（coinchapter.com） - XRP價格預測：下降三角形模式壓力XRP朝向分解

Ripple（XRP）最近的價格行動反映了宏觀經濟不確定性和地緣政治緊張局勢之間的複雜相互作用，尤其是特朗普時代的貿易戰的複興。

NOIDA (CoinChapter.com) – Recent price action in Ripple’s XRP reflects a complicated interplay of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions—most notably the Trump-era trade wars—and technical analysis.

Noida（Coinchapter.com） - Ripple XRP的最新價格行動反映了宏觀經濟不確定性，地緣政治緊張局勢的複雜相互作用 - 尤其是特朗普時代的貿易戰和技術分析。

As of April 1, 2025, XRP trades around $2.18, managing to hold onto March gains but lagging behind Bitcoin and Ethereum. The broader crypto market saw a sharp rally following Donald Trump’s latest economic standoff with China, pushing BTC back above $91,000 and fueling fresh interest in altcoins. However, XRP’s momentum seems to be capped.

截至2025年4月1日，XRP的交易約為2.18美元，設法保持了3月的收益，但落後於比特幣和以太坊。在唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）與中國（BTC）最新的經濟僵化之後，更廣泛的加密市場（Crypto Market）急劇集會，將BTC推遲到91,000美元以上，並加劇了對Altcoins的新興趣。但是，XRP的勢頭似乎被封蓋了。

Global markets remain on edge. Trump’s proposed tariffs have rattled equities, driving capital toward hard assets. While Bitcoin and gold rose in tandem, investors see a fractured correlation in XRP with broader risk-on sentiment. Despite recent legal wins, investors remain cautious, considering upcoming supply pressures from Ripple and ongoing macro risks. US inflation remains above 3.2%, and the Federal Reserve’s March 2025 decision to hold rates has further bifurcated risk appetite in crypto assets.

全球市場保持邊緣。特朗普提議的關稅使股票搖搖欲墜，將資本推向了艱苦的資產。儘管比特幣和黃金同行，但投資者看到XRP中的相關性與更廣泛的風險情緒。儘管最近有法律上的勝利，但考慮到即將到來的波紋和正在進行的宏觀風險的供應壓力，投資者仍然謹慎。美國通貨膨脹率仍高於3.2％，美聯儲2025年3月持有利率的決定進一步分叉了加密資產的風險食慾。

XRP continues to face resistance near its February 2025 highs. Social volume remains flat despite Ripple’s cleared path with regulators. This divergence highlights a weak narrative for XRP in a market that’s quickly pivoting toward strong catalysts.

XRP在2025年2月的高點附近繼續面對阻力。儘管Ripple對監管機構的井井有條，但社交量仍然保持平坦。這種差異凸顯了XRP在一個迅速轉向強催化劑的市場中的薄弱敘事。

Descending Triangle Pattern Plagues XRP

下降三角模式困擾XRP

下降三角模式困擾XRP

Looking at the technical analysis, XRP is trading inside a descending triangle pattern on the weekly chart. The structure shows a converging pattern with a static support level around $2.12 and lower highs since late 2024. This pattern usually forms during periods of consolidation or compression in price trends.

查看技術分析，XRP在每週圖表上的下降三角形模式內交易。該結構顯示出一種融合的模式，自2024年底以來，靜態支撐水平左右左右。較低的高點。這種模式通常在價格趨勢的合併或壓縮期間形成。

In a descending triangle, the upper boundary is defined by a series of lower highs, indicating that sellers are stepping in and limiting any attempts by buyers to push prices higher. Meanwhile, the lower boundary is defined by a static support level, where buyers are stepping in and preventing prices from falling further.

在下降的三角形中，上邊界由一系列下部高點定義，這表明賣方正在介入並限制了買家提高價格的任何嘗試。同時，下邊界是由靜態支撐級定義的，在該水平上，買家正在介入並防止價格進一步下跌。

The converging lines create a triangular shape on the chart, with the apex of the triangle pointing downwards. This pattern is typically observed after a strong rally has lost steam, and it usually signals that the underlying asset is facing increasing bearish pressure.

融合線在圖表上創建了三角形形狀，三角形的頂點向下指向。通常在強烈的集會失去蒸汽後觀察到這種模式，並且通常信號表明基礎資產正面臨著看跌壓力的增加。

A breakdown from a descending triangle occurs when the price moves decisively below the lower boundary of the triangle. This breakout is usually characterized by increased trading volume, as sellers overpower demand and drive prices lower.

