造成了前所未有的系统性风险。换句话说，美国陷入债务的速度快于偿还债务的速度，马斯克认为，正是这一点导致了不可持续的局面。

In a context where gold and Bitcoin are perceived as safe havens, a devaluation of the dollar could lead to a rush towards these assets. This could boost the price of Bitcoin, as some JPMorgan analysts have suggested.

在黄金和比特币被视为避风港的背景下，美元贬值可能会导致人们涌向这些资产。正如一些摩根大通分析师所暗示的那样，这可能会推高比特币的价格。

However, such a scenario would not unfold without turmoil. A potential bankruptcy or widespread financial crisis in the United States could cause extreme volatility in the markets. Bitcoin, often praised for its ability to resist inflation, could face downward pressure if investors panic in the face of a global shock.

然而，如果没有动荡，这种情况就不会发生。美国潜在的破产或广泛的金融危机可能会导致市场极度波动。比特币因其抵御通胀的能力而经常受到称赞，如果投资者面对全球冲击感到恐慌，比特币可能会面临下行压力。

The role of Bitcoin in this equation is thus double-edged. On one hand, the depreciation of the dollar could favor even wider adoption of the cryptocurrency as a store of value. Musk himself has suggested that currencies like Bitcoin could become credible alternatives to traditional fiat currencies, especially in countries where trust in central banks is collapsing.

因此，比特币在这个等式中的作用是一把双刃剑。一方面，美元贬值可能有利于更广泛地采用加密货币作为价值储存手段。马斯克本人表示，比特币等货币可能成为传统法定货币的可靠替代品，尤其是在对央行信任度崩溃的国家。

However, as demonstrated by Tesla’s recent transfers, the decisions of large companies and influential figures like Musk can also amplify market volatility. In a financial environment where uncertainty reigns, every move can trigger chain reactions.

然而，正如特斯拉最近的转让所证明的那样，大公司和马斯克等有影响力人物的决策也会放大市场波动。在充满不确定性的金融环境中，一举一动都可能引发连锁反应。

Last month, Musk met with Nayib Bukele, President of Salvador and a staunch defender of Bitcoin, to discuss the future of this cryptocurrency. This symbolic meeting reinforces the idea that Bitcoin could play a major role in struggling economies, but it also raises the question: how stable can this cryptocurrency remain in the face of a global economic crisis?

上个月，马斯克会见了萨尔瓦多总统、比特币的坚定捍卫者纳伊布·布克莱(Nayib Bukele)，讨论了这种加密货币的未来。这次象征性的会议强化了比特币可以在陷入困境的经济中发挥重要作用的想法，但它也提出了一个问题：面对全球经济危机，这种加密货币能够保持多稳定？