随着4月​​2日等待投资者，加密货币市场仍然谨慎

当特朗普政府在“肮脏的15”国家对新的关税时，当时投资者在4月2日等待“解放日”时，加密货币市场仍然谨慎。

The cryptocurrency market showed signs of caution on Tuesday as investors await April 2nd, “Liberation Day,” when the Trump administration will impose new tariffs on the “Dirty 15” nations.

加密货币市场周二表现出谨慎的迹象，因为投资者在4月2日等待“解放日”，特朗普政府将对“肮脏的15”国家征收新的关税。

While market leaders Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed only modest gains over the past day, several altcoins were the true market movers.

尽管市场领导者比特币（BTC）和以太坊（ETH）在过去的一天中仅显示出适度的收益，但几个山寨币是真正的市场推动者。

According to CoinMarketCap data, over the past 24 hours, Walrus (WAL) gained 22%, EOS climbed 15.19%, Curve Finance (CRV) rose 18.18%, and AI16Z’s price increased 16.75%.

根据CoinMarketCap数据，在过去的24小时内，Walrus（WAL）上涨了22％，EOS攀升15.19％，曲线融资（CRV）上涨18.18％，AI16Z的价格上涨了16.75％。

Additionally, certain small-cap tokens delivered substantial gains, such as RFC (+293%) and DOGINME (+58.9%), according to CryptoRank. This data highlighted ongoing speculative momentum in specific market segments despite broader caution.

此外，根据Cryptorank的数据，某些小型代币可带来可观的收益，例如RFC（+293％）和Doginme（+58.9％）。这些数据强调了尽管谨慎的谨慎，但在特定市场细分市场中仍在进行中的投机势头。

According to reports from the WTI derivative market, traders are pricing in a 70% probability that the Trump administration will announce new tariffs on the “Dirty 15” nations by April 2nd. These tariffs are expected to impact goods valued at $2.4 trillion.

根据WTI衍生品市场的报道，交易者的定价为70％的可能性，特朗普政府将于4月2日在“ Dirty 15”国家宣布新的关税。这些关税预计将影响价值2.4万亿美元的商品。

Among the 15 nations, Japan is expected to face tariffs of up to 60% on its vehicles, while France’s wine could be subject to tariffs as high as 50%.

在这15个国家中，日本预计其车辆的关税最高为60％，而法国的葡萄酒可能会高达50％。

The cryptocurrency market is closely watching these developments as they could significantly impact global trade flows and market sentiment.

加密货币市场正在密切关注这些发展，因为它们可能会对全球贸易流量和市场情绪产生重大影响。

Institutions Continue Bitcoin Accumulation

机构继续积累比特币

Despite near-term market uncertainty, institutional players continue to demonstrate confidence in Bitcoin.

尽管近期市场不确定性，但机构参与者仍在表现出对比特币的信心。

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) added another 22,048 BTC to its corporate treasury, spending $1.92 billion for this latest batch at an average price of $86,900 per BTC.

策略（以前是MicroStrategy）在其公司财政部又增加了22,048 BTC，以每BTC的平均价格为86,900美元，花费19.2亿美元。

Stablecoin issuer Tether also acquired 8,888 BTC (worth ~$735M at the time) during the first quarter of 2025.

Stablecoin发行人Tether还在2025年第一季度收购了8,888 BTC（当时价值约7.35亿美元）。

Bitcoin Technical Levels to Watch

比特币技术级别要观看

Bitcoin’s current price action suggests consolidation. A critical near-term resistance level sits at $84,824, aligning with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key short-term trend indicator.

比特币目前的价格行动表明合并。一个关键的接近抵抗水平为84,824美元，与20天的指数移动平均线（EMA）保持一致，这是一个关键的短期趋势指标。

Chart analysis also indicates BTC might be in a potential accumulation phase above a key support level currently identified near $76,180.

图表分析还表明，BTC可能处于潜在的累积阶段，高于当前确定的关键支持水平，估计接近$ 76,180。

If BTC fails to reclaim the 20-day EMA soon, it could retest lower support levels. Prominent technical analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin has an “air gap” below $80,000, meaning very little established technical support exists until the $70,000 price area.

如果BTC很快未能收回20天的EMA，则可以重新测试较低的支持水平。著名的技术分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）指出，比特币的“气隙”低于80,000美元，这意味着直到70,000美元的价格面积之前，几乎没有建立的技术支持。

Altcoins Show Mixed Signals

AltCoins显示混合信号

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 24, indicating significant “Fear” among market participants. Simultaneously, Bitcoin’s market dominance (BTC.D) remains above 61%, generally suppressing conditions needed for a sustainable, broad altcoin market rally.

加密恐惧和贪婪指数下降到24个，表明市场参与者的“恐惧”很大。同时，比特币的市场优势（BTC.D）保持在61％以上，通常会抑制可持续，广泛的Altcoin市场集会所需的条件。

The chart tracking the total market cap of altcoins excluding Bitcoin (often called TOTAL2) highlights a declining Relative Strength Index (RSI), a commonly used momentum indicator. The RSI currently hovers around 40.40.

该图表跟踪Altcoin（通常称为Total2）的AltCoins总市值（通常称为Total 2）突出显示了相对强度指数（RSI）的下降，这是一种常用的动量指标。 RSI目前徘徊在40.40左右。

This RSI level suggests altcoins may remain in a neutral-to-bearish short-term posture. However, a bounce from these RSI levels could signal renewed upward momentum for altcoins. If the RSI moves back above the 50 level, the altcoin market could potentially see a significant rally.

该RSI水平表明，AltCoins可能会保持中性到偏斜的短期姿势。但是，这些RSI级别的反弹可能表明altcoins的势头更新。如果RSI向后移动50级，则Altcoin市场可能会看到重大的集会。

Analysis using Fibonacci retracement levels further indicates key areas to watch. If the total altcoin market cap holds support above the 1.0 Fib level (around $923 billion), a potential breakout could follow.

使用斐波那契回回层的分析进一步表明要观看的关键领域。如果总山币市值持有超过1.0 FIB水平的支持（约为9230亿美元），则可能会发生潜在的突破。

The next major resistance target based on this analysis aligns with the 1.618 Fib extension level (around $1.16 trillion). However, if the broader market weakens further, lower Fibonacci support levels at the 2.618 ($630B), 3.618 ($450B), and 4.236 ($380B) extensions could come into play.

基于此分析的下一个主要电阻目标与1.618 FIB扩展水平（约合11.6万亿美元）一致。但是，如果更广泛的市场进一步削弱，则较低的斐波那契支持水平为2.618（630b），3.618（450b）和4.236（$ 380B）的扩展可能会发挥作用。