2020 年美國大選：川普與哈里斯的衝突如何影響比特幣與股市

美國大選臨近，市場分析師正在密切關注加密貨幣和股市的潛在影響。

The U.S. presidential elections are just around the corner, and market analysts are keeping a close eye on the potential repercussions for the cryptocurrency and stock markets. In a recent analysis, cryptocurrency expert Jason Pizzino delves into how the electoral clash between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris could shape financial market dynamics, particularly for Bitcoin.

美國總統大選即將到來，市場分析師正在密切關注加密貨幣和股市的潛在影響。在最近的一項分析中，加密貨幣專家 Jason Pizzino 深入研究了唐納德·川普和卡馬拉·哈里斯之間的選舉衝突如何影響金融市場動態，特別是比特幣。

Pizzino emphasizes that the race is tighter than many expect, with a clear victory for Trump seeming unlikely. This uncertainty is likely to result in significant volatility in the markets following the election results. As the countdown continues, market participants are bracing for potential swings in both the stock and cryptocurrency sectors, fueling speculation about which candidate may have a more favorable impact on market sentiment.

皮齊諾強調，競選比許多人預期的更加激烈，川普似乎不太可能取得明顯勝利。這種不確定性可能會導致選舉結果後市場出現大幅波動。隨著倒數計時的繼續，市場參與者正在為股票和加密貨幣領域的潛在波動做好準備，這引發了對哪位候選人可能對市場情緒產生更有利影響的猜測。

Pizzino outlines two primary scenarios based on who secures the presidency:

皮齊諾根據誰獲得總統職位概述了兩種主要情況：

If Trump wins a second term, market analysts anticipate a continuation of the current trends, with no drastic shifts in sight. This scenario aligns with what Pizzino refers to as the “Winner's Curse” phase in an 18-year market cycle. During this period, market movements tend to be less dramatic compared to periods following election losses.

如果川普贏得第二個任期，市場分析師預計當前趨勢將持續，不會出現劇烈轉變。這種情況與 Pizzino 所說的 18 年市場週期中的「贏家詛咒」階段相符。與選舉失敗後的時期相比，在此期間，市場波動往往不那麼劇烈。

In the event of a Harris victory, market reactions could be more nuanced. Initially, markets may experience a downturn as a result of Trump's loss. However, following this initial setback, بازاررم cryptocurrency markets could experience a gradual recovery as Harris's policies unfold.

如果哈里斯獲勝，市場反應可能會更加微妙。最初，市場可能會因川普落選而經歷低迷。然而，在經歷了最初的挫折之後，隨著哈里斯政策的展開，加密貨幣市場可能會逐漸復甦。

Pizzino also notes that the current market cycle does not indicate significant changes at this time. He refers to what he calls the “Winner's Curse” phase in an 18-year market cycle, a period that typically signals heightened volatility and presents trading opportunities as market dynamics shift after decisive political outcomes.

皮齊諾也指出，目前的市場週期目前並未顯示發生重大變化。他提到了 18 年市場週期中他所說的「贏家詛咒」階段，這一階段通常預示著波動性加劇，並在決定性政治結果後市場動態發生轉變時提供交易機會。

Currently, Bitcoin is recovering from a recent price drop that saw it fall to approximately $67,500 after reaching $72,500. The cryptocurrency is now attempting to regain its footing, trading just below $70,500 and facing critical resistance around the $70,000 mark.

目前，比特幣正在從最近的價格下跌中恢復過來，價格在達到 72,500 美元後跌至約 67,500 美元。該加密貨幣目前正試圖重新站穩腳跟，交易價格略低於 70,500 美元，並在 70,000 美元大關附近面臨關鍵阻力。

A recent breakout above a bearish trend line at $68,300 indicates potential bullish movement. If Bitcoin can maintain this momentum and break through the $70,000 resistance level, it may pave the way for further gains, targeting prices around $71,200 and possibly $72,500. However, if it fails to surpass this resistance, it could experience additional declines, with immediate support levels at $68,000 and key thresholds at $67,500 and $67,200.

最近突破看跌趨勢線 68,300 美元表明潛在的看漲走勢。如果比特幣能夠保持這種勢頭並突破 70,000 美元的阻力位，則可能為進一步上漲鋪平道路，目標價格約為 71,200 美元，甚至可能達到 72,500 美元。然而，如果未能突破這一阻力位，則可能會進一步下跌，直接支撐位為 68,000 美元，關鍵門檻為 67,500 美元和 67,200 美元。

As the crypto market awaits the election results, traders and investors are keen to see how Bitcoin will respond. The potential for significant price movements hinges on the election outcome, with analysts predicting that either result could lead to new highs or further declines in the cryptocurrency market.

在加密貨幣市場等待選舉結果之際，交易員和投資者都渴望看到比特幣將如何反應。價格大幅波動的可能性取決於選舉結果，分析師預測，任何一個結果都可能導致加密貨幣市場創下新高或進一步下跌。

In conclusion, the upcoming U.S. elections are poised to play a crucial role in shaping the future of both cryptocurrency and stock markets. With insights from analysts like Jason Pizzino, market participants are on high alert, ready to react to the election’s outcome. Whether a Trump victory might invigorate market confidence or a Harris win could initially dampen spirits yet lead to recovery, the results will have far-reaching implications for investors in Bitcoin and beyond.

總之，即將到來的美國大選將在塑造加密貨幣和股市的未來方面發揮至關重要的作用。根據傑森·皮齊諾（Jason Pizzino）等分析師的見解，市場參與者保持高度警惕，準備對選舉結果做出反應。無論川普的勝利可能會提振市場信心，還是哈里斯的勝利可能會在最初打擊士氣，但最終導致復甦，結果都將對比特幣及其他領域的投資者產生深遠的影響。

As the election approaches, the big question remains: will the results propel Bitcoin to new heights? The answer lies just around the corner, as market participants prepare for what could be a pivotal moment in the financial landscape.

隨著選舉的臨近，一個大問題仍然存在：選舉結果是否會將比特幣推向新的高度？隨著市場參與者為金融格局的關鍵時刻做好準備，答案就在眼前。