（coinchapter.com） - XRP价格预测：下降三角形模式压力XRP朝向分解

Ripple（XRP）最近的价格行动反映了宏观经济不确定性和地缘政治紧张局势之间的复杂相互作用，尤其是特朗普时代的贸易战的复兴。

NOIDA (CoinChapter.com) – Recent price action in Ripple’s XRP reflects a complicated interplay of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions—most notably the Trump-era trade wars—and technical analysis.

Noida（Coinchapter.com） - Ripple XRP的最新价格行动反映了宏观经济不确定性，地缘政治紧张局势的复杂相互作用 - 尤其是特朗普时代的贸易战和技术分析。

As of April 1, 2025, XRP trades around $2.18, managing to hold onto March gains but lagging behind Bitcoin and Ethereum. The broader crypto market saw a sharp rally following Donald Trump’s latest economic standoff with China, pushing BTC back above $91,000 and fueling fresh interest in altcoins. However, XRP’s momentum seems to be capped.

截至2025年4月1日，XRP的交易约为2.18美元，设法保持了3月的收益，但落后于比特币和以太坊。在唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）与中国（BTC）最新的经济僵化之后，更广泛的加密市场（Crypto Market）急剧集会，将BTC推迟到91,000美元以上，并加剧了对Altcoins的新兴趣。但是，XRP的势头似乎被封盖了。

Global markets remain on edge. Trump’s proposed tariffs have rattled equities, driving capital toward hard assets. While Bitcoin and gold rose in tandem, investors see a fractured correlation in XRP with broader risk-on sentiment. Despite recent legal wins, investors remain cautious, considering upcoming supply pressures from Ripple and ongoing macro risks. US inflation remains above 3.2%, and the Federal Reserve’s March 2025 decision to hold rates has further bifurcated risk appetite in crypto assets.

全球市场保持边缘。特朗普提议的关税使股票摇摇欲坠，将资本推向了艰苦的资产。尽管比特币和黄金同行，但投资者看到XRP中的相关性与更广泛的风险情绪。尽管最近有法律上的胜利，但考虑到即将到来的波纹和正在进行的宏观风险的供应压力，投资者仍然谨慎。美国通货膨胀率仍高于3.2％，美联储2025年3月持有利率的决定进一步分叉了加密资产的风险食欲。

XRP continues to face resistance near its February 2025 highs. Social volume remains flat despite Ripple’s cleared path with regulators. This divergence highlights a weak narrative for XRP in a market that’s quickly pivoting toward strong catalysts.

XRP在2025年2月的高点附近继续面对阻力。尽管Ripple对监管机构的井井有条，但社交量仍然保持平坦。这种差异凸显了XRP在一个迅速转向强催化剂的市场中的薄弱叙事。

Descending Triangle Pattern Plagues XRP

下降三角模式困扰XRP

下降三角模式困扰XRP

Looking at the technical analysis, XRP is trading inside a descending triangle pattern on the weekly chart. The structure shows a converging pattern with a static support level around $2.12 and lower highs since late 2024. This pattern usually forms during periods of consolidation or compression in price trends.

查看技术分析，XRP在每周图表上的下降三角形模式内交易。该结构显示出一种融合的模式，自2024年底以来，静态支撑水平左右左右。较低的高点。这种模式通常在价格趋势的合并或压缩期间形成。

In a descending triangle, the upper boundary is defined by a series of lower highs, indicating that sellers are stepping in and limiting any attempts by buyers to push prices higher. Meanwhile, the lower boundary is defined by a static support level, where buyers are stepping in and preventing prices from falling further.

在下降的三角形中，上边界由一系列下部高点定义，这表明卖方正在介入并限制了买家提高价格的任何尝试。同时，下边界是由静态支撑级定义的，在该水平上，买家正在介入并防止价格进一步下跌。

The converging lines create a triangular shape on the chart, with the apex of the triangle pointing downwards. This pattern is typically observed after a strong rally has lost steam, and it usually signals that the underlying asset is facing increasing bearish pressure.

融合线在图表上创建了三角形形状，三角形的顶点向下指向。通常在强烈的集会失去蒸汽后观察到这种模式，并且通常信号表明基础资产正面临着看跌压力的增加。

A breakdown from a descending triangle occurs when the price moves decisively below the lower boundary of the triangle. This breakout is usually characterized by increased trading volume, as sellers overpower demand and drive prices lower.

