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當特朗普政府在“骯髒的15”國家對新的關稅時,當時投資者在4月2日等待“解放日”時,加密貨幣市場仍然謹慎。
The cryptocurrency market showed signs of caution on Tuesday as investors await April 2nd, “Liberation Day,” when the Trump administration will impose new tariffs on the “Dirty 15” nations.
加密貨幣市場週二表現出謹慎的跡象,因為投資者在4月2日等待“解放日”,特朗普政府將對“骯髒的15”國家徵收新的關稅。
While market leaders Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed only modest gains over the past day, several altcoins were the true market movers.
儘管市場領導者比特幣(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)在過去的一天中僅顯示出適度的收益,但幾個山寨幣是真正的市場推動者。
According to CoinMarketCap data, over the past 24 hours, Walrus (WAL) gained 22%, EOS climbed 15.19%, Curve Finance (CRV) rose 18.18%, and AI16Z’s price increased 16.75%.
根據CoinMarketCap數據,在過去的24小時內,Walrus(WAL)上漲了22%,EOS攀升15.19%,曲線融資(CRV)上漲18.18%,AI16Z的價格上漲了16.75%。
Additionally, certain small-cap tokens delivered substantial gains, such as RFC (+293%) and DOGINME (+58.9%), according to CryptoRank. This data highlighted ongoing speculative momentum in specific market segments despite broader caution.
此外,根據Cryptorank的數據,某些小型代幣可帶來可觀的收益,例如RFC(+293%)和Doginme(+58.9%)。這些數據強調了儘管謹慎的謹慎,但在特定市場細分市場中仍在進行中的投機勢頭。
According to reports from the WTI derivative market, traders are pricing in a 70% probability that the Trump administration will announce new tariffs on the “Dirty 15” nations by April 2nd. These tariffs are expected to impact goods valued at $2.4 trillion.
根據WTI衍生品市場的報導,交易者的定價為70%的可能性,特朗普政府將於4月2日在“ Dirty 15”國家宣布新的關稅。這些關稅預計將影響價值2.4萬億美元的商品。
Among the 15 nations, Japan is expected to face tariffs of up to 60% on its vehicles, while France’s wine could be subject to tariffs as high as 50%.
在這15個國家中,日本預計其車輛的關稅最高為60%,而法國的葡萄酒可能會高達50%。
The cryptocurrency market is closely watching these developments as they could significantly impact global trade flows and market sentiment.
加密貨幣市場正在密切關注這些發展,因為它們可能會對全球貿易流量和市場情緒產生重大影響。
Institutions Continue Bitcoin Accumulation
機構繼續積累比特幣
Despite near-term market uncertainty, institutional players continue to demonstrate confidence in Bitcoin.
儘管近期市場不確定性,但機構參與者仍在表現出對比特幣的信心。
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) added another 22,048 BTC to its corporate treasury, spending $1.92 billion for this latest batch at an average price of $86,900 per BTC.
策略(以前是MicroStrategy)在其公司財政部又增加了22,048 BTC,以每BTC的平均價格為86,900美元,花費19.2億美元。
Stablecoin issuer Tether also acquired 8,888 BTC (worth ~$735M at the time) during the first quarter of 2025.
Stablecoin發行人Tether還在2025年第一季度收購了8,888 BTC(當時價值約7.35億美元)。
Bitcoin Technical Levels to Watch
比特幣技術級別要觀看
Bitcoin’s current price action suggests consolidation. A critical near-term resistance level sits at $84,824, aligning with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key short-term trend indicator.
比特幣目前的價格行動表明合併。一個關鍵的接近抵抗水平為84,824美元,與20天的指數移動平均線(EMA)保持一致,這是一個關鍵的短期趨勢指標。
Chart analysis also indicates BTC might be in a potential accumulation phase above a key support level currently identified near $76,180.
圖表分析還表明,BTC可能處於潛在的累積階段,高於當前確定的關鍵支持水平,估計接近$ 76,180。
If BTC fails to reclaim the 20-day EMA soon, it could retest lower support levels. Prominent technical analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin has an “air gap” below $80,000, meaning very little established technical support exists until the $70,000 price area.
如果BTC很快未能收回20天的EMA,則可以重新測試較低的支持水平。著名的技術分析師阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez)指出,比特幣的“氣隙”低於80,000美元,這意味著直到70,000美元的價格面積之前,幾乎沒有建立的技術支持。
Altcoins Show Mixed Signals
AltCoins顯示混合信號
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 24, indicating significant “Fear” among market participants. Simultaneously, Bitcoin’s market dominance (BTC.D) remains above 61%, generally suppressing conditions needed for a sustainable, broad altcoin market rally.
加密恐懼和貪婪指數下降到24個,表明市場參與者的“恐懼”很大。同時,比特幣的市場優勢(BTC.D)保持在61%以上,通常會抑制可持續,廣泛的Altcoin市場集會所需的條件。
The chart tracking the total market cap of altcoins excluding Bitcoin (often called TOTAL2) highlights a declining Relative Strength Index (RSI), a commonly used momentum indicator. The RSI currently hovers around 40.40.
該圖表跟踪Altcoin(通常稱為Total2)的AltCoins總市值(通常稱為Total 2)突出顯示了相對強度指數(RSI)的下降,這是一種常用的動量指標。 RSI目前徘徊在40.40左右。
This RSI level suggests altcoins may remain in a neutral-to-bearish short-term posture. However, a bounce from these RSI levels could signal renewed upward momentum for altcoins. If the RSI moves back above the 50 level, the altcoin market could potentially see a significant rally.
該RSI水平表明,AltCoins可能會保持中性到偏斜的短期姿勢。但是,這些RSI級別的反彈可能表明altcoins的勢頭更新。如果RSI向後移動50級,則Altcoin市場可能會看到重大的集會。
Analysis using Fibonacci retracement levels further indicates key areas to watch. If the total altcoin market cap holds support above the 1.0 Fib level (around $923 billion), a potential breakout could follow.
使用斐波那契回回層的分析進一步表明要觀看的關鍵領域。如果總山幣市值持有超過1.0 FIB水平的支持(約為9230億美元),則可能會發生潛在的突破。
The next major resistance target based on this analysis aligns with the 1.618 Fib extension level (around $1.16 trillion). However, if the broader market weakens further, lower Fibonacci support levels at the 2.618 ($630B), 3.618 ($450B), and 4.236 ($380B) extensions could come into play.
基於此分析的下一個主要電阻目標與1.618 FIB擴展水平(約合11.6萬億美元)一致。但是,如果更廣泛的市場進一步削弱,則較低的斐波那契支持水平為2.618(630b),3.618(450b)和4.236($ 380B)的擴展可能會發揮作用。
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