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一位分析師指出了兩個主要的狗狗毒素阻力水平,這可能會為下一個牛市的價格鋪平道路。
An analyst has pointed out two major Dogecoin resistance levels that could potentially pave the path to the next bull run for the memecoin’s price.
一位分析師指出了兩個主要的狗狗毒素阻力水平,這可能會為下一個牛市的價格鋪平道路。
In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about the resistance walls present ahead for DOGE based on the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD). The URPD is an on-chain metric created by the analytics firm Glassnode that tells us, in short, about the amount of supply that was bought at various levels that Dogecoin has visited in its history.
在X上的一篇新帖子中,分析師Ali Martinez討論了基於UTXO實現的價格分佈(URPD)的Doge的阻力牆。 URPD是由分析公司GlassNode創建的鍊鍊指標,簡而言之,它告訴我們Dogecoin在其歷史上訪問過的各種水平購買的供應量。
Coins are said to be ‘bought’ when they become involved in a transaction on the blockchain. As such, the URPD records the price at the time of any coin’s last transaction as its cost basis.
據說當硬幣參與區塊鏈交易時,它們被“購買”。因此,URPD在任何硬幣進行最後一次交易時將價格記錄為成本基礎。
Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows how the Dogecoin URPD is looking right now:
現在,這是分析師共享的圖表,該圖表顯示了Dogecoin URPD現在的樣子:
As is visible in the above graph, the largest supply wall that Dogecoin has is present around the $0.07 level, where over 20% of all coins in circulation were last transacted. Given that the DOGE price is currently trading far above this level, all of this supply would be sitting on a notable profit.
如上圖中可見的那樣,Dogecoin擁有的最大供應壁是在0.07美元的左右,其中最後一次交易中所有循環中的所有硬幣中有20%以上。鑑於總督價格目前的交易遠遠高於此水平,因此所有這些供應都將取得顯著的利潤。
Generally, when the cryptocurrency’s price retests the cost basis of investors who were in profit just before, the holders may react by accumulating more if the mood in the market is bullish. This is because of the fact that they may be inclined to think the same level would end up being profitable again in the future, so the retest would look like a ‘dip’ opportunity.
通常,當加密貨幣的價格重新測試以前從事利潤的投資者的成本基礎時,持有人可能會通過積累更多的市場情緒來反應。這是因為他們可能傾向於認為將來同樣的水平最終會再次獲利,因此重新測試看起來像是“浸入”的機會。
Similarly, when the retest occurs from the opposite direction, investors can react by selling instead, as they may fear that the asset would fall back again, so this could be their opportunity to at least exit with their entire investment back.
同樣,當重新測試從相反的方向發生時,投資者可以通過出售來做出反應,因為他們可能會擔心資產會再次退縮,因此這可能是他們至少退出整個投資的機會。
From the chart, it’s visible that in terms of the loss levels of Dogecoin, two currently stick out for their size: $0.18 and $0.21. The former hosts the acquisition level of around 8% of the supply, while the latter that of 7%.
從圖表來看,就狗狗幣的損失水平而言,目前有兩個人的身材:0.18美元和0.21美元。前者的收購水平約為供應量的8%,而後者為7%。
Considering the significant amount of supply present at them, the levels could act as major resistance barriers due to the selling effect explained earlier. If DOGE can cross these levels, however, there are no other supply walls as large in sight. “Breaking through both could be the catalyst for the next major bull rally,” notes Martinez.
考慮到它們存在的大量供應,由於前面解釋的銷售效果,該水平可能是主要的阻力障礙。但是,如果Doge可以越過這些水平,則沒有其他供應壁很大。馬丁內斯指出:“突破兩者可能是下一次重大公牛集會的催化劑。”
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