当价格果断地在三角形的下边界以下时，从下降三角形的崩溃就会发生。由于卖方压倒了需求并推动价格降低，因此该突破通常以增加交易量的特征。

The height of the pattern is usually used to estimate the potential magnitude of the decline. In the case of XRP, the triangle has a height of about $0.88, calculated by subtracting the support level of $2.12 from the February 2025 highs near $3.00.

该模式的高度通常用于估计下降的潜在幅度。就XRP而言，三角形的高度约为0.88美元，该高度是通过减去2025年2月高的高点的支撑级别2.12美元来计算的。

After breaking down, the next key price target is obtained by extending the height of the triangle downwards from the breakout point. In this instance, breaking support at $2.12 would set up a projected downside target of around $1.27.

分解后，通过从突破点向下延伸三角形的高度来获得下一个关键价格目标。在这种情况下，$ 2.12的打破支持将建立一个预计的下行目标约为1.27美元。

The lack of volume also supports the bearish thesis. Trading activity has steadily decreased during the triangle formation, showing a lack of breakout momentum. Despite settling its case with the SEC and agreeing to a $50 million fine, there has been no conviction from bulls.

缺乏体积也支持看跌论文。在三角形形成期间，交易活动稳步下降，表明缺乏突破势头。尽管与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）同意罚款5000万美元，但公牛没有定罪。

Furthermore, the scheduled release of 1 billion XRP from escrow by Ripple on April 1 adds another layer of pressure. The token unlock increases circulating supply, and with demand still weak, the market may struggle to absorb it without triggering a breakdown.

此外，Ripple于4月1日从托管中释放了10亿XRP，这增加了另一层压力。令牌解锁会增加循环供应，并且随着需求仍然疲软，市场可能难以吸收它而不会引发故障。

Overall, unless bulls step in with strong volume and manage to reclaim higher resistance levels, XRP remains vulnerable to a breakdown toward $1.27 in the coming weeks. A strong move above the February 2025 highs near $3.00 is needed to shift the technical bias back in favor of the bulls.

总体而言，除非公牛的体积强劲并设法获得更高的阻力水平，否则XRP仍然容易在未来几周内损失1.27美元。需要超过2025年2月的高点，需要$ 3.00，以转移技术偏见，以支持公牛。

SEC Settlement Fails To Ignite Rally Amid Token Unlock

SEC和解未能在令牌解锁的情况下点燃集会

SEC和解未能在令牌解锁的情况下点燃集会

Earlier this year, Ripple Labs reached a settlement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), agreeing to pay a $50 million fine to resolve a three-and-a-half-year legal dispute over the sale of its XRP token.

今年早些时候，Ripple Labs与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）达成和解，同意支付5000万美元的罚款，以解决其XRP代币出售三年半的法律纠纷。

The settlement, which is subject to final approval by both the SEC and the presiding court, marks a significant development in the cryptocurrency landscape.

该和解得到了SEC和审议法院的最终批准，标志着加密货币格局的重大发展。

The SEC had accused Ripple of illegally offering and selling XRP, which it claims is a security, to institutional investors without registering with the regulator. The agency’s complaint, filed in December 2020, alleged that Ripple raised over $1.3 billion through these unregistered offerings, flouting securities laws.

SEC曾指控波纹非法发行和出售XRP，该XRP声称这是安全性的，向机构投资者而言，无需在监管机构注册的情况下。该机构于2020年12月提起的投诉称，波纹通过这些未注册的伪装证券法筹集了超过13亿美元。

However, the SEC proposed settling the case for $100 million in December 2023, and in March 2025, the two parties reached an agreement to reduce the penalty further to $50 million. This decision follows a US administrative law judge’s ruling in April 2023, largely in favor of Ripple.

但是，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提议在2023年12月以1亿美元的价格解决此案，并于2025年3月，双方达成了一项协议，以将罚款进一步减少到5000万美元。这项决定是在2023年4月的美国行政法法官裁决之后，主要支持Ripple。

The judge found that several statements made by former

法官发现前前的几句陈述