當價格果斷地在三角形的下邊界以下時，從下降三角形的崩潰就會發生。由於賣方壓倒了需求並推動價格降低，因此該突破通常以增加交易量的特徵。

The height of the pattern is usually used to estimate the potential magnitude of the decline. In the case of XRP, the triangle has a height of about $0.88, calculated by subtracting the support level of $2.12 from the February 2025 highs near $3.00.

該模式的高度通常用於估計下降的潛在幅度。就XRP而言，三角形的高度約為0.88美元，該高度是通過減去2025年2月高的高點的支撐級別2.12美元來計算的。

After breaking down, the next key price target is obtained by extending the height of the triangle downwards from the breakout point. In this instance, breaking support at $2.12 would set up a projected downside target of around $1.27.

分解後，通過從突破點向下延伸三角形的高度來獲得下一個關鍵價格目標。在這種情況下，$ 2.12的打破支持將建立一個預計的下行目標約為1.27美元。

The lack of volume also supports the bearish thesis. Trading activity has steadily decreased during the triangle formation, showing a lack of breakout momentum. Despite settling its case with the SEC and agreeing to a $50 million fine, there has been no conviction from bulls.

缺乏體積也支持看跌論文。在三角形形成期間，交易活動穩步下降，表明缺乏突破勢頭。儘管與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）同意罰款5000萬美元，但公牛沒有定罪。

Furthermore, the scheduled release of 1 billion XRP from escrow by Ripple on April 1 adds another layer of pressure. The token unlock increases circulating supply, and with demand still weak, the market may struggle to absorb it without triggering a breakdown.

此外，Ripple於4月1日從託管中釋放了10億XRP，這增加了另一層壓力。令牌解鎖會增加循環供應，並且隨著需求仍然疲軟，市場可能難以吸收它而不會引發故障。

Overall, unless bulls step in with strong volume and manage to reclaim higher resistance levels, XRP remains vulnerable to a breakdown toward $1.27 in the coming weeks. A strong move above the February 2025 highs near $3.00 is needed to shift the technical bias back in favor of the bulls.

總體而言，除非公牛的體積強勁並設法獲得更高的阻力水平，否則XRP仍然容易在未來幾週內損失1.27美元。需要超過2025年2月的高點，需要$ 3.00，以轉移技術偏見，以支持公牛。

SEC Settlement Fails To Ignite Rally Amid Token Unlock

SEC和解未能在令牌解鎖的情況下點燃集會

SEC和解未能在令牌解鎖的情況下點燃集會

Earlier this year, Ripple Labs reached a settlement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), agreeing to pay a $50 million fine to resolve a three-and-a-half-year legal dispute over the sale of its XRP token.

今年早些時候，Ripple Labs與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）達成和解，同意支付5000萬美元的罰款，以解決其XRP代幣出售三年半的法律糾紛。

The settlement, which is subject to final approval by both the SEC and the presiding court, marks a significant development in the cryptocurrency landscape.

該和解得到了SEC和審議法院的最終批准，標誌著加密貨幣格局的重大發展。

The SEC had accused Ripple of illegally offering and selling XRP, which it claims is a security, to institutional investors without registering with the regulator. The agency’s complaint, filed in December 2020, alleged that Ripple raised over $1.3 billion through these unregistered offerings, flouting securities laws.

SEC曾指控波紋非法發行和出售XRP，該XRP聲稱這是安全性的，向機構投資者而言，無需在監管機構註冊的情況下。該機構於2020年12月提起的投訴稱，波紋通過這些未註冊的偽裝證券法籌集了超過13億美元。

However, the SEC proposed settling the case for $100 million in December 2023, and in March 2025, the two parties reached an agreement to reduce the penalty further to $50 million. This decision follows a US administrative law judge’s ruling in April 2023, largely in favor of Ripple.

但是，美國證券交易委員會（SEC）提議在2023年12月以1億美元的價格解決此案，並於2025年3月，雙方達成了一項協議，以將罰款進一步減少到5000萬美元。這項決定是在2023年4月的美國行政法法官裁決之後，主要支持Ripple。

The judge found that several statements made by former

法官發現前前的幾句陳述